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Latest Share Chat

LIVE MARKETS-Brexit and results on our radar at breakfast

Thu, 17th Oct 2019 07:56

* European shares seen slightly lower

* Last-gasp Brexit deal set to dominate EU summit

* Asian shares pause after 5-day rally

* Earnings in focus: Ericsson, Nestle, Pernod
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Reach him on Messenger to share your
thoughts on market moves: danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net

BREXIT AND RESULTS ON OUR RADAR AT BREAKFAST (0656 GMT)

European shares are set to fall slightly as hopes of a Brexit deal at the two-day summit
starting today in Brussels are more than offset by concerns that any accord won't have enough
support in the UK Parliament.

These concerns were revived this morning when Northern Ireland's DUP said it could not
support the Brexit deal as it currently stands, sending European stock futures down 0.3%, while
FTSE futures turned higher as the pound weakened.

Besides Brexit the main focus is the start of the earnings season.

An upbeat note came from telecoms equipment maker Ericsson which posted quarterly
core earnings far ahead of market expectations and lifted its 2020 sales target citing a
stronger market and currency effects. Traders see the shares opening up 2-3%.

Telia Company posted third-quarter core earnings just above expectations and
repeated its forecast for 2019.

Food giant Nestle announced a new share buyback programme of up to 20 billion Swiss
francs ($20.1 billion) and a revamp of its struggling water business after organic sales growth
slowed slightly to 3.7% in the third quarter. Traders say the numbers were broadly in-line but
the size of its share buyback underwhelming.

Growth also slowed for Pernod Ricard, which is being targeted by activist investor
Elliott. The French spirits maker posted a 1.3% rise in first-quarter underlying sales,
reflecting slower growth rates in China and India.

The numbers fell short of expectations and shares are seen opening down 2%. One trader said
Pernod's comments on China may hurt Salvatore Ferragamo and Diageo.

In the same sector, Unilever reported weaker-than-expected third quarter sales,
blaming softer demand in India and a slowdown in China, two of its biggest emerging markets.

Meanwhile in autos, car parts group Faurecia kept its 2019 guidance for higher
operating profits and margins as it posted an increase in third-quarter sales. Quarterly sales
however fell short of expectations and traders are calling the stock down 2-3%.

Traders also said that weak IBM numbers may pressure SAP, Cap Gemini, Atos and Dassault,
while United Rentals could hurt Ashtead. Results from TSMC could instead support
European chipmakers. Finally, solid Swiss export numbers could lift Richemont and Swatch
.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

IT'S ALSO GETTING BUSY WITH EARNINGS (0552 GMT)

Besides Brexit, investors will also have to digest a number of earnings updates.

On top of this mornings' list so far we have food giant Nestle which announced a
new share buyback programme of up to 20 billion Swiss francs after organic sales growth slowed
slightly to 3.7% in the third quarter.

Growth also slowed for Pernod Ricard, which is being targeted by activist investor
Elliott. The French spirits maker posted a 1.3% rise in first-quarter underlying sales,
reflecting slower growth rates in China and India.

Telecoms equipment maker Ericsson instead posted quarterly core earnings far
ahead of market expectations and lifted its 2020 sales target citing a stronger market and
currency effects.

Still in telco world, we have another solid-looking update. Telia Company posted
third-quarter core earnings just above expectations on Thursday and repeated its forecast for
2019.

Meanwhile in autos, car parts group Faurecia kept its 2019 guidance for higher
operating profits and margins as it posted an increase in third-quarter sales.

There is more to come later on and we'll keep you updated, while over in the U.S.
heavyweights of the caliber Morgan Stanley and Philip Morris are due to report.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

EUROPE ON THE EDGE WITH BREXIT DEAL IN FOCUS (0533 GMT)

No fireworks are expected at the open today as investors eagerly await that the EU and
Britain work out a Brexit deal during a two-day summit in Brussels .

It seems we're really close to the parties coming to a sort of agreement over the UK's Oct
31 divorce from the EU but then Britain's PM Boris Johnson will have to win approval at home by
parliament which gathers for a special session on Saturday. And that looks all but certain.

"... the truth is, even if the leaders came to an agreement among themselves, there is only
a slim chance for Boris Johnson to find sufficient support in Parliament to give it a green
light," says Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Senior Market Analyst at LCG in London.

Spreadbetters at IG expect London's FTSE to open 2 points higher at 7,170, Frankfurt's DAX
to open 12 points lower at 12,658 and Paris' CAC to open 4 points lower at 5,693.

Over in Asia, stocks paused after a five-day rally as soft U.S. retail sales data raised
fears about the health of the world's largest economy, while Brexit deal hopes kept sterling
volatile.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****
($1 = 0.9936 Swiss francs)
(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Josephine Mason, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju
Adinarayan)

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