RE: comparison with solg28 May 2019 13:00
D200, yes, I have done a comparison for SOLG and GGP VS ECR.
SOLG = Lowest Price (within 5 years) 1.012 = 15,600,000 MCAP... Highest Price 46.81 = 864,000,000 MCAP
GGP = Lowest Price (within 5 years) 0.058 = 1,900,000 MCAP.... Highest Price 2.58 = 86,666,000 MCAP
ECR = Lowest Price (within 5 years) 0.60 = 2,738,000 MCAP.... CURRENT LEVEL 1.10 = MCAP 5,020,000
**********************
SOLG = highest price 46.81 / 1.012 lowest price = 46.24 times, increase in price
GGP = highest price 2.58 / 0.058 lowest price = 44.48 times, increase in price
So understanding the above (and this is not an exact science, but just a comparison)
if we took ECR's lowest point and "X" by 44 (usual run from the lows and the lowest "X" move)
0.60 * 44 = 27.00p and a MCAP of 121,000,000
So from Currently levels, if they come back with great grades, and continue to expand the business, then in the next 2 years it could be a 23 bagger (27 / 1.15 = 23.47) this is without all craziness which could happen in-between.
If we could prove up a 1,000,000 oz reserve which is close to ground, open pit mine (easy to mine) would still give a relatively good price, e.g. 1,000,000 * £43.00 per OZ (mining costs etc) would make it a price mover, but this would have to be the minimum.. calcs = 1,000,000 * 43 = £43,000,000 / 5,020,000 (current Mcap) = 8.56p
This would be the minimum price for the company without speculation and giving a rubbish operating cost per OZ (£43.00)
So in essence, I "HOPE" they find something substantial, anything below 1 Million OZ and we wont be anywhere near the 8p price, anything above and there is a lot of potential for some serious price movement... But I always tell myself, this is AIM, you have shite news which crashes the price and then 6 months later, life changing news. Either way, im holding this for 2 years... this is my opinion ONLY.
GLA