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LONDON MARKET CLOSE: Focus on Fed, ECB after inflation readings

Thu, 29th Feb 2024 16:53

(Alliance News) - The FTSE 100 in London closed higher on Thursday, as a key US inflation gauge ebbed year-on-year, though a monthly increase could keep a lid on Federal Reserve interest rate cut enthusiasm.

The FTSE 100 index inched up 5.04 points, 0.1%, at 7,630.02. The FTSE 250 rose 41.29 points, 0.2%, at 19,054.87, and the AIM All-Share ended down 1.54 points, 0.2%, at 736.50.

The Cboe UK 100 ended up 0.3% at 766.13, the Cboe UK 250 rose 0.6% at 16,470.97, and the Cboe Small Companies edged up slightly to 14,462.39.

In European equities on Thursday, the CAC 40 in Paris fell 0.3%, though the DAX 40 in Frankfurt rose 0.4%.

In New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.3%, the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite was flat.

According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the core personal consumption expenditure grew 2.8% on-year in January, easing from December's 2.9% rise. The core PCE reading is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.

The outcome came out in line with FXStreet cited consensus.

The core data excludes food and energy. The annual headline PCE index, which does not, grew 2.4% in January, ebbing from a 2.6% a month earlier. The figure was also in line with consensus.

On a monthly basis, personal consumption expenditures rose 0.3% in January. They had rose by 0.2% in December from November. Core personal consumption expenditures rose 0.4% in January from December. In December, they had risen 0.2% on-month.

"Not only does this mark the largest jump in a year, but it is also in line with an annualised inflation rate of around 5%," Ebury analyst Matthew Ryan commented.

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic suggested a summer rate cut may be appropriate. He said it is too soon to declare victory over inflation, however. He warned of a bumpy path as inflation declines.

The pound was quoted at USD1.2636 late Thursday in London, lower compared to USD1.2656 at the equities close on Wednesday. The euro stood at USD1.0811, down against USD1.0835. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at JPY149.82, lower compared to JPY150.73.

XTB analyst Kathleen Brooks commented: "The focus on the core PCE deflator is an interesting choice for the market, since it is less timely than the CPI and PPI reports, and we largely know what to expect in advance of its release. Due to this, we think that the market will quickly move on from this PCE data and focus on the next major macro events next week: the ECB meeting and the US non-farm payrolls report."

Eyes were also on the European Central Bank after a German inflation reading.

Consumer price inflation in Germany slowed by more than expected this month, provisional data from the Federal Statistics Office showed on Thursday.

The consumer price index rose by 2.5% annually in February, abating from 2.9% in January. That is the lowest level of inflation since June 2021, when it stood at 2.4%. FXStreet-cited market consensus had expected the rate of inflation to ease to 2.6%.

Analysts at ING commented: "At first glance, today's German inflation data brings some relief for the European Central Bank and could support calls for a rather early rate cut – especially given that economic sentiment in the eurozone remains bleak. However, underlying inflation illustrates just how difficult the last mile will be for the ECB and clearly argues against cutting rates too early. As a result, the ECB will want to wait to be entirely sure of what the trend of both headline and underlying inflation will be. Here, wage developments remain key and as long as the economy doesn't fall off a cliff, the ECB will sit tight, waiting for more data."

In London, Howden Joinery and Haleon ended the best FTSE 100 performers, rising 7.0% and 5.6%.

The London-based kitchen and joinery supplier said pretax profit dropped 19% in 2023 to GBP327.6 million from GBP405.8 million. It said that this included GBP17 million of additional costs relating to a 53rd week. Before these costs, pretax profit was down 15%.

Revenue fell 0.3% to GBP2.31 billion in 2023 from GBP2.32 billion a year earlier.

Davy analysts commented: "Comments on trading since the start of 2024 are reasonably encouraging, and Howdens expects market conditions will be 'broadly unchanged'. Howdens is a long-standing favourite of ours, and we are confident that the business will return to growth once the operating environment becomes less hostile."

On the back of the results, Howden upped its dividend by 1.9%, bringing the total dividend for the year to 21.0p, up from 20.6p.

Surrey, England-based consumer healthcare company Haleon said revenue for 2023 was up 4.1% to GBP11.30 billion from GBP10.86 billion in 2022, an 8.0% increase at an organic rate.

This was in spite of an adverse foreign exchange impact of GBP416 million, Haleon said, driven by the strengthening of the sterling against the Argentine peso, Chinese renminbi and other currencies.

Pretax profit was up 0.6% to GBP1.63 billion from GBP1.62 billion, while operating profit rose 9.4% to GBP2.00 billion from GBP1.83 billion.

Elsewhere, Hunting jumped 12%. The London-based maker of parts and technology systems for the oil and gas sector said it swung to a pretax profit of USD50.0 million in 2023 from a pretax loss of USD2.4 million in 2022, as revenue surged 28% to USD929.1 million from USD725.8 million.

Hunting highlighted that its order book increased by 19% to USD565.2 million at the end of 2023 from USD473.0 million a year before.

The firm proposed a final dividend of 5.0 US cents, up 11% from 4.5 cents. This brings its total dividend to 10.0 US cents, an 11% increase from 9.0 cents.

Looking ahead, Hunting said it is confident in its near and long-term outlook, adding that it expects its global outlook for energy in 2024 to be similar to that of 2023.

