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I put some back in at a tad under 512. That’s some of the ones I sold xd for 521 so got 35p divi on them! Nice!
I had parked some in SEPL as they got 3 x divi’s landing in quick succession. I already hold there so know the stock quite well and in the past it hardly moved after xd recovering next couple days. Also they have takeover news pending. Balances out the pf a bit.
Usual caveats
Trek
PAF gonna go thro 25p and 30p me thinks. The POG goes straight to bottom line. They have additional production coming on line this year. Not in sp if you look back a chart. On budget as well.
When you compare to SRB whose SP has gone nuts it just doesn’t make sense. pAF even pay a small divi!
But then for gold watch TRR. There is still a smallish seller there. When that clears which it will it should gap right up.
Just like my DEC… oh the naysayers! It’s flying! As is ECOR I tipped it to reach 100p. It’s on its way imo. Another BB that is hardly used. Nice when you find em yourself!
TXP I am still up but the sp there is driving me nuts. It’ll prob move on zero news soon!
PHNX sold a load on xd day at 521 so bagged a 26p divi. Bought some back today at 512 so got another 9p on the ones I traded which on a big pot was a lot!
HEX keep an eye on it Tecans. Grab a few before the masses and derisk before the drill. Mind you they are like 99% confident in the drill as they are drilling a structure that they know is producing already!
I3E I sold. Change of mind as better offers around. Back on the watchlist for that one PTAL has moved up it’s stayed where it is. Added SEPL instead. Gonna get a triple divi there in quick succession soon and it’s not in price imo.
Usual caveats
Trek
Sector due a rerate or is it happening?
“ According to Business Insider, gold miners experienced their best performance in a year in March 2024. During that month, the gold mining sector outperformed all other U.S. industries, surpassing even the performance of semiconductor stocks.
Still, physical gold has outperformed shares of gold-mining companies over the past three years by one of the largest margins in decades.”
https://elements.visualcapitalist.com/gold-price-vs-gold-mining-stocks/?utm_source=VC+Elements&utm_campaign=e67df38863-VCE_Email_APRIL_09_2024&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_f3fdb4328c-e67df38863-47046010
Trek
And 2-3years of La Niña! Thanks to our resident meteorological poster!
Trek
Hi LOTM,
Yes you are correct. They may not have crossed until listing.
I don’t know why there aren’t other TR1’s yet though. If Edale posted one surely prem Miton must. Even if they sold below.
The issue i have is TR1 compliance is not pursued by the MAR it’s left to the integrity of those involved. I have sent many examples to the MAR and they have has much said they will coach and then the same institutions have carried on!
The first day volume is of note.
https://www.londonstockexchange.com/stock/HEX/helix-exploration-plc/trade-recap
Hopefully Hereford are out or have crossed. Surely we should be getting a run of TR1s soon.
I think this will liven up when the ops news comes through as many rely on RNS’s and risers to spot opportunities.
Usual caveats
Trek
Look at Nigeria’s forecast population growth. It is imo an important long term investment factor for SEPL.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/most-populous-countries-projected-populations-2075/
Usual caveats
Trek
Good that the bod think 85.90p still significantly undervalues the company. Defo holding for now.
Usual caveats
Trek
Check out the admission document….
https://wp-helix-2024.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/media/2024/04/Helix-Admission-document-final.pdf
Page 314 lists significant shareholders…
Directors…loads of them then… it lists corps…
Prem Miton Investors at 4,125,000 or 3.4% (no TR1 yet)
Edale Capital LLP at 3,750,00 or 3.1% (aligns with TR1 of 10th Apr)
Oberon are’nt listed in admission, the TR1 indicated they picked up 13962821, 11.42% on 10th April but the TR1 says...
“Country of registered office (if applicable)
5. Date on which the threshold was crossed or reached
10-Apr-2024”
I confess I don’t know what that means. First time I have ever seen those words in a TR1. But my deduction from the additional info is Oberon have bought +11% of HEX.
The finances are v transparent, the warrant summary is clearly listed on Page 330.
I have now built a spreadsheet with the finance pivots that ‘I know’ and paired it with the anticipated expo program. That should help me trade some hold some!
Oh so don’t folk like to hear that?
So how many of you AIM sycophants have actual read the admission doc or even printed it out and had a go with a highlighter pen. Obviously that’s a rhetorical question!
How many have a trading calendar with key dates against progress and finance burn. Surely you should have that by now. I mean it’s basics. When will HEX run out of cash? Do folk have so much cash they can just chuck it in? If I have invested more then I get paid in a year don’t you think a few hours proper research is needed?
I even pointed out something I can’t fathom yet, but I will work it out!
