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LIVE MARKETS-Tactical on cyclicals

Mon, 28th Sep 2020 10:28

* European shares open higher

* Banks lead sectoral gainers, up 4%

* Eyes on William Hill after bid proposal
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts with Joice Alves (joice.alves@thomsonreuters.com)
and Julien Ponthus (julien.ponthus@thomsonreuters.com) in London and Stefano Rebaudo
(stefano.rebaudo@thomsonreuters.com) and Danilo Masoni (danilo.masoni@thomsonreuters.com) in
Milan.

TACTICAL ON CYCLICALS (0928 GMT)

Looking at cyclicals rallying this morning across Europe, the idea to cool off exposure
might sound rather counter-intuitive.

But according to Sylvain Goyon, a strategist at Oddo, "it not absurd to consider a tactical
pause" given that the market might start worrying about the resurgence of the pandemic and the
curve of the V-shaped recovery losing steam amid disappointing PMIs.

Say you actually fear the economy is losing momentum and feel it is indeed time to sell some
exposure, what should you do with the cash?

Why not buy a long position on the VIX which would stretch beyond the U.S. November
election, asks Goyon who nevertheless stresses that the thing about a tactical retreat is that
it is, by definition, a temporary move.

"Neither the pandemic nor the electoral suspense in the U.S. invalidate the drivers behind
our call on valuation convergence in favor of cyclicals versus defensive and value versus
growth".

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

BANKS REBOUND FROM RECORD LOWS, BARGAIN HUNTERS BUYING THE DIP (0839 GMT)

European equities are staging a broad bounce-back this morning with all sectors trading in
the black, as it seems investors are hunting for bargains following Friday's sell-off.

And talking about bargains, banks spring to mind, so it's not a big surprise to see
them leading the advance with a 4% surge.

But if you put today's rally in the context of the sector hitting its latest new record low
on Friday, there's much less to rejoice about. And with the prospect of interest rates staying
lower for longer, any quick reversal in the industry's fortunes just looks highly unlikely.

And here you can see how cheap are European banks, currently trading at a record low
price-to-book value of less than 0.5.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: STRONG REBOUND, BANKS SHINE (0739 GMT)

European stocks are higher as newsflow on the M&A front as well as on some banks is
supporting a rebound after recent falls.

ArcelorMittal shares are up 6% after striking a deal to sell its U.S. assets, while
shares in Commerzbank are up 4.8% as the nomination of the new CEO paves the way for
an overhaul that could close hundreds of branches and shrink its foreign operations.

HSBC stocks, up 9.8%, are following the gains of Hong Kong listed shares,
after the bank’s biggest shareholder Ping An Insurance Group Co of China bought additional
shares in the British bank to take its stake to 8% from 7.95%.

The STOXX 600 is up 1.5%, with banking stock index up 4.2%, after hitting a fresh
all-time low on Friday.

Almost a mute reaction by Suez shares, up 0.8%, after Veolia said it would improve
its offer.

William Hill stocks are down 10% after Friday’s jump, as Caesars Entertainment
said it was in advanced talks about a possible cash offer that values the British
bookmaker at about 2.9 billion pounds.

Risk sentiment is showing some resilience as investors focus on stimulus plans by
governments and central banks.

(Stefano Rebaudo)

*****

ON THE RADAR: M&A ON THE FRONTLINE, COMMERZBANK (0640 GMT)

European stocks are poised to open higher supported by a tech shares rebound on Wall Street
on Friday and strong Chinese data during the weekend.

Risk sentiment continues to show some resilience as investors are focused on stimulus plans
by governments and central banks.

Cleveland-Cliffs, the largest U.S. producer of iron ore pellets, said it had agreed
to buy the U.S. assets of world's largest steelmaker ArcelorMittal for about $1.4
billion.

U.S. casino operator Caesars Entertainment said it was in advanced talks with
William Hill about a possible cash offer that values the British bookmaker at about 2.9
billion pounds.

French utility group Veolia will improve its offer to buy the bulk of Engie's
stake in smaller rival Suez by September 30. Veolia last month offered 2.9
billion euros for a 29.9% stake in Suez owned by Engie, with a view to subsequently taking full
control of Suez by buying up more shares.

Shares in Commerzbank are up 4.4% in early trade after the nomination of Manfred
Knof as chief executive of Germany's bank, which paves the way for an overhaul that could close
hundreds of branches and shrink its foreign operations, though any major changes may still take
months to formalise.

Investors welcomed former Daimler chief executive Dieter Zetsche's decision to
forego his role as chairman of the German carmaker, announced at the weekend and starting a race
to find an independent head of the company's supervisory board.

Rio Tinto is willing to continue talks with the New Zealand government on
extending operations at its Tiwai Point aluminium smelter.

Sonova expects to return to growth in the second half of the year.

