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Sector movers: Commodities outperform despite US dollar strength

Thu, 05th May 2022 14:05

(Sharecast News) - Oil&Gas topped the leaderboard again on Thursday despite it being of a rollercoaster day for crude oil futures, the latter in part due to US dollar strength.

Shell accounted for the lion's share of gains with its shares rising back to their late 2019 highs on the back of the oil major's latest quarterly results.

Adjusted earnings rose 43% from the previous quarter to $9.13bn, beating the average of analysts' forecasts provided by the company of $8.67bn and trebling the $3.13bn reported a year earlier.

In the background, nearly all the major stock market indices on both sides of the Pond carved out a big reversal following early sharp gains.

The FTSE 100 was the exception to the rule, mainly due to the fact that many of its constituents were US dollar earners.

Strength in the oil patch could also be linked to the underlying strength in energy futures and ongoing talk of further sanctions on Russian oil and gas in the pipeline.

Worth noting, reports indicated that negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow to try and put an end to the war reportedly remained "difficult", according to one Russian negotiator.

On that note, analysts at JP Morgan told clients that their European Quant Macro Index had now entered the 'contraction' phase.

"This change in our systematic model suggests capital preservation is likely to become a dominant theme, and investors may find more opportunities in low Volatility, high Quality and large Cap equities than before."

"Our Quantitative view is more defensive than JPM's house view which is more positive and constructive on both the cycle and cyclical equity exposure."

For their part, drawing lessons from the 1970s and 1980s, when inflation was also elevated, analysts at Citi said that at this stage of the cycle it was Commodities that outperformed.

Stocks follow suit again mid-cycle "after some initial ingestion" while credit remains pressured and bonds should not be bought until "the very tail-end of the cycle".

And Precious Metals & Mining issues were indeed also high on the leaderboard.

Going in the other direction, Autos&Parts were at the bottom of the pile after analysts at Deutsche Bank took an axe to their target price for Aston Martin Lagonda.

They cut their target from 1,800.0p to 1,300.0p.

"Moreover, 2023 remains the key year to watch as financials need to turn and especially [free cash flow] need to become positive," the analysts from Deutsche said.

"Fundamentally, the business is trending into the right direction with good ASPs and a sound order book. That said, we see the shares reflecting this already. Hold."

Top performing sectors so far today

Oil, Gas and Coal 7,801.01 +2.23%

Precious Metals and Mining 11,257.34 +2.08%

Real Estate Investment Trusts 3,068.14 +1.78%

Gas, Water & Multiutilities 6,551.09 +1.57%

Electronic & Electrical Equipment 9,508.40 +1.18%

Bottom performing sectors so far today

Automobiles & Parts 2,266.52 -6.17%

Non-life Insurance 2,840.13 -4.19%

Personal Goods 26,215.50 -2.70%

Travel & Leisure 6,530.67 -2.34%

Life Insurance 6,444.66 -2.11%

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23 Mar 2022 09:28

Deutsche Bank keeps BP and Shell at 'buy'

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Deutsche Bank lowered its target prices for most European oil and gas firms, although Shell and BP fared better.

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22 Mar 2022 15:45

Two EU officials tell CNBC an immediate Russian oil embargo is unlikely

(Sharecast News) - It's unlikely that Brussels will impose an immediate embargo on Russian oil, European Union officials said.

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21 Mar 2022 11:50

Turkey says positions of Russia and Ukraine now nearer on 'critical' issues, hopeful for ceasefire

(Sharecast News) - Russia and Ukraine were nearing agreement on "critical" matters and a ceasefire is possible if neither side backtracks, Turkey's foreign minister said.

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21 Mar 2022 11:06

EU may discuss ban on Russian oil imports on Thursday

(Sharecast News) - Foreign ministers from European Union member countries were set to discuss a ban on Russian oil imports when they met on 24 March.

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13 Mar 2022 16:27

Russia-Ukraine talks have reportedly made 'some progress'

(Sharecast News) - "Some progress" had been made in negotiations to stop the war, a senior lawmaker in Moscow said.

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11 Mar 2022 12:20

Russian diplomats see 'certain positive shifts' in talks, Putin says

(Sharecast News) - There were "certain positive shifts" in the talks that were undertaken the day before between Moscow and Kyiv, the Russian President said.

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10 Mar 2022 09:10

JP Morgan says 'stay bullish' on European oil and gas, keeps Shell as 'top pick'

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at JP Morgan told clients to "stay bullish" on European Big Oil, arguing that valuations were attractive and the Oil&Gas upcycle would trump companies' exposure to Russia and or periphery risks such as Kazhakstan.

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9 Mar 2022 10:39

Russian and Ukrainian foreign ministers confirm talks to take place in Turkey

(Sharecast News) - Foreign ministers from the Russian Federation and Ukraine have confirmed that they will meet on Thursday in Antalya, Turkey.

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8 Mar 2022 14:39

Biden may be set to announce a ban on imports of Russian oil

(Sharecast News) - Their was growing speculation that the Biden administration would announce a ban on imports of Russian crude oil as soon as Tuesday.

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2 Mar 2022 16:33

OPEC+ to boost output as planned, says geopolitics behind price surge

(Sharecast News) - The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its non-member allies approved a further increase in their combined production and said that the recent oil price surge was not the result of market fundamentals but of "geopolitical developments".

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23 Feb 2022 08:08

European airlines and staples have greatest sensitivity to escalation in Ukraine-Russia crisis, Deutsche says

(Sharecast News) - The exposure of most European companies' sales and profits to Russia is "not material" but the same cannot be said of their sensitivity to higher energy costs.

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14 Feb 2022 12:54

Morgan Stanley hikes target prices for BP and Shell on higher commodity prices

(Sharecast News) - Morgan Stanley marked up its target prices across the European Oil&Gas space after updating its commodity price assumptions.

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11 Feb 2022 12:00

IEA calls on OPEC+ to allow Middle East producers to boost output

(Sharecast News) - Oil supplies from OPEC+ over the course of 2022 could undershoot the producer alliance's own goals by 1.0bn barrels unless those member countries who have spare capacity on hand increase their output, the world's oil watchdog said.

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2 Feb 2022 14:16

OPEC+ to boost output in March by 0.4m b/d, as expected

(Sharecast News) - The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its main allies, or OPEC+ as they are collectively known, will raise their combined output of crude oil in March as expected.

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24 Jan 2022 12:13

Morgan Stanley reiterates 'buy' for FTSE 100, highlights 'defensive' qualities

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Morgan Stanley sounded a 'bullish' note on the outlook for the FTSE 100, highlighting its greater 'defensive' properties relative to rivals, higher dividend yields versus global peers, exposure to energy and record low expectations for growth in the profits of its constituent companies.

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