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Asset Manager Report

3 Apr 2012 17:30

RNS Number : 7654A
Doric Nimrod Air One Limited
03 April 2012
 



THIS ANNOUNCEMENT AND THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS NOT FOR PUBLICATION, RELEASE, OR DISTRIBUTION, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN, OR INTO, THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION IN WHICH THE SAME WOULD BE UNLAWFUL. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF SECURITIES FOR SALE IN THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION IN WHICH SUCH AN OFFER OR SOLICITATION IS UNLAWFUL.

DORIC NIMROD AIR ONE LIMITED

Announcement of Asset Manager's Report

3 April 2012

 

Doric Nimrod Air One Limited (the "Company"), a new Guernsey-domiciled company, is pleased to present the quarterly Fact Sheet in respect of the period from 1 January 2012 to 31 March 2012.

 

Doric Asset Finance Limited, the Company's Asset Manager, has provided the Company with this commentary on the Company's airplane and a copy of their report is appended below for the benefit of shareholders.

 

*****

 

On the invitation of the directors of the Company, the following commentary has been provided by Doric Asset Finance Limited as Asset Manager of the Company and is provided without any warranty as to its accuracy and without any liability incurred on the part of the Company, its directors and officers and service providers. The commentary is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice. Potential investors in the Company should seek their own independent financial advice and may not rely on this communication in evaluating the merits of an investment in the Company. The commentary is provided as a source of information for shareholders of the Company but is not attributable to the Company.

 

QUARTERLY FACT SHEET

 

DORIC NIMROD AIR ONE LIMITED

LSE: DNA

CISX: DNA

 

The Company

 

Doric Nimrod Air One Limited ("DNA") is a Guernsey domiciled company which listed on the Specialist Fund Market of the London Stock Exchange and the Channel Islands Stock Exchange on 13th December 2010. DNA has purchased one Airbus A380-861 aircraft, manufacturer's serial number (MSN) 016, which it has leased to Emirates Airlines, the national carrier owned by the Investment Corporation of Dubai, based in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

 

Investment Strategy

 

DNA's investment objective is to obtain income returns and a capital return for its Shareholders by acquiring, leasing and then selling a single aircraft. DNA will receive income from the lease and its directors intend to target a gross distribution to shareholders of 2.25 pence per share per quarter (9p per annum).

 

 

 

 1. The Doric Nimrod Air One Airbus A380

 

The Airbus A380 with manufacturer's serial number (MSN) 016 is registered in the United Arab Emirates under the registration mark A6-EDC. For the period from original delivery of the aircraft to Emirates in November 2008 until the end of February 2012, a total of 1,780 flight cycles were registered. Total flight hours were 14,542. This is equal to an average flight duration of approximately eight hours.

 

Amongst its 169 aircraft in operation as of March 2012, Emirates has a fleet of 21 A380s which currently serve 17 destinations worldwide: Auckland, Bangkok, Beijing, Hong Kong, Jeddah, Johannesburg, Kuala Lumpur, London Heathrow, Manchester, Munich, New York JFK, Paris, Rome, Seoul, Shanghai, Sydney and Toronto. Amsterdam will become the 19th A380 point after an A380 deployment to Tokyo in July. Recent visits of the A380 owned by the Company (MSN 016) included London, Munich, New York and Sydney during the first quarter of 2012.

 

Company Facts (31st March 2012)

Listing

LSE and CISX

Ticker

DNA

Share Price

115.5p

Market Capitalisation

£49 million

Anticipated Dividend

2.25p per quarter (9p per annum)

Anticipated Dividend Payment Dates

April, July, October, January

Currency

GBP

Launch Date/Price

13th December 2010 / 100p

Incorporation

Guernsey

Asset Manager

Doric Asset Finance Limited

Corp & Shareholder Advisor

Nimrod Capital LLP

Administrator

Anson Fund Managers Ltd

Auditor

Ernst and Young LLP

Market Makers

Shore Capital Ltd

Winterflood Securities Ltd

SEDOL, ISIN

B4MF389 , GG00B4MF3899

Year End

31st March

Stocks & Shares ISA

Eligible

Website

www.dnairone.com

 

Maintenance status

Emirates maintains its A380 aircraft fleet based on a maintenance program according to which minor maintenance checks are performed every 1,500 flight hours and more significant maintenance checks (so called C checks) every 24 months or 12,000 flight hours, whichever comes first. The next C check is expected to fall due in the last quarter of 2012.

