RE: re: green energy for banks1 Oct 2019 19:46
The voters are angry because there has been no economic upturn for the majority since 2008. Unemployment has been masked by zero hour contracts and the pitifully low wages of apprentice contracts. Also many older women gave up looking for work and decided to make do on their husband's income/pensions. However annuity rates have plunged and payouts on investments designed to pay off mortgages also plummeted (leaving many needing to top up their final mortgage payments from savings originally intended to fund other things). Taking a macros view of the global economy there has been far too much of an aversion to risk by bankers - this has meant they have only been willing to lend to people who already had capital or other assets and hence the rate of new business creation plummeted following 2008. The trouble with lowering risk in this way is that it only lowers financial risk for the bankers. The risks that it causes to increase are popular resentment, populism, a general feeling of disenchantment/unfairness/discontent within the middle ground of society. This is very dangerous and is the kind of thing which historically has led to the fall of Republics.
It has been increasingly difficult to borrow money in the "real economy." There has been a marked reduction in the pace of business and also in the appetite for banks to lend to real estate companies and travel/holiday companies.
Also more small-and-medium sized businesses have been going bust since 2008 than new businesses being created. This, coupled with the growth in sectors of the economy based around computing - (rather than real estate, infrastructure, public services, and travel and leisure) - has meant that oil demand has been declining every year since it peaked back in 2006.
In short, we are quite likely approaching a time of massive oversupply in the oil market and the price will have to head lower or the banks will have to lend more to public services, real estate, the travel and leisure sectors, and to make it easier for people to start-up their own business. In fact why is lending to small-and-medium sized enterprises being gradually cut every year - surely it is time for this trend to be reversed and for banks to encourage the backbone of economies which since the industrial revolution has been providing the finance for industrious individuals to create businesses which better the lives of those other people living in their communities.
If the problem is too little demand for oil (rather than an oversupply - global production has been gradually falling since 2008 so there appears not to be an oversupply of oil) then this problem can only be fixed by stimulating the real economy.
Politicians need to get infrastructure projects started and to increase the flow of bank lending to small-and-medium sized enterprises (especially in the sectors of house building, ship building, mining, travel and leisure, public services, resurfacing roads, and general infrastructure