Eyes also on Diageo which said its business was performing ahead of its
expectations.

(Stefano Rebaudo)

*****

MORNING CALL: RESILIENT AFTER RECENT FALLS (0533 GMT)

European stock futures are well in the black showing some resilience after recent falls and
a tech shares rebound on Wall Street on Friday, though broad sentiment remain cautious.

Asian stocks are higher after profits at China’s industrial firms grew for the fourth
straight month in August, but concerns about surging coronavirus cases in Europe and risks of
new restrictive measures continue to weigh.

However there is more going on as investors’ focus is on UK-Europe post-Brexit trade talks
and a fresh U.S. stimulus package, which by the way seems increasingly unlikely to be approved
before the November presidential election.

(Stefano Rebaudo)

*****

More News
28 Sep 2020 07:46

UPDATE 2-Caesars shoots lower than expected with $3.7 bln William Hill bid

* Caesars eyeing 272p/share offer, far below market expectations* William Hill shares down 12% after surging on Friday* Board says minded to recommend offer at this level* But equity group Apollo also named as interested bidder (Adds shares, outloo...

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28 Sep 2020 07:46

UPDATE 1-Caesars in advanced talks with William Hill over $3.7 billion bid

(Adds premium, CEO quote, details from statement, background)Sept 28 (Reuters) - Casino operator Caesars is in advanced talks with William Hill on a takeover offer that values the British bookmaker at 2.9 billion pounds and would give it full cont...

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28 Sep 2020 07:40

LIVE MARKETS-On the radar: M&A on the frontline, Commerzbank

* European shares seen opening higher* Euro STOXX 50 futures up 1.6% Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts with Joice Alves (joice.alves@thomson...

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28 Sep 2020 07:02

Caesars confirms advanced talks on £2.9bn William Hill bid

(Sharecast News) - William Hill and Caesars Entertainment on Monday confirmed they were in advanced talks on a £2.9bn cash offer for the UK bookmaker.

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27 Sep 2020 22:39

Sunday share tips: William Hill, International Biotechnology Trust

(Sharecast News) - Selling shares of William Hill was Jill Treanor's tip for investors in the Sunday Times's 'Inside the City' column.

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25 Sep 2020 17:11

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Stocks Rise As William Hill Gets Interest From US

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Stocks Rise As William Hill Gets Interest From US

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25 Sep 2020 13:36

TOP NEWS: William Hill Confirms Buyout Offers From Apollo, Caesars

TOP NEWS: William Hill Confirms Buyout Offers From Apollo, Caesars

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25 Sep 2020 13:23

UPDATE 2-William Hill gets bid approaches from Apollo and Caesars

* Separate cash proposals from Apollo, Caesars* Company does not give value of proposals* Shares jump 27% (Updates shares, adds market cap, background)By Tanishaa NadkarSept 25 (Reuters) - William Hill has received rival takeover proposals from buy...

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25 Sep 2020 12:58

Apollo and Ceasars Entertainment table rival cash bids for William Hill

(Sharecast News) - US private equity outfit Apollo Global Management and Caesars Entertainment have tabled rival cash takeover offers for bookmaker William Hill.

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25 Sep 2020 12:38

William Hill shares surge 20% on report of Apollo bid approach

LONDON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - Shares in William Hill surged over 20% on Friday after a news report by Bloomberg said the UK bookmaker had been approached by private equity firm Apollo Global Management for a potential acquisition.Representatives for...

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25 Sep 2020 09:57

UPDATE 2-Virus fears push European stocks to worst week since June

(For a live blog on European stocks, type LIVE/ in an Eikon news window)* European banks slide to a fresh all-time low* Auto stocks slide as British car production slumps* Betting firm William Hill soars after takeover report (Updates to market clo...

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25 Sep 2020 09:35

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: RBC Adds TT To 'Top 10', William Hill Out

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: RBC Adds TT To 'Top 10', William Hill Out

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25 Sep 2020 08:07

LONDON BRIEFING: UK Government Debt Balloons On Covid Support, Tax Hit

LONDON BRIEFING: UK Government Debt Balloons On Covid Support, Tax Hit

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23 Sep 2020 09:37

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: ODDO BHF Upgrades Astra And Glaxo

UK BROKER RATINGS SUMMARY: ODDO BHF Upgrades Astra And Glaxo

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20 Sep 2020 23:00

Sunday newspaper round-up: Coronavirus, UK taxes, Wheaton Precious Metals

(Sharecast News) - Britain's most senior government scientists will make a direct appeal to the public on Monday, warning that the coronavirus trend is "heading in the wrong direction" and "a critical point has been reached". As Downing Street considers imposing nationwide curbs to contain a sharp jump in cases, the chief medical officer for England, Chris Whitty, will make a rare live televised address alongside the UK chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance. - Guardian

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