RE: Revealed: how Vodafone ‘left store managers with huge debts and fines during pandemic’11 Dec 2024 22:48
For those of a certain vintage, it's almost difficult to believe that when Vodafone announced their mega merger with Mannesman at £112 billion in 1999, the valued business made it the 4th largest listed company in the World. It's almost hard to believe that the share price was over £5 back in the dotCom era. To be fair the entire Telecoms, Media & Technology (TMT) sector was grossly overvalued before the dotCom bubble burst.
Fast forward 25 years later, and the company is a shadow of the trail blazing giant that it once was. Of course it's easy to criticise the reasons for Vodafone's decline with the benefit of hindsight:
- The overpayment for 3G licenses
- Mismanagement of Vodafone Japan
- Missing out on purchasing AT&T Wireless
- Misadventures and billions lost in India after acquiring Hutchison Essar
You could also argue that it was a strategic mistake selling their stake in Verizon Wireless. Perhaps swapping their stake in Verizon Wireless for a smaller stake in the larger parent of Verizon Communications, would have been a better strategy had that option been available. Also spending a shedload of cash in the cable assets of Liberty Global too, although longer term once fibre rolls out, this may turn out to be a sound investment.
Anyway, looking forward now, perhaps now the sales of some divisions and slimming down of the business might bring about some positive news for those of us, who are invested in the business.
For those who are averaged over £1, especially those who've been invested for many years before the share price went below £1, I can certainly understand why there is frustration. I would
While I certainly don't ever envisage seeing the share price back at the levels of £5 again (certainly not in my lifetime), there is still a business making money and still paying out a fairly reasonable dividend despite the recent 50% cut.
If things don't pan out, there is still the possibility of the business being taken over for the European assets and the rest of the assets split up i.e. Vodacom and Vodafone Idea. That would be quite an ended for company that was once the largest on the FTSE 100, so large in fact, that if the share price moved by 1p, it was enough to move the FTSE 100 by 1 point!
Under 70p, I still see some value in topping up and average down from my current averaged position (99p). I do think in the medium to long term the share will be nearer to £1. Do I think this is a share that will pay for my retirement? 25 years ago, I would have said, yes! But today, sadly that Vodafone is long gone. I still believe there is some value in holding some stock in my portfolio. The worst case for me, would be in a couple of years if there's still no progress to completely average down (which if the share price plods along between 68p-75p, I'll already be at that level)and exit the share.
Anyway, that's just my two pence and obviously DYOR.