Good luck to the ‘small punt piggy backers’ coz you know what I think all those ‘smaller’ trades of a few hundred quid make a difference!
Usual caveats
Trek
Well done Broomtree,
I picked up those extra 900 shares at the bell for 10.9179! Buggered my average up, now 924 but I think there’s still legs in this…..
I never thought that data centres driving AI would need 3 x the energy growth!
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-electric-utilities-brace-surge-power-demand-data-centers-2024-04-10/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=Newsletter&utm_campaign=Power-Up&utm_term=041124&user_email=b2e8c97ccc6ddb76107c5b8c6d401963987d41317d2787d216d506bcf903729b
Ps anyone looking for a bit of fun punt, check out HEX. I posted there.
Good luck,
Usual caveats
Trek
Dia
2 have a read through the admin doc and the ppt. Also check out the crux interview.
Interview
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WPBVtIHacJM
Admin doc
https://wp-helix-2024.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/media/2024/04/Helix-Admission-document-final.pdf
Investor ppt
https://wp-helix-2024.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/media/2024/04/Helix-Exploration-March-24-Final.pdf
Website
https://www.helixexploration.com/
And if anyone doubts my words that the US DOE + a chip maker like NVDA or INTEL wouldn’t invest in a helium supply look at the shift in paradigm exemplified by DOE and FORD to protect critical Lithium supplies. So away from China and Africa. $2.3bn from DOE and rest from FORD…
See TRR RNS….
“ LAC has received a conditional commitment (the "Conditional Commitment") from the U.S. Department of Energy ("DOE") for a $2.26 billion loan under the Advanced Technology Vehicles Manufacturing ("ATVM") Loan PrograM”
“ General Motors released $320 million in funding in February 2023 in the largest investment publicly disclosed to date by an automaker in a company to produce battery raw materials, with the second tranche of $330 million expected before or in connection with closing of the DOE loan.”
https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/TRR/thacker-pass-23bn-loan-commitment-from-doe-iy3hztpjvd0xyoe.html
For disclosure I hold TRR, lots of em! But the point is sometimes you gotta think laterally.
With the Chips Act and DOE security of critical commodities supply there really isn’t none much more rare and critical than Helium. it’s needed in defence and space expo.
So the He price is not the driver here. The lithium price is on the floor atm yet it didn’t deter the US investment coz they are serious about supply.
If Trump gets in he will be more serious about supply than Biden but either way all we have to do is find the molecules and the funding doors will fly open!
I added 25k at the close for 10.64p. Not sure why the dip on google I was hoping for 10.5 but couldn’t get it. Have been buying in 25k lumps to get a good average.
Usual caveats
Trek
as well as shell putting boot in e-therapeutics are quitting aim,
“ a british pharmaceuticals company has criticised london’s stock markets for being “completely broken and closed” after announcing plans to de-list and pursue a potential flotation in new york...” times behind paywall.
there was an article that the govt is encouraging insurers to invest in start ups, private ventures. there was an article on phnx recently.
not sure what london se can do really. it’s just like uk plc is uninvestible following brexit. in spite of all the rhetoric there’s been no real deals. opposite in fact we have ****ed off canada, europe and india want loads of free visas! what a mess!
as for red tape now we have 3 reels one for europe, one for the row and now a slimline one for us!
trek
HEX interview if anyone interested. Certainly one of the better interviews. Crux actually asks some questions.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WPBVtIHacJM
I picked up more today. Holding some back though in case it goes below 10. It’s been NT a few times today already but means nowt.
Still I think with the news time line the sp should be way higher before drill. They already have He samples from site and other wells nearby are producing. This campaign is funded for two drills as its way cheaper in US. Good BoD & Bo is Mr Helium!
Check out the interview and if you like tuck a few away and you should be able to sell half on a double before the drill. Mcap is only 13m!
Usual caveats
Trek
Good to have a range of views Snorlax….
Long road,….sampling, appraisal drilling on private land so less regs all THIS year
Numerous dilutions - fully funded for THIS 24 campaign dilution for offtake plant and sp should be much higher. If successful, further funding doesn’t necessarily mean dilution. Look at Thacker. US DOE and FORD paying!
I am with Jungmana and made nearly six figs on he1 first time around and made several bags second time. He1 and a few others set me up for life and I was one of the first posters there.
‘Just’ a few K in here at 12p could reap some nice rewards.
If you are fortunate enough to be able to get 100k shares for 12k then it could easily see 50k profit.
But don’t listen to me I will be trading the story. It’s far too risky for hold and hug imo. But for now the biggest risk is out the way. That’s finance.