Wincanton jumped 23% as a bidding war for logistics provider appears to be in the offing.

It received a takeover offer from GXO Logistics.

Under the offer, Wincanton shareholders would receive 605p per share. The acquisition price values Wincanton at approximately GBP762 million on a fully diluted basis, and at around GBP764 million on an enterprise value basis.

On Monday, Wincanton accepted a revised, increased bid from CEVA Logistics. The new offer from CEVA, worth 480p per share, values Wincanton at GBP604.7 million on a fully diluted basis. CEVA is a subsidiary of CMA CGM, a shipping and logistics company based in Marseille, France.

CEVA said it is "considering its options".

Back among London's large-caps, International Consolidated Airlines Group fell 3.6%.

On Thursday, the Madrid-based airline operator which also owns Iberia, Vueling and Aer Lingus said pretax profit in 2023 multiplied to EUR3.06 billion from EUR415 million a year ago.

In the fourth quarter pretax profit leapt 77% to EUR441 million from EUR249 million.

"The market's lack of enthusiasm may reflect the slower return for business travel which is more important for the company than some of its rivals. It seems that while there has been some recovery in corporate travel, businesses are less likely to stomach the expense of regular air travel when video conferencing offers a much cheaper and quicker solution," AJ Bell analyst Russ Mould commented.

Brent oil was quoted at USD82.31 a barrel late in London on Thursday, up from USD81.78 late Wednesday. Gold was quoted at USD2,045.84 an ounce, lower against USD2,033.68.

The economic calendar on the first day of March has a slew of purchasing managers' index, including China and Japan overnight. Numbers for the eurozone are reported at 0900 GMT, the UK at 0930 GMT and the US at 1445 and 1500.

The local corporate calendar has annual results from education products publisher Pearson and property portal Rightmove.

By Eric Cunha, Alliance News news editor

Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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Monday 16 May  
Diploma PLCHalf Year Results
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Greggs PLCTrading Statement
Petropavlovsk PLCFull Year Results
Ryanair Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Tuesday 17 May 
accesso Technology Group PLCTrading Statement
Benchmark Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Big Yellow Group PLCTrading Statement
Britvic PLCHalf Year Results
C&C Group PLCFull Year Results
DCC PLCFull Year Results
Fresnillo PLCTrading Statement
Imperial Brands PLCHalf Year Results
Lamprell PLCFull Year Results
Land Securities Group PLCFull Year Results
Micro Focus International PLCTrading Statement
Renew Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Shoe Zone PLCHalf Year Results
Smartspace Software PLCFull Year Results
Sureserve Group PLCHalf Year Results
TI Fluid Systems PLCTrading Statement
Tremor International LtdTrading Statement
Tritax EuroBox PLCHalf Year Results
TwentyFour Select Monthly Income Fund LtdHalf Year Results
Velocys PLCFull Year Results
Victorian Plumbing Group PLCHalf Year Results
Vitec Group PLCTrading Statement
Vodafone Group PLCFull Year Results
Watkin Jones PLCHalf Year Results
Zytronic PLCHalf Year Results
Wednesday 18 May  
Assura PLCFull Year Results
Aviva PLCTrading Statement
British Land Co PLCFull Year Results
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Dev Clever Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Experian PLCFull Year Results
Future PLCHalf Year Results
Marston's PLCHalf Year Results
Mitchells & Butlers PLCHalf Year Results
N Brown Group PLCFull Year Results
Ninety One PLC and LtdFull Year Results
Polarean Imaging PLCFull Year Results
Premier Foods PLCFull Year Results
TBC Bank Group PLCQ1 Results
Watches of Switzerland Group PLCTrading Statement
Thursday 19 May  
Atalaya Mining PLCQ1 Results
Auction Technology Group PLCHalf Year Results
Bank of Cyprus Holdings PLCQ1 Results
Countryside Partnerships PLCHalf Year Results
Dialight PLCTrading Statement
easyJet PLCHalf Year Results
Ecofin Global Utilities & Infrastructure Trust PLCHalf Year Results
Essentra PLCTrading Statement
Euromoney Institutional Investor PLCHalf Year Results
Fevertree Drinks PLCTrading Statement
Gamma Communications PLCTrading Statement
Great Portland Estates PLCFull Year Results
Idox PLCTrading Statement
Inspecs Group PLCFull Year Results
Investec PLCFull Year Results
JPMorgan Japanese Investment Trust PLCHalf Year Results
National Grid PLC Full Year Results
Purplebricks Group PLCTrading Statement
Qinetiq Group PLCFull Year Results
Royal Mail PLCFull Year Results
S&U PLCTrading Statement
Smart Metering Systems PLCTrading Statement
Friday 20 May  
Bloomsbury Publishing PLC Full Year Results
Close Brothers Group PLCTrading Statement
Ediston Property Investment Co PLCHalf Year Results
Gattaca PLCTrading Statement
JPMorgan Asia Growth & Income PLCHalf Year Results
JPMorgan China Growth & Income PLCHalf Year Results
Old Mutual LtdTrading Statement
Quartix Technologies PLCFull Year Results
Schroder AsiaPacific Fund PLCHalf Year Results
Unbound Group PLCFull Year Results
Wincanton PLCFull Year Results
  
Copyright 2022 Alliance News Limited. All Rights Reserved.

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