RE: Winni Frothing at the Mouth ...29 Jan 2022 11:08
Lucy - I don't actually think that is the case - if you mentioned Gas prices dropping (I doubt like a stone) off then I could understand.
The oil price being where it is at the moment is due to corona and diversification by oilers. Corona has impacted due to the POO dropping like a stone when the world came to a standstill and majors not investing back into felids (wells and fields need maintenance all the time to stop the recoverable rates diminishing). Due to this the supply has dropped off and will take several years to get back to where it was. Add to this, Majors diversifying into green energy and that speed of returning back to previous levels is slow.
The problem being is the world population opening back up after corona and the hunger for global goods and travel will be dramatically faster than the ability to bring the supply back up to the required levels.
There are way more problems than just Russia....
Add to that and the negotiations between the west and Iran going nowhere means Iran isn't pumping. Internal issues in Libya/Egypt/Kazakh, export pipelines being blown up in Kirkuk (Iraq) by IS that goes to Turkey and then on to ports and then the threats of sanctions on Russia and conflict in the Black Sea (Nato v Russia) and the oil/gas supplies that come from there it all just adds to the the stresses on the supply chain.
TBH this is just basic supply and demand - Heid, love her or hate her has been banging on about this for weeks but to be honest it's just basics.
If Russia does invade Ukraine and Nato get involved Oil/gas and gold will go through the roof as well as the Swiss franc as people look for safe havens, most other stocks will get dumped as as people panic.
Just my opinion but tbh it's basic economics