Come on Bush6 Jul 2021 13:29
https://www.***************************/ferro-alloy-resources-qa-the-world-needs-us-to-supply-this-vanadium-lonfar/4121008152
Q5: Now, you touched on the vanadium price. How do you see that price moving?
It’s well known, two big drivers, both in a way related to the greening of the economy and reduction of fossil fuels. The traditional one, steel, add a kilogram of vanadium into a tonne of steel and you can almost double it strengths which means use half as much. Making steel is a huge user of fossil fuels, a huge single pit on world energy is making steel, so much of the world economy depends on steel that it’s very, very important.
So, vanadium has a big part to play in reducing that amount of steel, reducing fossil fuels and of course, it’s an economic no-brainer because if you can halve the amount of steel you use in a given application then you’ll save money because saving half the cost of the steel is a lot more expensive than that kilogram or two of vanadium that that’s needed to achieve it. That’s been a growth factor for many years now and the intensity of vanadium used in the world per tonne of steel used in the world has been rising and driving the vanadium industry.
On top of that, we’re now layering another factor, which could, estimates vary, but could at an outside, double the amount of vanadium the world needs and that’s vanadium redox flow batteries. They’re just getting going, but they seem to be getting going very strongly and in the vanadium industry, because it’s small, there isn’t much stock holding, a little increase in demand can greatly affect the price as we found in 2018. So, the price is going to be strong, the pressure is upwards, vanadium is in abundant supply in the world, but it’s all in the form of magnet type, which is very high cost to develop.
If you look where the world is going to get it’s vanadium from, they can get it from these high cost magnetite projects, which need a price of $10/$12/$15 per pound to support it, or it can get it from Ferro-Alloy Resources. We’re very happy with today’s prices, which $8.5/$9, in fact our forecast production cost is down not much over$1.50.
So, the world needs us to supply this vanadium without making it prohibitively expensive for flow batteries, all that demand is going to underpin in the price of vanadium. I think it’s in everybody’s interest that there should be stability in the price of vanadium so that the flow battery industry can get going without having the stop/start caused by the 2018 peak when vanadium went up to $30 a pound compared with its usual price of $6/$7/$8.
So, I’m looking forward to stability, I’m very happy with today’s price, the pressure is going to be upwards and we have a deposit that can really be expanded, there could be a phase II, phase III, phase IV and, and we will run with whatever demand there is.