Pulmonary Fibrosis After COVID-19 Pneumonia19 Mar 2021 19:20
Very pleased to see the CEO is improving the communication strategy at NFX with updates via YouTube on the NFX website homepage. Presenting plans after the placing is a very positive development (see nuformix.com).
There is no doubt the timing of the progress in NFX002 at the same time there is growing evidence in the medical profession that IPF is likely to grow substantially as an after effect among some COVID-19 patients who undergo intensive care, is very welcome. The potential growth of IPF is a major concern globally and there is an urgent need to develop new effective treatments for IPF. For example, see Cureus (San Francisco) published this week (assessing a Roche drug for IPF):
https://www.cureus.com/articles/54513-pulmonary-fibrosis-after-covid-19-pneumonia
What is exciting about NXP002 is Anne's confirmation on the intention to do the preclinical trials of NXP002 in the interests of developing an inhaler, whichas she acknowledges is by far the most effective, cost-effective and user friendly means of treating the lungs (just look at asthma sufferers). For this reason the placing makes full sense to advance the trials on the repurposing of Tranilast/NXP002. Assuming the trials go well, NXP002 has the potential to fill a huge gap in medicine (either via SoC or administered as a monotherapy for IPF). That would be great news for IPF sufferers, the world economy and link NFX shareholders to a very valuable asset. According to my research and taking into account the probable growth of IPF sufferers, we would not be looking at a drug valued in the hundreds of millions, but multi-billion dollar medicine (and that's annually at least until the pandemic is well over).
So to sum up, good luck to the scientists at NFX (especially on NXP002) and shareholders should approve the placing. It's true the investors in the placing are likely to make an instant profit (especially after today) and there is potential for the share price to dilute after the AGM, but looking at it the other way round you could ask, why was the placing oversubscribed?
DYOR and GLA.
UQ