RE: re cap..end of tax year :-)6 Apr 2019 14:51
Zalathedog post from the show below with key points (thanks) shows the over reaction to the interims, with income stream only just statrted and a further $1,307,194 for trade and receivables due shortly all looks set for growth.
The company is now trading at only 6p well below the typical previous level of 14p, before they were funded and generating any sales, so sp is clearly now at bargain price, sales will be expected to grow from here and at just 6p the sp clearly has a great deal more upside than down, particulalrly with the cash position and income generation only likley to grow in comng weeks, :-)
1. Per Fridays’s RNS, HMI expect to be pretax break even for the year to June 2019. I confirmed that this must imply a pretax profit of at least A$1.8m for H2 FY19.
2. Direct costs are currently running at US$15 per tonne but will fall to $10 and then $7.50 at volumes of 100,000 tonnes per annum.
3. Selling prices are $55 per tonne.
4. Receivables of A$1.3m relate to product delivered in December and are subject to a typical payment cycle of 60-90 days. This is standard in the industry.
5. The sales of 86k tonnes announced last year to two distributors are being supplemented with HMI’s own direct sales force of 6 ppl plus one sales manager. Two more are soon to be hired.
6. The KP Fertil product is both a fertiles (for the plant) and a remineraliser (for the soil). KPFÉRTIL has already been certified as a remineraliser and has applied for a similar certification as a fertiler, but this takes more time.
7. The fact that capes is done and profits are expected in H2 means that the current cash level of A$12m should not fall further as the sales cycle is now self financing. On the contrary, cash should build at H2 sales levels.
8. Coffee season is in H1 and soybean season in H2 so KPFÉRTIL sales cycle need not be seasonal over the year.
9. There is absolutely no need to raise money. Even if HMI did not have any revenue at all for three years, the current cash on balance sheet would be sufficient for three years of operating expenses.
10. Operating expenses were A$2.4m in H1, but this included a write-off of money relating to Geoclico and share based payment expense, totalling $1m, which are non recurrent in nature. Excluding these, normalised operating expenses would be A$1.4m per six months or $2.8m per year.
11. A pre tax profit of A$1.8m in H2 would therefore imply a gross profit of A$3.2m in H2. My estimate. At a 60% Gross Profit Margin (same as H1), that would imply revenues of A$5.3m in H2, versus just A$1.0m in H1. My estimate again.