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Sector movers: Commodities outperform despite US dollar strength

Thu, 05th May 2022 14:05

(Sharecast News) - Oil&Gas topped the leaderboard again on Thursday despite it being of a rollercoaster day for crude oil futures, the latter in part due to US dollar strength.

Shell accounted for the lion's share of gains with its shares rising back to their late 2019 highs on the back of the oil major's latest quarterly results.

Adjusted earnings rose 43% from the previous quarter to $9.13bn, beating the average of analysts' forecasts provided by the company of $8.67bn and trebling the $3.13bn reported a year earlier.

In the background, nearly all the major stock market indices on both sides of the Pond carved out a big reversal following early sharp gains.

The FTSE 100 was the exception to the rule, mainly due to the fact that many of its constituents were US dollar earners.

Strength in the oil patch could also be linked to the underlying strength in energy futures and ongoing talk of further sanctions on Russian oil and gas in the pipeline.

Worth noting, reports indicated that negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow to try and put an end to the war reportedly remained "difficult", according to one Russian negotiator.

On that note, analysts at JP Morgan told clients that their European Quant Macro Index had now entered the 'contraction' phase.

"This change in our systematic model suggests capital preservation is likely to become a dominant theme, and investors may find more opportunities in low Volatility, high Quality and large Cap equities than before."

"Our Quantitative view is more defensive than JPM's house view which is more positive and constructive on both the cycle and cyclical equity exposure."

For their part, drawing lessons from the 1970s and 1980s, when inflation was also elevated, analysts at Citi said that at this stage of the cycle it was Commodities that outperformed.

Stocks follow suit again mid-cycle "after some initial ingestion" while credit remains pressured and bonds should not be bought until "the very tail-end of the cycle".

And Precious Metals & Mining issues were indeed also high on the leaderboard.

Going in the other direction, Autos&Parts were at the bottom of the pile after analysts at Deutsche Bank took an axe to their target price for Aston Martin Lagonda.

They cut their target from 1,800.0p to 1,300.0p.

"Moreover, 2023 remains the key year to watch as financials need to turn and especially [free cash flow] need to become positive," the analysts from Deutsche said.

"Fundamentally, the business is trending into the right direction with good ASPs and a sound order book. That said, we see the shares reflecting this already. Hold."

Top performing sectors so far today

Oil, Gas and Coal 7,801.01 +2.23%

Precious Metals and Mining 11,257.34 +2.08%

Real Estate Investment Trusts 3,068.14 +1.78%

Gas, Water & Multiutilities 6,551.09 +1.57%

Electronic & Electrical Equipment 9,508.40 +1.18%

Bottom performing sectors so far today

Automobiles & Parts 2,266.52 -6.17%

Non-life Insurance 2,840.13 -4.19%

Personal Goods 26,215.50 -2.70%

Travel & Leisure 6,530.67 -2.34%

Life Insurance 6,444.66 -2.11%

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19 Jul 2021 11:57

Morgan Stanley stays 'overweight' on Shell, expects dividend to grow again

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Morgan Stanley reiterated their 'overweight' stance on shares of Royal Dutch Shell in anticipation of share buyback announcements and higher dividend payouts from the oil major.

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19 Jul 2021 10:32

Crude oil futures under pressure after OPEC+ deal at the weekend

(Sharecast News) - Crude oil futures slid at the start of the week after the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries ad its main allies clinched a deal at the weekend to increase their combined output.

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6 Jul 2021 13:22

Saudi, UAE spat unlikely to result in breakdown of OPEC+ discipline, Morgan Stanley says

(Sharecast News) - OPEC+'s failure to reach an agreement on raising production two days before is unlikely to herald the start of a price war between its members, analysts at Morgan Stanley said - but there were medium-term risks.

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22 Jun 2021 15:36

JP Morgan names Shell 'top pick' in EU oil, expects 'stellar' cash flows

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at JP Morgan named Royal Dutch Shell their 'top pick' in the European Union Oil space, in anticipation of "standout" free cash flow generation on the back of stronger macro conditions and catch-up in lagged pricing for liquid natural gas.

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1 Jun 2021 10:30

Brent futures hit two-year high ahead of OPEC+ meeting

(Sharecast News) - Oil prices hit a roughly two-year high on expectations that the reopening of advanced economies would run down the inventories that had piled up during the pandemic.

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20 May 2021 14:25

Iran's Rouhani says US will lift sanctions

(Sharecast News) - Iran's president said on Thursday that the United States was ready to lift sanctions on his country's oil, banking and shipping sectors that were reimposed after the Trump administration withdrew from the nuclear deal signed in 2015.

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29 Apr 2021 06:54

London pre-open: Futures up after Fed stays 'on message', on US Tech earnings

(Sharecast News) - Trading in London shares is set to start on the front foot after the US central bank signaled overnight that it was simply not yet time to be talking about tapering bond purchases and much less about interest rate hikes.

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28 Apr 2021 12:37

Thursday preview: Apple, Royal Dutch Shell in focus

(Sharecast News) - The market focus on Thursday will shift back to the latest earnings updates from US technology giants with Apple and Facebook both due to report after the close of trading on Wednesday.

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10 Mar 2021 11:00

'Super cautious OPEC stance on output increases could backfire, Citi says

(Sharecast News) - The "super cautious" approach adopted by Saudi when it comes to adding to global crude oil supplies might backfire on the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, Citi argued.

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8 Mar 2021 07:31

Brent futures spring higher after attack on key Saudi oil facility

(Sharecast News) - Crude oil futures sprang higher at the start of the week following an attack on Saudi Arabia's largest crude terminal at Ras Tanura.

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4 Mar 2021 16:41

Sector movers: Oil and Gas leads gains as OPEC+ springs surprise on traders

(Sharecast News) - Oil and Gas shares jumped to the top of the leader board after many of the world's major crude producers surprised traders with a decision to hold their combined output unchanged following talks on Thursday.

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19 Feb 2021 11:58

S&P downgrades Shell's long-term debt on risks from energy transition

(Sharecast News) - One of the world's top credit rating agencies downgraded Royal Dutch Shell's long-term debt on the back of the expected challenges from the transition to sustainable technologies.

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15 Feb 2021 15:06

Sector movers: Oil and Mining stocks surge on US stimulus and vaccine hopes

(Sharecast News) - Oil and Mining stocks surged at the start of the week on hopes for further fiscal stimulus in the US and that the pandemic might start to be coming under control.

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15 Feb 2021 11:53

Brent at 13-month high on hopes for US stimulus and vaccine rollouts

(Sharecast News) - Investors continued to bid crude oil prices higher at the start of the week, on the back of continued hopes for an easing of Covid-19 lockdowns around the world and of fiscal stimulus in the US.

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11 Feb 2021 12:00

Citi revises 2021 oil price forecasts higher

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Citi revised their projections for the price of oil, citing oil producers' success in running down global inventories and improved prospects for demand.

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