Rainbow Rare Earths Phalaborwa project shaping up to be one of the lowest cost producers globally. Watch the video here.
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I'm considering accepting this bid because the alternatives don't look very promising.If they could refinance they would have by now.With no counter offer and this bid failing I can see a sharp fall in the share price.As part of Avingtrans and a larger entity we could have a bright future with the debt wiped out.
If refinancing were impossible or even difficult, you surely wouldn’t have a senior bod member in Maurice Critchley not recommending this merger. It’s more about this rather nebulous concept of bod members’ “commercial assessment” imo. The split means there’s a very strong view HAYT’s future is best left in its own hands. The absence of news suggests to me that dealing with refinancing and good news is being delayed/suppressed. I agree the sp might fall if the merger doesn’t go ahead, but imo only temporarily, because we’d also probably see a swift refinancing and hopefully release of order book/cash collection news. That will be being withheld atm. There’d be board changes too causing more uncertainty. PS Where's our chum shareminator?! I don't know where his info came from but I think he was suggesting the merger option was being pursued because otherwise a placing was necessary to recapitalise, but this was being resisted by the bod (minus MC) as they lacked funds to participate and were playing dog in the manger by going for merger so as not to dilute themselves in the placing, and so that ELB could get a bod position at AVG. Sorry if I've misquoted you shareminator.
dannatt - We won't ever know about the alternatives if the bid succeeds. Like flundra I agree refinancing would still be on the table, we began delaying the repayment of loans before we received an official offer so presumably the bank were comfortable extending discussions with HAYT. It was only later that AVG began their due diligence in the offer period although it may have begun earlier, it's difficult to know. I would point out there is no chance of AVG "wiping out the debt". They have other pies in the oven which will require heavy investment in the coming months and years. I would expect if the deal is successful, they will repay the £2.4m and potentially secure a refinancing of debt, but will opt to retain the vast majority of its cash. I agree being a part of a larger entity we could have a more secure future but by no means will shareholders here be richly rewarded for supporting this company over the years. We are being bought out on the cheap. The future combined value may act as a ceiling especially given the uncertain trading performance AVG reported. HAYT had a much stronger second half in terms of operations by contrast. Flundra - I'm still here but I'm not at my trading platform until 19th so I can't comment in too much detail. But I'm largely in agreement with your posts. I would add this deal if successful will save the disgraced ELB (in terms of sentiment) by projecting him into a position on an enlarged board of AVG directors, enlarging the HAYT group under new leadership and dealing with the outstanding loans. Ofcourse this would all come at the expense of shareholders but when has that ever stopped unscrupulous directors? The best thing we can hope for is a counter offer but failing that, this deal needs to fall through. Shareholders should not be cowed into thinking plan A put forward is our best option when it only suits certain individuals and persons with an interest in AVG. Keep up the posts, enjoy reading here :)