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FOREX-Dollar holds firm in cautious trading before Fed meets

Tue, 16th Mar 2021 04:29

* Yen hovers at nine-month lows, euro flat
* Focus on Fed comments about higher bond yields
* Sterling dips ahead of BoE meeting on Thursday
* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

(Adds analyst comments; updates prices)
By Kevin Buckland and Sagarika Jaisinghani
TOKYO, March 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar clung to small
gains on Tuesday as caution reigned in currency markets ahead of
major central bank meetings, beginning with a two-day Federal
Reserve gathering due to start later in the global day.
The greenback hovered just off its highest since June versus
the yen and cemented a position around $1.19 per euro
in muted trading.
The firmer tone for the dollar came despite a retreat in
U.S. benchmark yields from the highest levels in more than a
year ahead of the Fed meeting.
Expectations are running low for monetary policymakers to
shift from their accommodative stance despite forecasts of rapid
economic growth in the wake of an accelerating COVID-19 vaccine
roll-out and a $1.9 trillion pandemic relief package.

Investors will pore over whatever the Fed has to say about
the run-up in yields, which have risen on bets that economic
growth and inflation could prompt a faster-than-expected
normalisation of monetary policy.
"It's a very pivotal meeting from that perspective," said
Mayank Mishra, an FX strategist at Standard Chartered Bank in
Singapore.
"The other thing that is being awaited is any decision on
the supplemental leverage ratio (SLR) exemption. We don't expect
any explicit push back on back-end yields, but an extension of
the SLR can offer some relief to the market."
The SLR exemption, a regulatory break that allows big banks
to exclude reserve deposits and Treasuries from capital ratios,
is due to expire on March 31.
The dollar was little changed at 109.170 yen after rising to
a nine-month high of 109.365 on Monday. The Bank of Japan begins
a two-day policy meeting on Thursday, along with an extensive
policy review.
The euro was largely flat at $1.19330, languishing below
$1.20 since March 5. Europe's vaccine roll-out has been hampered
by the suspension of AstraZeneca shots in Germany,
France and other nations amid concerns about possible serious
side effects.
Sterling fell about 0.2% to $1.3871 ahead of a Bank
of England meeting on Thursday, where the central bank is
expected to keep its benchmark interest rate at its historic low
of 0.1% and its bond-buying programme unchanged.
The dollar's index against six major currencies was flat at
91.798 after rising nearly 0.2% on Monday.
The Australian dollar, viewed widely as a liquid
proxy for risk appetite, and the New Zealand dollar were
little changed against the U.S. dollar. The commodity-linked
currencies are on course to post their fourth straight quarterly
gain as commodity prices rebound on bets of economic growth.
Bitcoin, meanwhile, slipped to $54,198.64 following its jump
to a record $61,781.83 on Saturday.

========================================================
Currency bid prices at 0400 GMT
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar $1.1934 $1.1929 +0.04% -2.32% +1.1937 +1.1923
Dollar/Yen 109.1550 109.1200 +0.06% +5.71% +109.2400 +109.1900
Euro/Yen 130.26 130.16 +0.08% +2.63% +130.3900 +130.1400
Dollar/Swiss 0.9266 0.9275 -0.10% +4.74% +0.9279 +0.9266
Sterling/Dollar 1.3869 1.3900 -0.21% +1.53% +1.3903 +1.3867
Dollar/Canadian 1.2478 1.2473 +0.05% -2.00% +1.2487 +1.2468
Aussie/Dollar 0.7752 0.7756 -0.05% +0.77% +0.7755 +0.7742
NZ 0.7195 0.7200 +0.00% +0.26% +0.7205 +0.7195
Dollar/Dollar


All spots
Tokyo spots
Europe spots
Volatilities
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ



(Reporting by Kevin Buckland in Tokyo and Sagarika Jaisinghani
in Bengaluru; Editing by Christopher Cushing & Simon
Cameron-Moore)

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