RE: Any reason8 Mar 2022 02:01
Came across East Imperial recently and it aroused my interest, so much so that I've just ordered a 10 bottle sample case online and got curious about buying some shares.
I've had a little bit of a look at what financials I could find, and also await the 31/12/2021 results.
The current valuation against sales [x8] and fundamentals worries me a little but I understand that this is to be expected somewhat from what is regarded as a growth company. Still I'm not jumping in and buying immediately.
Initial thoughts are as follows:
Sales: Growth has been good from 17,000 cases [2014] to 50,000 [2015], 81,000 [2016], n/a [2017] 180,000 [2018] and 220,000 [2019], n/a [2020]
With reported revenue being $4.1m SGD [2018], $5.2m SGD [2019], $3.3m SGD [2020 covid impact] and $5.3m [expected 2021].
Interestingly Fever Tree revenues didn't decline much with covid, going down from GBP262m to GBP252m, but East Imperial went down from $5.2m SGD to $3.3m SGD - this could be impacted by different operating regions they are in and East Imperial being more on-trade focused.
Gross margin %: - Margin is a concern at only 27% [2018], 35% [2019], 29% [2020].
Fever tree was 50% [2019] declining to 46% [2020 covid]
This is something they really need to work on, and get it into the 40's and this will have to come from the cost side, I don't think they can increase their unit selling price. Margin should improve as production/sales improve but it has a way to go.
Marketing and Distribution costs:
These are high and I'm curious about some of them - e.g. Ambassador costs of $367k [2018] and $306k [2019] - hopefully these payments to Brand Ambassadors generate a big multiple of actual sales against their payments.
Marketing & Distribution costs will continue to climb as sales increase but hopefully their % against sales will decline.
Strategy:
Seems they are looking to expand the off trade / supermarkets segment and direct to consumer elements which will be good.
The release of new products is good but imo only to fill out any gaps in their range as I'd like the focus to go on building overall sales.
I like their focus on heritage, tradition, authenticity and would like to see this highlighted in the annual report or a separate brochure which also goes on to highlight their sourcing of ingredients and inspirations for their drinks.
I like their Instagram feed, which for me, has that focus on tradition and heritage - and is a good contrast to Fever Tree.
Their Websites are good - but can we keep the investor one updated - e.g. shares on issue - cases sold and the consumer one for example seems to missing the image of the paired East Imperial mixer on the pairings page.
I think going forward they need strong / exceptional sales growth and a big improvement in gross margin %, particularly to justify their market cap. They have been selling now for some 7 years and with the their recent capital raisings need to push sales hard now.
Still I like