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Broker tips: Persimmon, Restaurant Group, Cobham

Mon, 15th Aug 2016 10:25

(ShareCast News) - UK housebuilding shares have fallen 25% since Britain voted to leave the European Union and the sector has priced in a 5% drop in house prices, J.P. Morgan Cazenove said on Monday"However, while we think it's prudent to assume that transaction numbers will fall during 2017 (although trends have been solid so far), we see no warning signs that house prices are likely to decline UK-wide," J.P. Morgan said."We are more bearish on London and see scope for double-digit price declines, although even under this scenario we expect relatively modest earnings impact."The broker said it continues to view dividends as highly sustainable and sees an average of 15% upside to price targets.J.P. Morgan upgraded Persimmon to 'overweight' from 'underweight', to "reflect both our view that dividends could still beat, and a preference for balance sheet strength and ex-London".In contrast it downgraded Countryside Properties to 'neutral' from 'overweight' as a "relative call after a period of strong performance". Canaccord Genuity has raised its rating on Restaurant Group to 'buy' from 'hold' and lifted its target price to 550p from 276p.The broker said the upgrade on the owner of Garfunkels follows the replacement of chief executive Danny Breithaupt with Andy McCue, former chief of Paddy Power. The ousting of the CEO comes after a string of profit wanrings and a share price collapse."New CEO Andy McCue was CEO of Paddy Power where he embedded a new growth strategy which delivered record revenues and profits, as well as playing a main role in the merger with Betfair," Canaccord said.Canaccord said the executive team has also been strengthened by the appointment of Barry Nightingale as chief financial officer and Spencer Ayers as new managing director for its Frankie & Benny's business.Looking ahead to the company's strategic review on 26 August, Canaccord said: "We highlight a checklist of actions that investors should expect to read in the review: exit poorly performing sites, continue to develop the brand portfolio, reposition Frankie & Benny's, reduce and re-direct capex, improve digital marketing capability, reduce the overheads, review returns to shareholders including share buybacks."Canaccord said the problems Restaurant Group faces are "not unique" but believes that the business is "fixable"."Maturing brands inevitably require constant innovation and occasional reinvention and there are many positive case studies in the market that suggest it can be done." Barclays downgraded Cobham to 'equalweight' from 'overweight' saying it expects several unquantifiable bumps along the way in the next six months and sees cleaner yet equally compelling value to be had elsewhere in its coverage.The bank said that while the logic behind rebalancing away from defence was sound at the time, commercial markets have softened significantly since then, while pure-play defence peers have re-rated to all-time highs.It said the rights issue further dented sentiment and in turn valuation multiples, meaning the stock still looks cheap, but the the impending management change cannot be ignored in the near term."We remain compelled by Cobham's valuation, this is still the highest margin defence company on the planet trading at just 12.6x FY16E P/E, with a 4.8% dividend yield and a free cash flow of yield of around 7%, yet it trades at a P/E discount of around 30% to comparable US defence peers. Clearly the risk/reward looks to be skewed to the upside on a 12 month view," the bank said.Barclays said that while management remains cautiously optimistic in the company just about attaining the second half plan, this is unlikely to be sufficient to see that valuation gap close materially more than it has already as around 30% of revenues are exposed to non-aerospace and defence 'commercial' end markets, offering a lesser degree of safety than the pure-play defence peers."With the balance sheet now addressed the underlying story at Cobham should be a cleaner one. Should management be able to deliver their revised guide, confidence will slowly be restored in this 16% margin, highly cash generative technology business with high barriers to entry."Barclays maintained its 183p price target on Cobham.
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11 Nov 2022 11:56

IN BRIEF: Vistry completes takeover of Countryside Partnerships

Vistry Group PLC - Kent, England-based housebuilder - Completes GBP1.25 billion acquisition of Essex-based operative builders company Countryside Partnerships PLC. On Thursday, High Court of Justice in England & Wales sanctioned the takeover, with Countryside shares being suspended since Friday morning. Vistry applies to admit 127.4 million new shares on the premium listing segment of the official list and to trading on the London Stock Exchange's main market. It expects trading to take place on Monday morning. Vistry stays in the FTSE 250 following the takeover.