 

Inspections

The next inspection of the aircraft by the asset manager is scheduled during the aforementioned C check later in 2012.

 

Hairline Cracks

Since late 2011, hairline cracks have been discovered in a small number of L-shaped metal brackets within the wing structure of some A380s. There are 2,000 brackets (known as rib-skin attachments or wing rib feet) in each 9,100-square-foot wing, which attach the wing's upper and lower skins to ribs running throughout the wing. Only a handful of brackets on any given aircraft were found to have cracks. The aircraft remain fully airworthy and pose no risk to flight safety as affirmed by EASA and Airbus.

 

Airbus has traced the source of the cracking in A380 wing structures to the choice of a less flexible aluminum alloy used to make the wing brackets and the stresses involved during the manufacturing process when sections of the wing are put together. The airframer has started to implement changes in the manufacturing process to ensure that wing assembly does not generate unforeseen stresses. Airbus has also developed a fix for affected aircraft by supplying repair kits as well as providing technical and logistical support to its airline customers.

 

In early February the European Aviation Safety Agency ("EASA") issued an updated airworthiness directive ("AD") in relation to certain wing rib feet cracks on A380s, which replaced an earlier AD from 20th January 2012. This latest AD called for all A380s in operation to be inspected. This should also help to collect more information about the issue. Under the new directive, the seven airlines currently operating A380s must carry out checks and preliminary repairs on every plane before its 1,300th flight. Aircraft already approaching or beyond the threshold must be checked and repaired almost immediately. The aircraft owned by the Company (MSN 016) was recently inspected in March 2012. The cracks detected on this occasion were repaired. The aircraft has since returned to normal commercial service.

 

Airbus is also in the process of defining more specific inspection and repair activities as well as a permanent solution to prevent the appearance of any cracks in the future. Both the present repairs, which basically involve replacing cracked rib feet with new rib feet, as well as the future prevention measures, will be covered by the applicable manufacturer's warranties. In the meantime airlines with A380s on lease will continue to operate the aircraft and their lease rental obligations will remain absolute and unconditional on these events.

 

While this AD has received a fairly large amount of press interest, there are hundreds of ADs issued for commercial aircraft every year by different aviation authorities which together with aircraft manufacturers monitor, control and ensure the continued safe operation of commercial aircraft.

 

 

2. Market Overview

 

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported that full year 2011 passenger demand rose 5.9 per cent compared to 2010, in line with long-term growth trends. In contrast, cargo markets contracted by 0.7 per cent for the year. Growth in demand lagged capacity increases at 6.3 per cent (passenger) and 4.1 per cent (cargo) putting downward pressure on load factors. The average passenger load factor for 2011 was 78.1 per cent (2010: 78.3 per cent), while the freight load factor was 45.9 per cent (2010: 48.1 per cent). IATA estimated that despite the challenging economic environment the global aviation industry generated an operating profit of USD 7.9 billion in 2011 (2010: USD 15.8 billion).

 

At the end of last year IATA predicted passenger demand to increase by 4.0 per cent in 2012, while cargo was expected to show flat growth. International passenger demand rose 5.5 per cent in January year over year. Middle East airlines showed the strongest traffic growth with 14.5 per cent in January compared to the same month last year followed by Latin American carriers (+7.9 per cent) and Asia-Pacific airlines (+6 per cent). Air freight kilometers flown were 8 per cent below January 2011 levels. However, there were major distortions to the data in January due to the Chinese New Year holiday occurring a month earlier than last year. In January, holiday travel and factory closures boosted revenue passenger kilometers and depressed air freight kilometers by several percentage points.

