AAOG20 Jan 2019 09:04
I also had a conversation with both James and David on Friday evening. James has stopped communicating with shareholders as he believes his reply's get manipulated the situation, his word at the end were simple - ''it is better for everyone if I let my work do the talking''. That is a fair comment and quite a bullish one at this stage imo. David cannot believe the amount of misinformation and fear mongering being spread across these types of boards. The simple truth on Friday is that we had not even entered the Djeno at that stage, but so many were mirroring the share price to dry Djeno as fact or leak. Not sure why so many trolls were operating Friday here and on twitter, but shows that they were working their own book really.
Now the pad move in the early days, means that the second pad was positioned to hit the djeno at the apex of the horizon. Given that the geo so far is a few metres in range, is simply incredible. They will be into the djeno today, if they have not already sliced through it yesterday. It will then take a day or two to get through the horizon and also to report back if any hydrocarbon shows are there. I myself am confident they will hit the oil here personally. I say this as small hints from site have already been given this week, comments such as 'oily on way down'' and ''onsite confidence is high'' is what you want to hear as you get near the horizon imo. I expect Tuesday or Wednesday to be news days on djeno myself, given the above estimates of djeno intersection.
To me the well is de-risked already, the dips and peaks on the share price is more to do with recent placing and speculators on the share, exacerbated by the fear factor being spread by those who want it to fail. Mengo production will make it cash generating well, which means the continuation of the drilling plan is now financially approved. No djeno and you may see a temporary pull back to 8, before it bounces back to mengo confidence. Lets face it, it went to 18 just on mengo and r zones only a couple of weeks ago!!!
People seem to have forgotten one thing here, the company is still debt free, the recent placing loaded up our cash position adequately. Yes it may have been a pain to have the placing mid drill, but some forget that they placed higher then Sandabels 6.36 conversion and higher then last placing at 8.00. All this and kept the company debt free, which means they now have options for the further drill plan in the future.
So for me, this week coming is a choice between seeing the share price retreat temporary to 8, before bouncing back to 9-11 range after on a no djeno oil hit. Or opening up at 18 and probably going to broker targets of 32 on the same day on a djeno strike. Risk to reward, it is a no brainer from the current share price.