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8 Nov 2022 18:39

RPS Group to join FTSE 250, as Vistry buys Countryside Partnerships

(Alliance News) - Countryside Partnerships PLC will leave the FTSE 250 index on Friday, as its takeover by midcap peer Vistry Group PLC takes effect

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25 Oct 2022 15:54

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 26 October 
JPMorgan Global Growth & Income PLCAGM
KCR Residential REIT PLCAGM
International Consolidated Airlines Group SAEGM aircraft purchase
Mid Wynd International Investment Trust PLCAGM
Mirada PLCAGM
Omega Diagnostics Group PLCAGM
Thursday 27 October 
Alumasc Group PLCAGM
Anglesey Mining PLCAGM
Brooks Macdonald Group PLCAGM
City Of London Investment Trust PLCAGM
Filtronic PLCAGM
Hargreaves Services PLCAGM
National Milk Records PLCAGM
Ovoca Bio PLCAGM
PCI-PAL PLCAGM
Provexis PLCAGM
Real Good Food PLCAGM
South32 LtdAGM
TheWorks.co.uk PLCAGM
TruSpine Technologies PLCAGM
Tufton Oceanic Assets LtdAGM
Wesfarmers LtdAGM
Friday 28 October 
ITM Power PLCAGM
Kibo Energy PLCAGM
Mattioli Woods PLCAGM
Shepherd Neame LtdAGM
Tirupati Graphite PLCAGM
The Investment Co PLCAGM
Monday 31 October 
Aberforth Split Level Income Trust PLCAGM
B&M European Value Retail SAGM appointment of directors
Brown Advisory US Smaller Cos PLCAGM
City of London Investment Group PLCAGM
GSTechnologies LtdAGM
London Finance & Investment Group PLCAGM
M&C Saatchi PLCGM re takeover offer from Next Fifteen Communications
Springfield Properties PLCAGM
Superdry PLCAGM
Tavistock Investments PLCAGM
Time Finance PLCAGM
Tuesday 1 November 
Allied Minds PLCGM delisting of shares
Capita PLCGM re disposal of Pay360 Ltd
Countryside Partnerships PLCGM admission of the New Vistry Shares
JPMorgan Mid Cap Investment Trust PLCAGM
KR1 PLCAGM
Ikigai Ventures LtdAGM
Murray Income Trust PLCAGM
OPG Power Ventures PLCAGM
VietNam Holding LtdAGM
Vistry Group PLCGM Countryside acquisition
  
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25 Oct 2022 11:03

Jefferies slashes targets for UK housebuilders to reflect downturn scenarios

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Jefferies took an axe to their target prices for several of the UK's largest homebuilders, telling clients that bottom fishing in the sector might prove premature as industry data had yet to reveal the full extent of the recent financial and political turmoil.

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24 Oct 2022 10:12

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: HSBC raises BP, Land Securities, British Land

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Monday morning and Friday afternoon:

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14 Oct 2022 09:47

Vistry appoints Countryside Partnerships Tim Lawlor as finance chief

(Alliance News) - Kent, England-based housebuilder Vistry Group PLC on Friday appointed Countryside Partnerships PLC's Chief Financial Officer Tim Lawlor into the same role, ahead of its GBP1.25 billion merger with Countryside Partnerships.

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14 Oct 2022 07:33

Vistry COO steps down ahead of proposed Countryside merger

(Sharecast News) - Housebuilder Vistry said on Friday that chief operating officer Graham Prothero will stand down from the group following the completion of its proposed combination with Countryside Partnerships.

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26 Sep 2022 10:06

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Berenberg likes OSB; JPMorgan cuts BP

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Monday morning and Friday:

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21 Sep 2022 09:37

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Citigroup cuts Flutter to 'neutral' from 'buy'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Wednesday morning:

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5 Sep 2022 16:55

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Miners, oil majors and defence shield FTSE 100

(Alliance News) - A resilient FTSE 100 grew in confidence and edged marginally higher on Monday, though European peers struggled, in a downbeat session dominated by energy supply worries on the continent.

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5 Sep 2022 12:35

REPEAT: LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: PMIs, Gazprom send European stocks lower

(Correcting that New York is closed for holiday on Monday.)

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5 Sep 2022 12:15

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Rough PMIs, Gazprom send European stocks lower

(Alliance News) - Stock markets were being sold off on Monday, after Russia cut off gas supply via a key pipeline and a series of private sector surveys confirmed the damage being done to the European economy.

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5 Sep 2022 09:06

TOP NEWS: Vistry to buy Countryside Partnerships for GBP1.25 billion

(Alliance News) - Vistry Group PLC on Monday announced it is buying Countryside Partnerships PLC, a Brentwood, Essex-based housebuilder and urban regeneration company.

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5 Sep 2022 08:48

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Countryside and Vistry sign GBP1.3 billion merger

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London were under pressure at the opening bell on Monday, as the mood turned sour on Friday evening after Russia shut off access to a key gas pipeline.

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5 Sep 2022 07:51

LONDON MARKET BRIEFING: Gazprom's move gets week off to bumpy start

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London are set to kick off the new week on the back foot, as Russia's move to stop gas deliveries to Europe is giving investors pause, amid growing fears of an energy crisis.

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