We would love to hear your thoughts about our site and services, please take our survey here.

Less Ads, More Data, More Tools Register for FREE

Pin to quick picksRDSA.L Share News (RDSA)

  • There is currently no data for RDSA

Watchlists are a member only feature

Login to your account

Alerts are a premium feature

Login to your account

For Big Oil, reserve size matters less than ever

Wed, 16th May 2018 12:47

* Oil and gas reserves life falls below 12 years

* Reserves life lowest in at least 20 years

* Companies focusing more on quality of reserves

* Graphic: Oil Majors reserves life - sector (https://tmsnrt.rs/2vAiFLX?eikon=true)

By Ron Bousso

LONDON, May 16 (Reuters) - A decade ago, the news that theworld's top oil and gas companies had less than 12 years ofproduction left in their reserves might have caused a panickedsell-off in their shares.

But as consumers try to move away from fossil fuels tocleaner and cheaper energy sources, investors and executives sayreserve size is no longer the gold standard for measuring thevalue and health of a company.

The cost of developing existing reserves and the amount ofcarbon those reserves produce has now become more important,they say. This is leading to a profound shift in companystrategies.

"The quality of reserves and the commercial viability ofreserves has eclipsed the quantity of reserves by far in recentyears," said Adi Karev, Global Leader for Oil and Gas at EY.

The sector is emerging from one of its longest and deepestdownturns after an oil price slump that started in 2014.

The largest publicly-traded oil companies -- Exxon Mobil,Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, France's Total, BP,Equinor (formerly Statoil) and Italy's Eni -- have adapted. Theysaved money by cutting jobs and increasing technology spendingand now make more money with oil at $60 a barrel than they didat $100.

But they also cut spending on exploration for new resourcesand development of new fields. This led to a decline inreserves.

An analysis by Reuters and Guinness Asset Management of theannual reports of those eight companies shows that the size oftheir oil and gas reserves, when added together, fell to 91billion barrels in 2017. That was the lowest since the sameamount in 2005.

The reserves of Exxon Mobil, the largest company, shrank by16 percent since the slump began in 2014. Shell's reserves fell6.5 percent since then despite the $54 billion acquisition of BGGroup in 2016.

BP and Chevron's oil and gas reserves increased by a small 5percent since 2014. Eni was the only one to significantly boostits reserves by over 20 percent thanks to the discovery of thegiant Zohr gas field off the coast of Egypt.

The cumulative reserve life - the number of years a companycan sustain its current production levels with existing reserves- of the eight companies fell to 11.7 years in 2017. That wasthe lowest level in at least 20 years although that drop is alsothe result of a sharp increase in production. Reuters does haveaccess to data going back beyond 1998.

Exxon's reserves life shrank from 17 years in 2014 to 15 in2017. Eni's from 10.6 to 10.1 years despite its discoveries.Shell slipped from 12 to 9 years over the period.

"There is clear deterioration (in reserves) and this will bea problem in time," according to Jonathan Waghorn, manager ofthe energy fund at Guinness Asset Management.

But for now, "10-12 year's reserve life should be fine, soit is not a materially important component between the Majors."

"THE BEST BARRELS"

With electric vehicles on the ascent and a peak for fueldemand on the horizon, the focus on the reserves is shifting tothe quality of the reserves rather than the quantity

"Some reserves are more efficient than others," EldarSaetre, chief executive officer of Norwegian oil giant Equinortold Reuters.

"At some point we see a shrinking oil and gas industry, whenthat will be I do not know, but then it is really important thatthe best barrels come in and that will be increasingly acompetitive factor."

Some companies are already changing strategies to adapt tothe new focus.

Oil prices are not expected to rise sharply in the long-termand governments are seeking to reduce pollution and greenhousegas emissions. This means firms are adjusting by settingceilings for the cost of projects, often below $35 a barrel. Oilreached a $80 a barrel this month, the highest since late 2014.

Crude oil and natural gas have different grades and the costof pumping them can vary hugely. Saudi Arabia's oil is easierand therefore cheaper to extract than Angola's complex deepwaterwells.

Canada's oil sands have become less attractive due to theirhigh cost of extraction and high carbon intensity. Exxon wrotedown a large part of its Canadian oil reserves in 2017. Itslargest rival, Shell, has sold most of its Canadian assets inrecent years.

North American shale which has emerged over the past decadecan be developed relatively quickly and at low cost, in contrastto multi-billion dollar deepwater projects that take years todevelop.

