Member Info for spaceman07

Imo there is too many moving parts to predict an accurate future valuation. These markets are sentiment driven, what people are prepared to buy/sell at on any given day. You can refer to charts as an aid but afterall they are just a pointer as to what the Sp might do. Nothing is set in stone, some people try to over analyse things. Markets over shoot and fall inexplicably sometimes, it's all sentiment driven. Trying to pinpoint what future growth will occur and assume what Sp we'll be at is pointless. You'd be far better off concentrating on how undervalued we are at least that's present day. As for anything else you pay your money/take your chance. There is huge potential growth otherwise i wouldn't be invested but it has to be executed. The forward PE says it all really. But DYOR!

"On the positive.

It's the 6'th blue day! Volume is still poor, but the momentum is (slightly) better."

It still won't stop the moaning mind, the same people moan when it goes down and moan when it goes up. Makes you wonder why their invested really lol

"Nice little jump! Let’s get this to £2!!!"

I'll still be holding, don't sell cheap. It'll be like keeping a lion on a leash!

Every day that passes the brakes are slowly coming off, the bird will fly soon imo

As an older investor and somewhat wiser now, I've learnt over the years not to over invest in the first place don't go beyond your means. I wouldnt recommend topping up just for the sake of chasing money either. You have to keep some powder dry and buy the dips should they arise and they will. That said you have to firmly believe in what your doing and not do it half heartedly. I appreciate the nature of this type of share it has huge growth potential, but you do require patience of more than a few weeks. I know alot on here think we will just move vertically, if only investing was as easy as that. Alot of patience is required and no matter what they'll be hiccups along the way. I've held similar type of shares 5 yrs plus before the plan comes to fruition, but patience and belief won the day. DYOR and stick with it!

That's one small step for man, one giant leap for mankind.

Technical - It all depends on what metric you use to value a company, price to book ratios and PE are of course relevant. That said its really difficult to value a growth company of this nature much of it is sentiment driven on what growth they visage in the future. For instance the average PE on the Nasdaq is around 35, ARB 61 and a few on there are trading at 500/600 plus. After significant dilution recently i believe that we are being held back due to churn and could be another few weeks yet. Taking everything into account we should be trading much higher, the growth aspect is staggering and doesn't reflect the current Sp. Normal service will resume eventually its only a matter of time imo.

This dilution isn't a means to keeping the lights on its strategical that's fits in with ARB's business model. The long term value that this dilution brings to ARB far outweighs the short term dilutive effect. If you don't like it moan away but come back in 12 months time and cast your views then.

The fact is i know of any number of companies that don't reach fair value initially, it's a process. This dilution will in time become irrelevant. Naturally after any form of dilution you'll see an increased amount of churn in shares, in this case i think it'll last several weeks yet. Traders will trade away, profit takers will take profit BUT fair value will become apparent at some point. If you are against dilution as a means to grow the company by all means sell. Some of the huge companies tesla springs to mind only grew via dilution, now look at them lol

Imo the shackles won't come off for another month yet, as regards BTC I'd like to see a cooling off period just in time for ARB pushing north. Can't see that happening though i think new ath's are imminent.

"Interesting. How many millions are being dumped? To the nearest two million?"

Impossible question to answer.

"And when you say “dumped”, do you mean “bought by someone “?"

Yes it's a slow process mind. Obviously the we have just as many buyers for those being dumped hence not dropped further.

That would be pretty difficult with millions of shares being dumped presently I'd suggest. Its not the first time the Sp hasn't followed the rise of BTC. Wait until its all cleared fundamentals/value always wins the day.

It's not frustrating at all if you are planning on holding shares for more than 5 minutes, we won't move up in a vertical line. Dilution is a means to promote growth, it doesn't happen overnight. I have a timescale of years so switch off to all this. I've been adding on the quiet.

I think we'll see a rerate at some point £2 and beyond if BTC keeps going. Everything points to this should be happening now, so why isn't it? The only reason is shares are still being dumped from the IPO. Until its cleared nothing will happen its as simple as that, nothing untoward going on.

@Chuz

"The company has grown and is doing well but as an existing shareholders your share is worth less.

What is good for the company is not always good for existing shareholders."

Initially its not good for existing shareholders Sp wise granted but if your vision isn't blinkered we all will benefit. You need to step back and see how the mcap and Sp has grown to date. People would be saying the same thing if/when PW dilutes us at say £5 p/s.

"My theory, if you sell Friday and the Bitcoin goes upover the weekend even 3000 , argo won’t be much bigger sp ? But if it’s t drops 3000 it could b close to 105 , is it worth the risk?? Opinions??"

Why wait for tomorrow? What if tomorrow never comes? We can all make assumptions.

"When will we rise to the occasion as they say ..."

Not sure we will until the dilution has cleared fully and the quiet period is over.

Like i say we won't move higher until the Sp has hit the IPO price or a shade below, nothing untoward going on its nearly always the case market mechanics.

We may have just seen that imo

Regarding the frustrating performance of our Sp i think too many people are venting their anger by creating problems that arn't really there. It's an opportunity to create multiple threads especially for those who's intention is to disrupt the board and troll.
The fact is we haven't dipped below the IPO price it's just a matter of time before the shares are soaked up. We are in a quiet period there is no significant news as such to send the Sp higher. Yes there is the argument BTC has done well since the IPO accompanied with what's appears to be ARB being grossly undervalued now. That said until the discounted diluted shares fall into sticky hands you'll just see people taking 10% or so rinse and repeat. Like i say we are hovering around the IPO levels nothing untoward is going on. People just need to be patient and accept that the dilution was necessary at this point. We haven't just listed on the Nasdaq to stagnate and sit on our hands.

On Nasdaq

Just the start imo it's way undervalued.