Ronwin, I would very much expect a much improved load factor for March.
From viewing the flight schedules to and from MBY during the month, the 4 days in which they had reduced the flight to 1 per day, it was nearly always close to full.
I also suspect prior to amalgamation of the DAR-LUN and DAR-HRE flights, we were probably struggling to achieve a 50% load factor on those routes. Again, having viewed the flight schedules for the amalgamated flights, it would seen that the outward leg to LUN and HRE is operating with a very high load factor and the return leg much improved than the situation prior to amalgamation.
In 2014, PAX numbers fell slightly in March compared with February so I would be surprised if that trend were reversed. But I do think we are more savvy this year in terms of a/c utilisation so would expect us to lose less money this March.
AFAIK, most airlines in the world lose money in H1 and I doubt that FJ can buck that trend.
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B787, There were fewer seats flown during March. Over the month, their were 32 fewer flights on the DAR-MBY route, 8 fewer on the DAR-EBB route and the DAR-LUN/HRE routes were amalgamated, so there were 24 fewer flights in total on those amalgamated routes. Some of those flight reductions did actually commence at the end of February, so the difference may not be quite as great as I've stated, but very close.
In feb there were 52,801 pax carried, 1,886 per day, with a load factor of 70%.
If the load factor increased in March to 72% and there were the same number of seats each day (maybe it's even increased marginally?) then this would be just over 60k for March. I (maybe optimistically) think this is a realistic possibility and, if so, the pax stats will look very good indeed for an off season month!
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