The next focusIR Investor Webinar takes places on 14th May with guest speakers from Blue Whale Growth Fund, Taseko Mines, Kavango Resources and CQS Natural Resources fund. Please register here.

Less Ads, More Data, More Tools Register for FREE

Pin to quick picksRDSA.L Share News (RDSA)

  • There is currently no data for RDSA

Watchlists are a member only feature

Login to your account

Alerts are a premium feature

Login to your account

OPEC's job has just become tougher with Trump win

Wed, 09th Nov 2016 11:10

* Outlook for global economy, oil demand darkens

* U.S. oil industry seen benefiting from Trump victory

* Revival of Iran oil investments uncertain due to Trump

By Maha El Dahan , Rania El Gamal and Dmitry Zhdannikov

DUBAI/LONDON, Nov 9 (Reuters) - OPEC's job of trying to propup oil prices has just got much harder.

With Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidential election,the 14-country oil-producing cartel may have to battle a soureroutlook for the global economy and weaker demand for crude.

It also faces the prospect of increased U.S. oil output - amajor bugbear for the Organization of the Petroleum ExportingCountries - given Trump's pledge to open all federal land andwaters for fossil fuel exploration.

OPEC's internal dynamic could change, with Trump promisingto tighten policies on Iran just as oil companies begin slowlyto return to the Islamic Republic.

"Buckle up your seatbelts for a more turbulent and uncertainglobal economy that is ahead," Pulitzer Prize-winning U.S. oilhistorian Daniel Yergin, vice-chairman of the IHS Markit thinktank, told Reuters.

"The outcome of the U.S. election adds to the challenges forthe oil exporters because it will likely lead to weaker economicgrowth in an already fragile global economy. And that meansadditional pressure on oil demand," Yergin said.

Oil prices fell almost 4 percent early on Wednesday butrecovered to trade up slightly at around $46 per barrel by 1055GMT.

OPEC will meet on Nov. 30 in an effort to curtail output andreduce the global oil glut that has seen prices more than halvesince 2014.

OPEC sources said they expected oil to remain weak in thedays and weeks ahead due to worries about the global economy anduncertainty about Trump's policies for the Middle East.

"Oil is doomed," one of the sources said.

A second source said the OPEC meeting in November might failto have a strong impact on prices even if it strikes a deal tolimit output: "I don't think prices will go up much more thanthe current levels."

Trump has promised to double U.S. economic growth but alsopledged protectionist trade policies.

"This will have huge negative implications for Asia, givenhow much their GDP is tied to trade with the U.S. Hence it isnegative for growth and oil demand, at least due to theuncertainty that Trump creates," said Amrita Sen, of the thinktank Energy Aspects.

Trump's energy policies have been limited in detail so far.

But what he has said will be seen as supportive for theshare prices of U.S. independent oil and gas producers as wellas oil majors with large exposure to the U.S. shale industrysuch as Chevron, ExxonMobil and Shell.

"Trump has vowed to lead a fossil-fuel revival to underpinjob growth and has also put man-made climate change denial atthe forefront of his energy policy," JBC Energy analysts said ina note.

Trump said he was in favour of removing oil-sectorregulations, opening federal land to drilling, and vowed torevive a major trans-Canadian and trans-U.S. oil pipelineproject while pledging to support the coal industry.

The stocks of oil majors BP and Shell were down inline with the price of crude, while France's Total underperformed peers.

Earlier this week, Total signed a deal with Iran to help itdevelop a huge gas field, becoming the first Western energycompany to ink a major deal with Tehran since the lifting ofinternational sanctions this year.

Trump has criticised the West's nuclear deal with Iran,adding to uncertainty and frustrating Tehran's push for foreigninvestment to revive its economy.

An executive from an oil major negotiating with Iran saidthat given Tehran wanted to repay investments slowly, maybe overfive to 10 years, many oil firms would take a slow approach infinalising deals until Trump's policies became clearer.

"It is a significant amount of money that will be put atrisk should sanctions be brought back," the executive said.

(Writing by Dmitry Zhdannikov; Editing by Dale Hudson)

More News
27 Oct 2022 07:30

Shell announces $4bn share buyback as Q3 profits beat expectations

(Sharecast News) - Oil giant Shell announced a $4bn share buyback on Thursday as it posted better-than-expected third-quarter profits.

Read more
21 Apr 2022 11:53

Shell turning to China to offload Russian business - report

(Sharecast News) - Shell is reportedly looking to China as it looks to offload its Russian business.

Read more
15 Feb 2022 15:54

Shell preparing to sell North Sea gas fields - report

(Sharecast News) - Shell is reportedly preparing to launch the sale of its stakes in two clusters of gas fields in the southern British North Sea, part of an ongoing retreat of long-time producers from the ageing basin.

Read more
7 Feb 2022 10:52

Berenberg nudges up target price on Shell

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Berenberg slightly raised their target price on oil and gas giant Shell from 2,350.0p to 2,375.0p on Monday, stating the firm was "on a roll".

Read more
31 Jan 2022 10:53

TOP NEWS SUMMARY: Shell and BHP share unifications go into effect

TOP NEWS SUMMARY: Shell and BHP share unifications go into effect

Read more
31 Jan 2022 07:48

LONDON MARKET PRE-OPEN: WeBuyAnyCar owner buys into Lookers

LONDON MARKET PRE-OPEN: WeBuyAnyCar owner buys into Lookers

Read more
28 Jan 2022 11:25

Shell's renewables boss steps down after less than two years

* Elisabeth Brinton leaves for new role, she says* Shell creates two new renewables leadership roles* Thomas Brostrรธm to head renewables generation* Steve Hill to head energy marketingBy Ron BoussoLONDON, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Shell's head of renewable...

Read more
27 Jan 2022 16:14

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Read more
26 Jan 2022 17:02

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 soars ahead of Fed as oil, travel gain

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 soars ahead of Fed as oil, travel gain

Read more
26 Jan 2022 14:36

China's Sinopec awards fewer cargoes in recent LNG tender

By Chen Aizhu and Marwa RashadSINGAPORE/LONDON, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Unipec, the oil and gas trading arm of China's Sinopec Corp has awarded fewer-than-planned cargoes in a recent tender to sell up to 45 cargoes of liquefied natural gas for 2022 del...

Read more
26 Jan 2022 12:16

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Markets brace for aggressive US Fed tightening

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Markets brace for aggressive US Fed tightening

Read more
26 Jan 2022 09:33

UPDATE 2-Commodity, bank stocks lead FTSE 100 higher; Playtech drops

* Oil and banking shares top gainers* Wizz Air reports Q3 loss, expects improvement in spring* FTSE 100 up 1.3%, FTSE 250 add 1.1% (Updates to market close)By Shashank Nayar and Ambar WarrickJan 26 (Reuters) - London's FTSE 100 rose on Wednesday wit...

Read more
26 Jan 2022 09:12

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Fresnillo drops on 2022 production warning

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Fresnillo drops on 2022 production warning

Read more
25 Jan 2022 21:13

UPDATE 1-U.S. awards 13 mln barrel exchange of crude from strategic reserve

(Adds details on sale, background on 50 million barrel SPR plan)WASHINGTON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The U.S. Department of Energy said on Tuesday it had approved an exchange of 13.4 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to ...

Read more
25 Jan 2022 20:10

U.S. awards exchange of 13 mln barrels of crude from strategic reserve

WASHINGTON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The U.S. Department of Energy said on Tuesday it had approved an exchange of 13.4 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to seven companies.The companies are Shell Trading US, 4.2 million ...

Read more

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.

Quickpicks are a member only feature

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.