Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
Tugs & special craft...
A useful technique when marinetraffic is showing confusing data is to look at the same space on vesselfinder side by side. The differences relate to the different algorithms used to select which data is presented to us freeloaders who don't pay for the service!
You'll find that the two sites have a very different approach to old or out of date data. Vesselfinder drops old data from the map, whereas marinetraffic leaves it there for longer.
They also display satellite routed AIS data differently.
Marinetraffic labels any ship sending it's data via satellite as "Tug or special craft". Because of a quirk in the algorithm that marinetraffic uses to present the free version of the data, this means that a ship can have two positions marked on the map at once, one old position labelled correctly sourced from VHF transmitted data, and a more recent position labelled "tug or special craft" derived from the satellite sourced data.
Lancaster is at a distance just on the edge of VHF reception from land, the weather playing an important part in the effective VHF range and whether VHF or satellite communication is used to transmit the AIS data to us. Once the AM is installed in location, you'll see more often how the different technologies and websites affect how the AIS data is presented to us.
No anchors on this job - the buoy moorings are held in place with piles.
and no, the support vessel and FPSO are not moving, it's probably just the way the GPS and AIS are interacting to give false movement readings when the wind or tide changes direction, very likely as high tide was about half an hour ago.
Exactly what we'll need very soon...
“There’s plenty of gas handling. We’ve got the Sullom Voe Terminal and next to it the Shetland Gas Plant, and there’s plenty of access to St Fergus. It’s just to get some of the infrastructure to that northern area, or indeed to other areas west of Shetland that would probably need that instigator. Once you’ve got that main initiation to a pipeline, then lots of the smaller things around about all become easier to get into development.”
https://www.energyvoice.com/oilandgas/north-sea/189647/oga-and-operators-work-to-solve-infrastructure-puzzle/
We can discuss Hurricane, and that is MY motive.
We don't need the manipulators ramping and deramping here posting false information.
He can carry on posting if he likes, but he's not to be trusted.
There are far too many inconsistencies in his supposed first posts on a BB, and he shows far too much intimate knowledge of Hurricane and how the stock market works for a supposed first time investor..
If we're to discuss Hurricane, we have to be able to trust what is posted.
of course you're out of here... you've been busted.
Carmaybe: "Before last week I had never looked at any investments or a BB for that matter."
That is a lie. As are much of his other supposedly first BB posts.
Don't trust this guy, he's obviously far better informed than he's trying to make out, that's so obvious from his posts.
He's a worse liar than a member of the cabinet.
It's always the same, an AIM company gets to a critical phase in their development, then all the peeps who think that they can manipulate the market arrive.
surprised no one has come up with the real reason why they decided to shelter in Cromarty rather than Lerwick...
it was a too good to turn down opportunity for a photo shoot!
In reality, I think the crew probably prefer the pubs around Cromarty to the ones in Lerwick. These sorts of arbitrary decisions often get decided by "irrelevant" and personal factors. Laugh if you will, but I've seen that time and time again in both the military and industry. As long as the sailing time back to location is less than the notice time of good weather from the forecasts, it's not going to make any difference is it?
The good news is no RNS. That means no significant problems.
The destination was also Cromarty on the way north, but they didn't call into the firth.
Maybe the idea was to stop at Nigg to collect some component they need that was being shipped to there,
but the thing they need wasn't ready / hadn't been shipped there yet, and the opportunity of the weather window to test the hookup / unhook was too good to miss for this time of year.
Getting that test in and done means when there's another suitable window, they'll be able to hookup with speed and confidence. It also means one more test checked off so they know whether it works or something else needs attention. It's all progress. At least, we know there's no problem with the DPS, that seems to be working very well.
It may be that as she's still free sailing, the logistics of picking up / getting fixed the whatever is easier and quicker by returning to Nigg than shipping the components and personnel to Lancaster.
Probably just another small snag of the sort you always get on large projects like this, nothing that some brain and brawn won't fix. The fact they may have known about it on the way up indicates it's probably nothing to do with the hookup.
Only having 2% + 2% of the information makes it impossible to deduce much else, unless the company tells us what's going on we're not going to get an answer with more than 4% probability of being correct. :-0
As always, patience.
another thought occurs... why they're wandering some distance from the SURF.
They're about to start up an oil refinery...
It might make sense to do some of that initial commissioning away from the buoy and risers.
If the ship had a calamitous incident, it would be better for it to occur a few miles off, rather than directly above the installation, a low probability but high impact risk.
"It is just paperwork submitted by HUR and/or Bluwaterand, not an indicator of success."
correct, the Admiralty warning notice is a maritime safety notice to other shipping to stay clear, nothing to do with company operational status.
I wouldn't necessarily expect an RNS today,
We don't know what tests and checks they have to do before 'permanently' latching on, and they won't RNS until they've done all that.
Like it or not, HUR don't do "progress reports".
One important point about our new lady director...
The appointment in adding diversity to the board ticks another box on the path to a full listing.
Swivelling about the buoy should be shown by the AIS course/heading.
The move to the NE seems strange as there are a few anomalies in the AIS data, especially when you compare the detailed track point data between marine traffic and vessel finder. To start with, the NE track shown has doglegs making it easy to compare supposedly identical positions between the two sites, yet the detail doesn't match.
The vessel finder has the track points starting from 15:24, but the marinetraffic equivalent point's times are from 18:24?
Gut feel says something is causing either (or both) the input GPS positioning or the output position reporting. We did get dodgy data from the ship in Dubai with is going downtown for a curry, I wonder if it's atmospherics or if they've started up something that's causing interference again? Resolving radio frequency interference can be a bit of a black art as it can come and go like a toddler's tantrum.
Another pointer to it being AIS corruption,
Latest data from vesselfinder and marinetraffic:
Marine Traffic
(03-Jan-2019 20:11 (UTC))
Vessel's Local Time: 03-Jan-2019 20:11 (UTC)
Latitude / Longitude: 60.18267° / -3.861333°
Status: Stopped
Speed/Course: 0.0kn / 0
Vesselfinder
Course Speed Current draught
180.0° 0.0 kn 10.0 m
60.18267° / -3.86134°
Last report
(Jan 3, 2019 20:11 UTC)
How can the vessel be pointing due north (0 degrees) and due south(180 degrees) at the same time?
So we could be standing off unhooked, either intentionally or there's something needing sorting before hooking up again. it's probably more likely it's just corrupt AIS data again.
The AM's position is smack over the buoy, she's now been almost stationary for the last hour,
we just need the fat lady to sing...
https://vimeo.com/104287711
There's a chopper flying out to the AM now.
https://www.flightradar24.com/BHL61G
I wonder if they're waiting for it to land and depart before doing the hookup?
Likely if "guests" are on board and want to be there for the hookup, and also it's probably good practice to not have flying things landing and taking off at the same time as you're trying to do the most critical manoeuvre of the year.
yes, but we haven't quite yet removed the risk of hookup going wrong yet.
If anything, today is higher risk than any of the last month, so I wouldn't expect a positive market reaction until at least we get the first vessel tracks of the AM rotating in a static circle.
AM now just 500m due north of the buoy, current weather conditions are looking good.
If she heads straight there at best speed it looks like the weather will be perfect for hookup when she arrives.
or probably more precisely, Nigg, on the other side of the firth,
The AM is many times bigger than the whole of Cromarty port.
Sunset at 16:38, dusk at 17:18 local time tonight in Rotterdam,
so depending on how promptly she moves, we may have a sun set in the background.