RE: Investment Case @ $70-$80 Oil9 Sep 2024 17:30
Santorini, there are two types generally of oil regimen
1 / Tax and Royalty
2 / Production Sharing contract
and sometimes a hybrid of the two.
Afentra's tax depends on the Cost CAPEX pool, and at the current level of investment into LWIs (light well interventions) and the cost CAPEX pool balance, the "effective rate of tax " as mentioned on the Youtube interview with Momentum Financial , is 20%...........Given the pool balance and continued CAPEX investment you can keep it there at that level.
Tax is paid in Angola primarily through working through the Cost CAPEX Pool allowances and at the moment, the government "TAKE" of Afentra's net production is 15% of barrels produced which gets you down to the third last line of slide 29 below (the one showing 85%)
https://afentraplc.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/2024.06.11-Afentra-Webinar-June-final-version.pdf
After that, there's a small slice of normal tax of 50% of 10% contractor Group profit Share which ends up being only 5% of our barrels.
All in all slide 29 shows, that at the current rate of investment, we are keeping 80% and the government "TAKE" or "Effective rate of Tax" is 20%
Its a strong BUY from here IMHO as all lifts are done now at an average of about $82 (April, June and August) and we just fill the stock tank (we're not selling until the lift) now until our last lift of the year which is around December / January