The Permian basin in Texas, the heartland of the shale oilboom in recent years, saw production costs drop sharply to aslow as $30 a barrel.

Exxon and U.S. rival Chevron have both acquired largeacreage in the Permian in recent years. Shell is also expandingin U.S. shale.

The Gulf of Mexico also has low extraction costs because ithas large reservoirs of oil and some infrastructure is alreadylocated there such as services companies and onshore bases.

Statoil and Total have bought exploration acreage in theU.S. Gulf of Mexico in recent months.

Brazil's pre-salt reserves also have low costs as there arehuge reservoirs and also some existing infrastructure. All eightcompanies are there and several have recently sharply increasedtheir production in the basin.

"We are now getting to the point that the focus onefficiencies and producing reserves at a low level is whatinvestors expect," Karev said.

(Additional reporting by Shadia Nasralla in London and StephenJewkes in Milan; Editing by Anna Willard)

More News
27 Oct 2022 07:30

Shell announces $4bn share buyback as Q3 profits beat expectations

(Sharecast News) - Oil giant Shell announced a $4bn share buyback on Thursday as it posted better-than-expected third-quarter profits.

Read more
21 Apr 2022 11:53

Shell turning to China to offload Russian business - report

(Sharecast News) - Shell is reportedly looking to China as it looks to offload its Russian business.

Read more
15 Feb 2022 15:54

Shell preparing to sell North Sea gas fields - report

(Sharecast News) - Shell is reportedly preparing to launch the sale of its stakes in two clusters of gas fields in the southern British North Sea, part of an ongoing retreat of long-time producers from the ageing basin.

Read more
7 Feb 2022 10:52

Berenberg nudges up target price on Shell

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Berenberg slightly raised their target price on oil and gas giant Shell from 2,350.0p to 2,375.0p on Monday, stating the firm was "on a roll".

Read more
31 Jan 2022 10:53

TOP NEWS SUMMARY: Shell and BHP share unifications go into effect

TOP NEWS SUMMARY: Shell and BHP share unifications go into effect

Read more
31 Jan 2022 07:48

LONDON MARKET PRE-OPEN: WeBuyAnyCar owner buys into Lookers

LONDON MARKET PRE-OPEN: WeBuyAnyCar owner buys into Lookers

Read more
28 Jan 2022 11:25

Shell's renewables boss steps down after less than two years

* Elisabeth Brinton leaves for new role, she says* Shell creates two new renewables leadership roles* Thomas Brostrøm to head renewables generation* Steve Hill to head energy marketingBy Ron BoussoLONDON, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Shell's head of renewable...

Read more
27 Jan 2022 16:14

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Read more
26 Jan 2022 17:02

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 soars ahead of Fed as oil, travel gain

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 soars ahead of Fed as oil, travel gain

Read more
26 Jan 2022 14:36

China's Sinopec awards fewer cargoes in recent LNG tender

By Chen Aizhu and Marwa RashadSINGAPORE/LONDON, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Unipec, the oil and gas trading arm of China's Sinopec Corp has awarded fewer-than-planned cargoes in a recent tender to sell up to 45 cargoes of liquefied natural gas for 2022 del...

Read more
26 Jan 2022 12:16

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Markets brace for aggressive US Fed tightening

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Markets brace for aggressive US Fed tightening

Read more
26 Jan 2022 09:33

UPDATE 2-Commodity, bank stocks lead FTSE 100 higher; Playtech drops

* Oil and banking shares top gainers* Wizz Air reports Q3 loss, expects improvement in spring* FTSE 100 up 1.3%, FTSE 250 add 1.1% (Updates to market close)By Shashank Nayar and Ambar WarrickJan 26 (Reuters) - London's FTSE 100 rose on Wednesday wit...

Read more
26 Jan 2022 09:12

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Fresnillo drops on 2022 production warning

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Fresnillo drops on 2022 production warning

Read more
25 Jan 2022 21:13

UPDATE 1-U.S. awards 13 mln barrel exchange of crude from strategic reserve

(Adds details on sale, background on 50 million barrel SPR plan)WASHINGTON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The U.S. Department of Energy said on Tuesday it had approved an exchange of 13.4 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to ...

Read more
25 Jan 2022 20:10

U.S. awards exchange of 13 mln barrels of crude from strategic reserve

WASHINGTON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The U.S. Department of Energy said on Tuesday it had approved an exchange of 13.4 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to seven companies.The companies are Shell Trading US, 4.2 million ...

Read more

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.

Quickpicks are a member only feature

Login to your account

Don't have an account? Click here to register.