Go short on finance long on ops. Finance tick. Once those ops RNS’s start landing the SP logically should move up with progress.
All said I wouldn’t rule out 8p here or 15p in the short term. So keep some powder dry.
That’s my experience of these plays. This one has a good story and a good bod.
We’ll be fine!
Usual caveats
Trek
Hi Tambo,
Hex is the ticker for helix exploration. It’s a us helium exploration company. Similar to folk chasing he1, I made nearly into 6 figs there trading he1 that now look at it! He1 though has better concentrations but the geo, political refine and licenses + infrastructure are more difficult. Hex could end up with US DOE funding for onshoring critical resources similar to what TRR will benefit from.
Hex is not on the radar yet. Only floated Tuesday. Be warned it could go to 8p but don’t panic add more if it does. Look at the admission doc and see the cash the foundation guys have put in. Also check out the vid on proactive. They are fully funded through two drills else I wouldn’t buy.
Anyways be warned I am straight up saying I will be trading them. I may end up keeping a few but that’s not the objective. I have a table with the price pivot points, costs and warrants. So I will have an idea about cash position and newsflow. Fully intend to sell along the way leaving a few for the drill. But I view averaging in now is being on step ahead ready to sell.
It’s a trading stock. The find like TRR is the one to buy and hold it’s much less risky and loads of growth from various commos across different with a pretty fixed cost base. That’s the sort of place you can sleep easier or better still here with a fat divi getting fatter!
Good luck,
Usual caveats
Trek
I like the analogy Nick.
I think having a core holding position and trading a few when there is an opposite probably the less risky way with this.
I added mng, Dec and sepl for income and hex for fun. Will be selling hex so not a tip. It’s a trade.
I think I got mng too early. Looks like sub 200p could be on but it will bounce at some point. Yield is going up sp is going down. Madness!
ECB rate decision at 1330 today. Will likely be unchanged
Good day all, the Phnx will rise.
Usual caveats
Trek
Added 10k at the bell. Run of divi’s coming up is not to be snubbed at. And the last few times it went xd it either recovered like next two days or was divi agnostic!
Nigeria is looking pretty good from a macro perspective. They are everyone’s friend internationally and oil looks like it’s holding up well. Could even go higher. Domestically, economy is not so good atm as growth is constrained but demand is there.
Usual caveats
Trek
Saw price this morning and was better than I expected so took som off at a tad under 521 to split between SEpL who are double xd soon and cash to put back in here. May add a few more Dec see how it goes but with macro some O&G and gold (TRR) is prob sensible. Plenty of time to sell there and come back for sept divi.
Also if anyone hasn’t been made aware HEX is worth checking out. Looks like a good punt. US helium play. Average in now and sell or slice before the drill later this year. SP should be much higher before drill. But remember protect capitol so don’t listen to the rampers if you double your money which is v possible take half out and buy income!
Still got 15k shares in here at under 500p so holding them. Will hopefully have some trading profits to add back before next xd just before sp runs back up.
Good luck all
Usual caveats
Trek
It’s been a tough call this one especially on ‘hold investors’. I started at 120p in old money and average down and traded down by selling and rebuying cheaper and throwing off cash to add stock. It’s been really tough and I appreciate not everyone has the time to do that.
The obvious winners are those that bought under 900p. My average is now 888 after all the trades and allowing for having 900 shares less which I was going to rebuy thinking it would go back below 1000 but alas it hasn’t!
I will hang on to that cash for now. But at the moment the stock yields roughly 10% and is 20% up recently so the 30% is there in a different shape but I would much rather have had the yield and don’t wish to sell now esp at the unnecessary expense of missing income.
It is so difficult to find predictable high yield out there and alas by hook or crook DEC now seems to offer that for the next few years. If indeed that can be believed!
GLA and I truly hope everyone gets back to blue.
Trek
They are all ‘O’ type trades. The spread is +5% but as there is a seller it looks like they are happy to offload stock.
So the ALGO put the price below the mid and prints a sell here. The ALGO can take 10mins to run as well
Remember only the agressors trade is posted for ‘O’ type so the sell can be a buy.
Usual caveats
Trek
How’s that work petro, we could only buy today. Few will be in profit and only by pence.
I am at 10.98p after several buys today. Only opened on ii today.
Like I said upfront buy some trade some.
But now isnt the time to trade. Gotta wait for the bigger price moves which hopefully are ahead of us.
Anyone with any sense in this market should be bagging profits along the way and always taking a free carry.
Or perhaps you are trying to talk off buyers to get an entry.
All part of the jungle, but I will call it as I see it.
Good luck
Usual caveats
Trek