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Beneath the public negotiations announcements there have always been secret negotiations going on. They never stop - it's the same with China, NkOREA, etc... Even when ambassadors are recalled/rejected secret diplomatic dealing remains ongoing
Buysellrepeat - a comment from Lavrov was very telling recently. It was something along the lines of that the US should return to silent diplomacy. Aka stop leaking things to the news and reporting it.
news in the west is packaged with beginning, middle and end. The editors are managing a middle story at the moment. There is no hint of an end story, so they follow mostly other 'current' stories at the moment.
Russia is in big trouble and will become increasingly unpredictable as it tries to cover up its internal collapse. It fooled amnesty international for example, but truth is out already over that as they steered researchers to filtration camp detainees who would be freed if they claimed Ukraine was doing this or that.
I will not even be surprised to hear Russian propaganda false flagging a nuclear strike, or trying to set it up. That will be too much for lower level commanders. Rebellion is rife on battlefields at the moment.
All over by October. POLY to announce dump of all Russia tixic Assets within weeks, irrespective of war end date. Rehabilitation for Russia will take many years, probably over a decade.
Well HIMARS has basically ended the Russian advance. They dont even have the big rockets yet either. Not sure how Russia can ever win this from their perspective. Surely they must know they have gone as far as they ever will now. Problem is that want to keep what they have stolen and that wont be tolerated by anyone. The US is happy to keep sending weapons and the UAF are happy to keep shooting them as the Russians. The Russian economy is facing collapse and energy prices will fall with a global slowdown. Even China is facing economic collapse but nobody is reporting it in the MSM.
I dont see a peace deal anywhere. Maybe a frozen conflict at best.
Has anyone noticed that the reporting of daily war progress has dropped on both sides - Western media and Russia media. It looks like there is a deliberate attempt to push the war into the background were a deal can be made secretly. I strongly feel Russia and the US are negotiating secretly.
@easywins
https://youtu.be/INeFMIFMMvA
People will only put up with this for so long. Now it’s summer it’s bearable, shorter days and lower temperatures will test the best of people.
"... the public in Uk and Europe and Russia Will put pressure on ending the war"
How would this happen in practice?
You're getting desperate for that energy ace card to carry weight. Except countries are quickly turning back to coal. Putin won't be able to force the EU's hand to force Zelenski's hand (and the Ukrainians would never accept surrender) so sanctions will remain in place. Bear in mind too, there is a very high head of steam building up in opposition to all the green crap and problems it causes which is showing through. Putin has relied on the greens to steer Europe into a dependant corner. He has actually gifted the burgeoning rebellion against the greens a vehicle to use. Another brilliant miscalculation. THAT is why debates of yesteryear on here about climate change have been very relevant. There is no ace card for Russia to play as the zero carbon hysteria is being pushed back increasingly so leverage to end the war to suite Russia will not happen and so sanctions and pariah status continue for much longer and so POLY should not 'hope' to hang on with toxic assets and must split the company and preserve what is left.
True - the public in Uk and Europe and Russia Will put pressure on ending the war !
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/energy-bills-russia-price-cap-b2132661.html
Energy bills set to hot £500 a month. I am sorry BUT Ukraine has to start making peace. The UK population will turn on you and Europe(France, Germany and Italy) already want a deal.
Smell the Coffee Zelensky. No one loves you £500 a month much.
Wishful thinking BSR. The grain deal was blood out of a stone! It's easy to clutch at straws.
The indication something is up is when Russia claims it is holding a ceasefire to allow peace negotiations, as it did before, and expecting Ukraine to drop its weapons on command. Russian ceasefires actually mean they are in trouble and trying to buy time to resupply and regroup. Russian independent ceasefires are conditional are also a setup for Ukraine to be seen as breaking them responding to attacks are through false flag events.
Realism is the order of the day. The war is as far from an end as it could be.
We all know about the Grain export Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
We know about the turbine release "Negotiations" between Canada, Germany and Russia.
Now the US and Russia are negotiating a Prisoner swap.
All.these look to me like "Testing the waters" looking to see if there are able to negotiate a peace deal.
I expect the US and Russia peace deal to be swift. They both know what they want and they are two countries that understand Realpolitik.
Fingers crossed.
#PeaceInOurTime