Downward Trend24 Jun 2020 17:03
Having worked for Tui, I think we should keep an open mind. The air industry is only part of their assets, they own hotels and cruise ships... The latter being in recent years there more profitable industry... Like all airliners Swissport play a role in baggage handling and they need to take a check on the industry as whole, its not all sunseekers and holiday makers.. With business travel so broadly hit, the change in dynamic towards video conferencing - this sector truely wont recover for sometime... That said holidays and business dont go together, there is a moment of shock, uncertainty as whole but I dont feel this is accurately reflecting the share price of TUI, I bought in after COVID the first tranche at 289p, then somemore stupidly during the boom at 520 and another tranche yesterday at 414. I did this because I thought the shares represented incredible value for money... The key points for TUI is there seasonal holiday hasnt been overly effected, Winter 2019 ending around March and as Covid disrupted was largely over, then early summer and mid summer has been effected, late summer and last minutes are up for grabs as is the winter packages in 2020. In some respects I wonder how COVID may prove profitable for the company, as the dip between seasons there daily running costs have been bolstered by Goverment support and the furlough scheme... Any how I am in for a hold now, I expect (hope) the share price to reach 700p thereabouts by the autumn and at which point my expectation is to sell and by a cut price holiday from them... Perhaps that helps some of you... I am not here to promote any agenda other than my own, I no longer work for them anymore either....