RE: Tulu Kapi Timeline: Finessing the Rainy Season1 Jun 2026 11:09
The contracts are locked-in to prevent capital expenditure inflation on the equipment itself. However, they do not insulate the company from the compounding costs of time. If the June monsoons halt field progress, the fixed contract price remains intact, but the secondary costs of maintaining an idle project will shrink the cash runway, inevitably leading back to equity dilution.
Yes, Lycopodium and the earth-moving contractors have fixed-price contracts for the scope of work. But what they do not have are free standby agreements. If heavy machinery sits idle for three months because the Kiremt monsoon has turned the site into an unnavigable mud bath, KEFI still pays premium standby rates for men and equipment. The contractor's price for moving a tonne of earth stays the same, but the cost of keeping them waiting skyrockets.
Even if the contractors did not charge a single penny for sitting in the mud, KEFI’s corporate burn rate remains fully active. London PLC overheads, directors' salaries, bank monitoring fees, and social commitment costs do not stop for the weather.