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Gordon, yes who knows as you say. It could equally be I guess that they’ve moved into exclusivity period, with one party only. Sure we will find out “soon” enough. Nice to see the upwards movement in so last couple of days.
I can understand it’s somewhat frustrating with the lack of visible progress. If the procurement process had fallen apart however they would have notified about this.
Hopefully soon we will have news that someone indeed has agreed to fund the initial two wells on a 100% dev carry basis. As to any cash on top, as Gordon mentioned, let’s hope. Hopefully also there will be some mention on funding split on wells #3 onwards as well. Let’s also not forget that whoever bush’s in will get access to all seismic data, and also an approved FDP, both which often has a monetary cost attached to them.
Anything that will allow is to get the two wells going will be welcomed news. Onwards and upwards.
Morning All,
agree, main focus should be to get the JV and subsequent steps (successfully) progressed and completed.
Re consolidation, as with other items I believe it comes down to rationale for wanting to do it.
Below, a recent article I came across where, a very different size of company, believes it is the right thing to do (also aim - for now).
https://www.business-live.co.uk/regional-development/aggregates-giant-breedon-planning-move-26416006?int_source=amp_continue_reading&int_medium=amp&int_campaign=continue_reading_button#amp-readmore-target
Also adding Website for Norwegian sovereign fund. Just for the info around how they operate, size of holdings etc. (for whoever thinks it worth a read)
https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/investments/#/2022/investments/equities
Jasper, fortunately I also have a good few years of large scale procurement experience behind me, various sectors. I know how time scales can be impacted etc.
Gordon (pension funds etc), are generally looking for “safe investment“. I’d say share consolidation therefore is essential for this to materialise. They’re generally not looking for a quick win (so not traders). They will generally invest by a good chunk, a good few percentages of outstanding shares (tr-1+) depending on the size of the company. Furthermore, it tends to bring an element of stability.
Just my thoughts, knowledge. Norway has the biggest sovereign fund in the world, why gives some interesting reading. Seeing its a public fund, it’s all in the open.
That’s correct eagle.
I assume you all read this, directly from the horse’s mouth?
https://twitter.com/nstauthority/status/1641374757626019840?s=46&t=8pbwGr1NsFG4m5492USudw
License awards due in near future.
Echo that gents, onwards and upwards.
Thanks Dicko, agree. It was partially a tongue in cheek, seeing article was from 10 years ago. And yes Gordon. Hopefully the 6 months since officially announcing farm-out process means they are already discussing with future partner the FID ((financial investment decisions). Hopefully that’s why they’ve already starting procurement process.
Echo that Gordon. Wonder if rig delivery times are still as they were at time of this article: https://valve-world.net/oilex-secures-essar-rig-for-drilling-cambay-77h/
Nice reading, yes the $725m npv was modelled on 10-well model, whereas the full dev plan is for 30. Which basically means all is in place to start producing (exploration is done). One would assume that Roland has a requirement for rapid FID decisions to be made together with new partner. This appears to be supported by recent RNS about work for long lead time orders have been kicked off already. He wants this to get moving as swiftly as possible. Pumps is common, so yes with constant plateau production on test well, it’s looking promising.
No doubt new partner will risk assess everything, based upon their due diligence, which is common practice. This will be reflected in their offer indeed. I also see Moyes has corrected the brief on their web site. Roland/we need to get funding for initial two wells, but whoever teams up, are in for production from 30 wells initially.
God info dicko, appreciate. All seems to tie in with previous updates they’ve shared. Good to have it validated, along with some additional commentary
Two of the three RNS this year has come on a Wednesday, just saying..
So we know from public ally available information:
-13 areas open for grab
-26 bids
-19 companies
- 2 bids submitted by Syn
Nothing too specific, but mentions license awards are still due to early this year (as we know already) - always nice with confirmation it’s still on track
https://www.nstauthority.co.uk/news-publications/publications/2023/nsta-overview-2023/
In relation to below message
https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/SYN/cambay-ccs-scheme-presentation-ivf3x4wuovwihp8.html
Ongc estimates the cost at $1B for capacity of up to 0.5MTa of CO2. The CCS presentation mentions capacity of up to 43MTa at Cambay. Just some findings around (high-level) value, should it proceed.
https://m.economictimes.com/news/india/ongc-plans-to-capture-store-carbon/amp_articleshow/96069196.cms
I’ll take that update (any day of the week) - indeed very encouraging.
Overall, what a stellar build up to trip update due next week. Exciting period ahead, and still a decent increase this week, despite a wee drop today. Time to roll..
.2 to sell @ 08:13, not shabby
Dicko, suggest you read the update on NPV once more.
“Re: 13 Dec RNS: NPV10 means the value of pre-tax and finance net profit cash flows discounted at 10%. The 10-well model is illustrative; in a full field development it would be a 30+ wells. We believe a 40% pa decline rate is a realistic case”
The $725m is for a 10-well model illustration only..