RE: Overexposed ??? What to do?1 Jan 2026 11:29
No trimming here but it is exactly correct that people should make their own decisions and taking a profit is never wrong. I originally invested at what was more like a 10p equivalent (maybe some even less) and have never sold, only accumulated. So what was a hefty chuck of money back then, on what was a bit of a punt (pre-Segilola construction) is now... very significant. Whilst the rise might make me incredibly overweight, the current dividend alone pays back the original investment in a handful of years, giving what is in effect a free carry. Liquidity doesn't matter to me, appreciating I bought in earlier/cheaper than most. I don't feel as if I will ever 'need' to sell. As Will says; with 3 mines and potentially 100s of oz of production in 2030, this could well be a lifetime hold (I'm a bit older ;)). Mine are all held tax free in ISA wrappers (no big surprise by username), my pension is completely diversified elsewhere and the Thor dividend today exceeds state pension. And the dividend may be increased as early as this month. Ok, if PoG craters it would be incredibly disappointing but as soon as Trump got in, I couldn't think of anywhere obvious I'd rather have my money. Douta will be operational by the time he leaves. Is China going to dump all their accumulated central bank gold? Are BRICS pushing the gold-backed Unit currency? Maybe I'd hold physical (not as good a return), otherwise. Nigerian things happen (albeit every 'issue' has been pretty swiftly resolved to our benefit) but Senegal and Ivory Coast are coming and, yeah, a buyout - why not! They have to be on someone's (or more) radar for West African expansion, etc. With the licenses, stockpile, cash in the bank, infrastructure, etc. it isn't going to zero any time soon (IMHO) and probably isn't even trading at likely NAV, based on what we think we know (awaits catalyst confirmation). I know sometimes these things can appear a bit too good to be true and we must all do our own research and due diligence, but this is what good, well run companies should do - grow. 300% in a year seems amazing but I guess I am more like 700% in around a decade... not that amazing really! I should plot Toronto SP vs. the S&P or something. It was just on no one's radars back in the day. The question now is if Douta needs little funding (half?), the full refractory plant isn't too much ($250-300M quoted) and we get an initial production over 10yrs, with half of that cheap/easy oxide - are we even anywhere near fair value at PoG? AISC shouldn't suddenly be off the charts. Even ignoring Segilola, which will get a resource update, which, ok, may attract tax, etc. Even ignoring Cote d'Ivoire, where at least one license looks like a monster. I don't want to sit in cash, devaluing. I don't want to pay the spread on physical. I don't want to be in something like MILA that swings 10s of percent a day... I could diversify but could I do 'better'? I decided 'no'.