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Gasoline appeal fades as refiners chase the next profit boost

Thu, 16th Jun 2016 11:19

* Diesel gets boost from Asian heat, French strikes

* Driving demand soars, but full tanks scupper profits

* U.S. diesel profit crept above gasoline in summerabnormality

By Ahmad Ghaddar and Libby George

LONDON, June 16 (Reuters) - Just as drivers hit the road forsummer holidays, refiners are turning the taps down on gasolineas a global excess cuts into their profits.

Refiners in Europe, Asia and the United States, from themighty ExxonMobil down to smaller players such asItaly's Saras, amped up the proportion of gasoline theychurned out to cash in on record driver demand.

But now they are moving back to the diesel, jet fuel andheating oil that for more than a year had become a "by-product"they did not want.

"The pendulum of profitability between gasoline and dieselis set to swing back toward the latter during the next 12months," ESAI analyst John Galante said in an annual forecast."Tightness in the global gasoline market has run its course."

Already, Europe's refineries are moving towards diesel,traders said, while Asian units are maximising jet fuel. In theUnited States, Husky Energy in Lima, Ohio, is makingmore diesel, while Delta Air Lines is considering switching itsTrainer, Pennsylvania refinery to maximise diesel.

The shift is due in part to the success of their own effortsto do everything they could - from choosing different crude oilto tweaking the way they ran their units - to capitalise onbooming gasoline and naphtha demand.

Most can only shift a small amount of production from oneproduct to another - less than 5 percent, even in a best-casescenario - but the worldwide effort had a big impact.

Physical supply of so-called light-end products builtquietly on ships, at refineries and in storage tanks, with evenChina exporting gasoline to the United States. The figures arenow showing up in official data.

According to Euroilstock, gasoline inventories in Europeclocked a counter-seasonal build of 3 million barrels from Aprilto May, while even the U.S. Energy Information Administrationhas shown some builds in gasoline stocks despite record demandfrom drivers.

"It has become clear that this is really not 2015 anymoreand that the effects of yield-shifting exercises across theglobe have more or less taken care of what we assume to still bestrong demand growth for gasoline," analysts at JBC wrote.

At the same time, an unexpected shortfall in diesel and jetfuel crept in, buoyed by strikes that closed four Frenchrefineries and extreme heat from El Nino that boosteddistillates burned in power generators in India, Pakistan andVietnam.

Last week, premiums for gasoline over ultra-low-sulphurdiesel fell to flat on a per-barrel basis for the first timesince March, in Europe, and November, in Asia, according to JBC.U.S. gasoline traded at a discount to diesel on Wednesday forthe first time seasonally in three years <1RBc1-HOc1>.

Still, the shift could prove to be only a short-term profitaid. One trader said the change "makes little sensehistorically", while analysts warned it could simply crushdiesel margins.

"If they are forced to make more diesel it will underminethose economics, particularly as August is typically a slowperiod for demand," said Robert Campbell, head of oil productswith Energy Aspects. (Additional reporting by Jarrett Renshaw and Devika KrishnaKumar in New York and Seng Li Peng and Roslan Khasawneh inSingapore; Editing by Dale Hudson)

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7 May 2024 08:51

TOP NEWS: BP keeps up pace of share buybacks despite profit decline

(Alliance News) - BP PLC on Tuesday launched a fresh share buyback, despite a drop in first-quarter profit due to lower oil and gas prices and weaker fuels margins.

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7 May 2024 07:02

BP in $1.75bn buyback as Q1 profits fall on weaker prices, margins

(Sharecast News) - BP reported a worse-than-expected fall in first-quarter profit on the back of lower oil and gas prices, an outage at a US refinery and "significantly weaker" fuels margins as it also started a $1.75bn share buyback.

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6 May 2024 15:01

Shell to exit South Africa's downstream businesses

CAPE TOWN, May 6 (Reuters) - Oil major Shell will divest its majority shareholding from a local South African downstream unit after a comprehensive review of its businesses across all regions, it said on Monday.

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3 May 2024 13:47

British regulator awards more North Sea oil and gas licences

NSTA awards 31 new licences aimed at boosting output

*

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2 May 2024 12:02

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: FTSE 100 shines but "mixed feelings" after Fed

(Alliance News) - London's FTSE 100 was solidly higher on Thursday, outperforming European peers, as earnings from the likes of Shell and Standard Chartered impressed.

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1 May 2024 18:30

Sector movers: Oil, Autos drag on FTSE 350

(Sharecast News) - Weakness in the oil patch and among select cyclicals dragged on the FTSE 350 in the middle of the week.

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30 Apr 2024 14:38

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 1 May 
Anexo Group PLCFull Year Results
Cambridge Cognition Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Computacenter PLCTrading Statement
Georgia Capital PLCQ1 Results
GSK PLCQ1 Results
Haleon PLCTrading Statement
HSS Hire Group PLCFull Year Results
Intelligent Ultrasound Group PLCFull Year Results
Maintel Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Next PLCTrading Statement
Smith & Nephew PLCTrading Statement
Thursday 2 May 
Endeavour Mining PLCQ1 Results
First Tin PLCTrading Statement
Hiscox LtdTrading Statement
International Personal Finance PLCTrading Statement
Kerry Group PLCTrading Statement
Lancashire Holdings LtdTrading Statement
Melrose Industries PLCTrading Statement
NAHL Group PLCFull Year Results
Reach PLCTrading Statement
Shell PLCQ1 Results
Smiths News PLCHalf Year Results
Smurfit Kappa Group PLCTrading Statement
Spectris PLCTrading Statement
Standard Chartered PLCQ1 Results
TI Fluid Systems PLCQ1 Results
Friday 3 May 
InterContinental Hotels Group PLCTrading Statement
Mondi PLCTrading Statement
Trainline PLCFull Year Results
Monday 6 May 
no events scheduled 
Tuesday 7 May 
Arecor Therapeutics PLCFull Year Results
BP PLCQ1 Results
Ebiquity PLCFull Year Results
IWG PLCTrading Statement
Kosmos Energy LtdQ1 Results
MaxCyte IncQ1 Results
Trident Royalties PLCTrading Statement
Vaalco Energy IncQ1 Results
  
Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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29 Apr 2024 14:21

Norway's wealth fund falls short on climate ambitions, NGO says

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24 Apr 2024 19:30

Trans Mountain oil shippers raise concerns about risk of delay to full service

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24 Apr 2024 13:24

Pressure on gas and LNG prices to help switch from coal, says J.P. Morgan

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24 Apr 2024 09:58

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast as costs fall, Tyrving to start sooner

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24 Apr 2024 05:38

Aker BP Q1 beats forecast on record output, lower cost

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18 Apr 2024 14:45

BP's gas and renewables boss steps down, as CEO shrinks leadership

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18 Apr 2024 14:12

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

Friday 19 April 
Murray International Trust PLCAGM
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Monday 22 April 
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Travis Perkins PLCAGM
Tuesday 23 April 
AIQ LtdAGM
NatWest Group PLCAGM
Taylor Wimpey PLCAGM
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abrdn PLCAGM
abrdn Equity Income Trust PLCAGM
AssetCo PLCAGM
Breedon Group PLCAGM
British American Tobacco PLCAGM
Bunzl PLCAGM
Coro Energy PLCAGM
Croda International PLCAGM
Entain PLCAGM
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Serco Group PLCAGM
Synectics PLCAGM
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Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
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LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: FTSE 100 up despite hawkish Fed rates outlook

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