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Broker tips: Petrofac, Bonmarche, ICAP

Wed, 28th Sep 2016 14:15

(ShareCast News) - Petrofac got a boost on Wednesday as Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to 'buy' from 'neutral' and lifted the price target to 1,066p from 912p.It said the upgrade was driven by Petrofac's geographic exposure, which is predominantly geared to the Middle East and by the current backlog for 2017, which stands at 87%. In addition, it pointed to scope for additional contract awards driven by the Middle East.The bank also highlighted the potential for free cash flow improvement from 2017. GS said it expects capex to start falling from 2017, which would lead to a FCF yield of about 10%/14% in 2017/18."Given the low level of contracts awards year-to-date, we believe that any meaningful contract (over $500mn) is likely to be taken positively by the market, particularly as one of the key areas on which investors focus for E&C companies is contract awards.""Petrofac management has mentioned that it will focus on reducing its capital intensity as well as investments within the Integrated Energy Services segment: should the company succeed in doing so, and at the same time reduce its net debt, this is also likely to be taken positively."Goldman Sachs said key downside risks include a low level of contract awards, execution problems on projects leading to lower margins than anticipated, and deteriorating levels of net debt. Clothing retailer Bonmarche shares was under the cosh on Wednesday after Canaccord Genuity cut its rating to 'hold' from 'buy' and lowered its target price to 90p from 160p.The company last week issued a profit warning after reporting poor sales of its autumn range in September due to recent hot weather. Bonmarche said its full year profit before tax is likely to fall within a range between £5m & £7m. It also expects first half like-for-like (LFL) sales will drop 8%."Given the volatile trading conditions and potential wider-scale clothing sector discounting to monetise excess inventory, we have erred towards the conservative end of this guidance," Canaccord said."Management has a good track record on managing operating costs in relation to top line evolution, but the severity of first half's LFL declines cannot be fully mitigated by such measures."Canaccord added that the company's shares could be helped by a return to more seasonal weather patterns and a favourable reaction to new chief executive Helen Connolly's plans when laid out eventually.The broker said the new profit before tax guidance is a "major disappointment" even if driven primarily by weather."With trading volatile, and in the absence of the new CEO's plans, we believe it prudent to assume a modest rate of pre-tax profit recovery going forward."On any further reduction to our fiscal year 2017 EBITDA forecast we would potentially be forecasting a technical breach of the sole covenant on the undrawn revolving credit facility, which on our revised forecasts remains just above the minimum 1.5:1 adjusted EBITDAR to net finance charges ratio." ICAP shares dropped on Wednesday as Citigroup downgraded the stock to 'neutral' from 'buy' and slashed the target price to 490p from 530p.The broker is set to be renamed NEX Group Plc once it sells its global broking business to Tullett Prebon Plc for £1.1bn."NEX Group is going to be a capital-lite, cash-generative entity with lower ongoing regulatory capital requirements," Citi said."This, we think, will enable it to maintain good operating cash flow conversion levels and to pay a sustainable dividend policy of around 60% for fiscal year 2018 and beyond."For 2017, Citi believes the company can maintain its 22p DPS, based on the current business mix and the cash on its balance sheet that will remain after the disposal.Citi also lowered its average daily volume foreign exchange (FX) estimates for its FX business EBS, which account for 50% of NEX's earnings.Citi added that it acknowledges US elections in November and a possible US rate hike in December will be catalysts for heightened FX volatility."However, notwithstanding this, we believe consensus expectations for full year 2017 EBS revenues are too high."
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6 Jun 2014 15:29

UK Earnings, Trading Statements Calendar - Week Ahead

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11 Apr 2014 07:35

Bonmarché Sales Rise In First Quarter

LONDON (Alliance News) - Bonmarché Holdings PLC said Friday that sales rose in its first quarter, with growth driven by products, stores and multi-channel initiatives. The clothing retailer said store sales rose 13.5% for the 13 weeks to March 29, 2014, while online sales jumped 72.8%, givi

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11 Apr 2014 07:28

Bonmarché sees results ahead of forecasts after Q4 sales pick up

Bonmarché, the High Street value womenswear retailer, reported double-digit like-for-like (LFL) sales over its financial year after a strong fourth quarter. The company, which focuses on clothing in a wide range of sizes for mature women, said that the board now expects the outcome for the full yea

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16 Jan 2014 13:49

UK MIDDAY BRIEFING: Retail Season Ends Positively

LONDON (Alliance News) - A raft of strong trading updates from retailers including Primark, Dixons, Home Retail, and Halfords effectively brought the Christmas retail reporting season to a close Thursday, and confirmed that the period had been positive overall despite weak trading for some of

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16 Jan 2014 12:10

REPEAT: Bonmarche Reports Strong Christmas As Online Sales Start To Click

LONDON (Alliance News) - Shares in Bonmarche Holdings PLC, the mature-women's clothing retailer recently listed on AIM, were given a boost Thursday after the chain said that total sales rose by 6.3% for the quarter ended December 28, 2013, as online sales surged by almost 60%. The UK clothi

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16 Jan 2014 12:02

Bonmarche's Reports Strong Christmas As Online Sales Start To Click

LONDON (Alliance News) - Shares in Bonmarche Holdings PLC, the mature-women's clothing retailer recently listed on AIM, were given a boost Thursday after the chain said that total sales rose by 6.3% for the quarter ended December 28, 2013, as online sales surged by almost 60%. The UK clothi

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16 Jan 2014 08:21

UK MORNING BRIEFING: Shares Down; Sports Direct Ups Interest In Debenhams

LONDON (Alliance News) - UK shares have opened mostly lower Thursday despite a strong lead from the US, as investors digest a rush of UK company announcements.

In another surprise from Mike Ashley, Sports Direct International said it has sold its 4.6% stake in Read more

10 Jan 2014 15:35

Sector movers: Retail stocks boosted strong sales at John Lewis

General retail stocks were on shopping lists on Friday after strong results from High Street bellwether John Lewis and data showing a surge in online retail sales during December. According to the British Retail Consortium (BRC), overall retail sales rose at a year-on-year rate of 0.4% last month,

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20 Nov 2013 11:19

Applied Graphene Soars After AIM IPO, Infinis Falls

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