 

IATA issued a revised forecast on 20th March 2012 stating that airline industry profit will more than halve in 2012, falling to USD 3 billion as oil prices rise. This USD 500 million reduction from the December forecast is primarily driven by a rise in the expected average price of oil to USD 115 per barrel, up from the USD 99 per barrel previously forecast. Although IATA had concerns at the beginning of the year that an unsolved sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone could result in a more severe banking crisis and more widespread economic weakness in 2012, sharply rising oil prices have replaced Eurozone debt as the major downside risk in recent weeks. Political tensions in the Gulf region increase the risk of significantly higher oil prices, the implications of which could put the industry into losses.

 

In 2011 the airframe manufacturers Airbus and Boeing managed to deliver for the first time more than 1,000 aircraft. Boeing's production is set to rise by 20 per cent this year to 585-600 aircraft, while Airbus forecasts around 575 deliveries, which would put their combined output in 2012 at over 1,150 aircraft.

 

Source: IATA

 

3. Lessee - Emirates Key Financials and Outlook

 

The aircraft is leased to Emirates for an initial term of 12 years, with fixed lease rentals for the duration.

 

For the first six months of the current financial year 2011/2012 ending 30th September 2011, Emirates generated a net profit of USD 225 million despite paying USD 1 billion more in fuel costs compared with the same period last year and despite fluctuating exchange rates. Net profit for the same period in the last business year was USD 925 million. In addition, the company's revenues increased by 15 per cent per annum to USD 8.3 billion over the same time period. At the same time the airline posted strong business growth both in terms of capacity on offer and traffic carried. Capacity measured in Available Seat Kilometers (ASKM), grew by 8.2 per cent, whilst passenger traffic carried measured in Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPKM) was up 5.7 per cent. Therefore, the Passenger Seat Factor declined slightly compared to the same period of the last business year but sustained at a level of 79.3 per cent.

 

Emirates' cash position on 30th September 2011 remained at about USD 3.8 billion, almost the same level as on 31st March 2011 at the begin of the business year.

 

Business figures for the whole business year 2011/2012 are expected to be announced sometime in May 2012. The president of Emirates, Tim Clark, already indicated in late March 2012 that Emirates's fuel bill accounts for 45 percent of costs and may jump by USD 1.7 billion in the year ending March 31. Clark also added that Emirates is nevertheless sticking with a no-hedging strategy rather than risking a losing bet.

 

The Emirates fleet carries more than 30 million passengers per year to a network of currently 122 cities. The airline has already launched seven new routes in 2012. Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro were added at the beginning of 2012, followed by Dublin later in January. February saw the addition of new African routes to Lusaka and Harare and an ultra-long-haul service to Dallas-Fort Worth while March saw service commence to Seattle. The route expansion will continue with a new service to Ho Chi Minh City in June, Barcelona in July and Washington DC in September.

 

To sustain this growth the airline seeks to hire 450 pilots and around 4,000 cabin crew in the next fiscal year starting from 1st April 2012.

 

 

Source: Emirates

 

4. Aircraft - A380

 

At the end of February 2012, the global A380 fleet consisted of 71 planes that were in service with seven operators: Emirates (21 A380 aircraft), Singapore Airlines (16), Qantas (12), Deutsche Lufthansa (8), Air France (6), Korean Airways (5) and China Southern Airlines (3). In 2012, two new operators - Thai Airways and Malaysian Airlines - will join the existing seven airlines family of A380 operators. With close to 30 more expected to be delivered over the year, the in-service fleet will approach 100 by the end of 2012.

 

A380s are flying on some 50 routes to 28 destinations, and operate to/from 12 of the top 20 airports in total passenger throughput and 14 of world largest international airports. Airbus secured gross orders for 29 A380s in 2011. In early January 2012 Airbus won a contract from Hong Kong Airlines Ltd. for 10 A380s. The order lifts Airbus's A380 backlog to 182 planes.

 

Quellen: IATA, Boeing, Airbus

 

For further information, please contact:

For administrative and company information:

Anson Fund Managers Limited

+44 (0) 1481 722260

For shareholder information:

Nimrod Capital LLP

Richard Bolchover and Marc Gordon

+44 (0) 20 3355 6855

 

END OF ANNOUNCEMENT

 

E&OE - in transmission.

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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