JASPER on X 🔥🚀⛽️24 Apr 2026 13:13
🔴 $PRD / #PRD — one of the most undervalued setups right now.
A £33M market cap company. A 6 TRILLION cubic foot gas asset in Morocco. A tier-one M&A agent already hired.
A hard licence deadline in November 2026.
Game. Set. Clock ticking. 🧵
The Guercif licence, Morocco 🇲🇦
→ 4,301 km² onshore
→ 5 biogenic gas zones already encountered
→ 2.5km from the Maghreb export pipeline
→ 6 TCF gross resource (P50 upside)
→ Geopolitically stable, EU-adjacent, energy-hungry market
For context: TotalEnergies' annual capex is ~$17bn. This asset is rounding error territory for the right buyer.
6 months ago CEO Paul Griffiths stopped talking about farm-outs.
He started talking about "crystallisation," "divestment," and "partnering for carry."
Then: tier-one M&A agent hired. Flexible well design completed. ITR with ONHYM in progress.
You design assets this way when you're packaging them for a buyer — not when you're just drilling for gas. 👀
📅 What's coming in the next few weeks:
✅ Annual Accounts (imminent) — watch the "Post Reporting Date" section
✅ Trinidad oil sales update — SC-3 drill by end June; targeting 1,000 bopd
✅ Morocco MOU-6 — key data for any transaction
✅ ITR publication — resource certification for acquirers
Trinidad alone at 1,000 bopd is worth ~4-6p/share. Current price: 4.1p.
Bear case Morocco deal: ~£100M → ~10p cash dividend alone (3x today's price)
Base case: ~£175M → ~18p cash + royalty tail
Bull case: £500M+ → 18x+ total return
Who buys it? TAQA already has 35% of Morocco's electricity grid and just committed $14bn to new gas-fired capacity there. They need the gas.
Do your own research. But the asymmetry here is stark.
#PRD #oilandgas #Morocco #investing