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Never believe a banker. This out today:
Energy Transfer, China's ENN sign 20-year supply deals for Lake Charles LNG
iPad too old to get story but it's on Seeking Alpha. So maybe Citigroup is short and wants to cover.
ROCK, I believe 5% is first step but in the case I see happening different entities would be accumulating just below the mark. At some point smart money would catch on and that is when an offer would happen, imo. I, too have been around for awhile, since my uncle joined Kip's investment group. So far back that conman Bruner was still around. I warned my uncle about him, but the story was too good. Have taken some profits a couple times and have a nice low base. But, ready for good news to take us to the promised land. Or PL adjacent.
hydrogen, your 100,000 buyer came over to America and did a sweep around 10:30 on folgf. Added up to around 700,000 shares at .13US. Very nice to see. My assumption all along has been that an eventual buyer won't just come out and say we will take you for a buck, but rather start buying down low and get a foot in the door. This might lead to a much lower overall price for them, saving them millions. Seldom do you see huge premiums on buyouts, unless some huge event precedes it. Say a new drug getting passed. Of course, there are risks in buying as early as now. Things may not pan out as hoped for. On the other hand, getting a chunk down here helps with future buyout plans through shares to vote and gives you cushion to raise buyout price. Should someone outbid you, you make a boatload on stock bought down here. Happened with Grand Colombia Gold last year. I guess, long story short, don't discount the possibility that your 100,000 buyer isn't one of our future suitors betting on commerciality in Beetleloo.
A few random thoughts. The quotes about flow rates, did those companies encounter the myriad of problems we seem to be seeing? I still think there is a chance we are being bamboozled by our partner. My distrust of most things leads me to think the longer they stretch this out the better chance they have of getting us cheap as we run out of money. I also think POQ and BoD are compliment in this, as they will get paid under the table from our conniving partner. Conspiracy? I hope. Also, as to the plandemic, the Delta is spread easier but much less deadly. So, I see no reason why people working outside can not continue working. The science/stats have shown that outside workers almost never get it and I haven't seen a single real case of a death from it for outside workers. Now I read that a hospital in the Netherlands says 85% of the recent cases have been to people that took the injection. So, not exactly sure what the purpose of getting jabbed is if you still can get it. Maybe for all the good stuff in it. Seems obvious to me it is about control, power and little to do with true science. As I have said from the beginning, when has the government ever paid hospitals, nursing homes, etc. to put down a specific cause, specially when it had little to do with real cause of death. Did it push them into grave a few days quicker? Maybe, maybe not. But paying for a specific thing seems like a red flag to me. Now the push to make people get jabbed with something untested, that doesn't work as advertised? Red flag, me thinks. Thanks for letting me vent a bit. Still holding and hoping for better results and for some insider buying.
Otd, while I have no definitive proof, I suspect API out of Michigan had some Crooked deal lined up to get bought out. The shareholders were bearing down on the board and they were reluctant to give up their easy paycheck and fought tooth and nail. And, while I can't think of the stem cell company from Boston, they were bought by Astellas out of Japan in what I can only imagine was a rigged deal. The value of their patents and the potential they had, made the buyout price ridiculous. The fact that the BoD and management so heartily agreed upon the price lead me to believe that some money was going under the table to them. That or they were lying about the company's potential all along. It's naive to think these things don't go on. What reason would Origin have to treat us like family and give us more money than the very least they could? From the beginning our own people were screwing us. Bruner handed out shares like the fed does fiat bucks. So having Origin slowly bleed us is only the next step in the fleecing. The irony is that I am too stubborn(stupid?) to sell and move on after this decade long butt banging. In fact, I am buying as I write this on the US side. Partial fill. I'm my own worst enemy sometimes. To all the long suffering shareholders I hope I'm crazy and that the price goes up, but....
Long knife, yeah, options. For years I have been wondering why POQ doesn't buy any shares. I also have been wondering why the top dogs don't. Do they not see potential we do? They have better info than us, so that makes me wonder. I realize if insider sells started showing up the game would be over. On the other hand what would happen if one or more started filing buys? Are they buying thru other parties? The constant, prolonged weakness would say no. I don't even know what the BoD gets paid, but if more than a few thousand bucks I would say they are overpaid. Long ago someone said that Origin would drag their feet to put pressure on Falcon financially till they bled us dry. I thought that was a viable option for them to get us cheap. And, as each year passes and we own less and less of an entity that other companies seem to get results from but not Origin/us I wonder is it really incompetence or just the plan. I realize these seem like conspiracy theories, but since I first was in this over a decade ago and saw Bruner for the slippery con man that he was, and then the debacle at Hungary followed by whatever you want to call the Beetleloo, I am more convinced that the big boys have their own plan. Why wouldn't they buy the crap out of this if we are so close to the finish line?????
Oil, I certainly concur that this is being manipulated. But, we will never see anything close to a buck American. My guess is this will go for maybe .25 with money saved by Origin going under the table to the major shareholders. One thing I learned from a couple decades of being a broker is many times the minority shareholders get the shaft, the big boys seldom do. There is a reason Origin has been able to drag their feet and POQ is virtually useless and unheard from, the bigboys have been assured their money. If this was such an undervalued hidden gem, wouldn't one of the major shareholders have stepped in and doubled up down here. Yet none sell nor buy. Why? Because they are happy to keep the plan on track. If they buy, the stock goes up and then Origin must pay more. At this point everyone but us is happy. POQ can go play golf and collect his paychecks, get his free shares and feel no pressure. The BoD can collect free shares for doing absolutely nothing. The big boys already know what they will get for their shares and under the table. We get bupkis. Now, this is all my opinion and I do own shares. Why? Because maybe I'm wrong and this will all of a sudden be that one stock that gets bought out at 10 times what it is trading at. I mean, I could be wrong, I have been for over a decade sitting with this underachieving POS. One final thought. When Hungary was going to be the biggest find in history and take us to the moon, I noticed a change in the posting. It was subtle at first but I noticed it. People starting talking about the Beetleloo. Forget Hungary, Beetleloo is so much more promising. Then Hungary was no more. Now I see posting about South Africa. Hmmmm. In another decade will we be waiting on news about drill results in SA. And the Beetleloo is no more.
My irritation comes from the fact that when options expire, they just go and give themselves replacement ones. They did nothing to help move the stock up for shareholders so the expiring options should remain expired. Every one of them is getting way more than enough for the little work they do. This is a Bruner giveaway from years ago. Thought he was a crook back then and think the people lining up for replacement options are crooks now. They should have some decency and take their lumps like the long suffering shareholders. If the stock goes up we all benefit. If it doesn't, we all lose, one way or another. There truly is no help for minority shareholders.
tnbird, you imply that the big holders know more than us. I can't disagree. From day to day I feel like I know little. I've been in this close to two decades now. Struggled thru the crooked Bruner days and now the stress free days of overpaid POQ. What I am wondering is if the big boys know more, why aren't they buying more? They had a chance at a very large chunk and passed. If they think this is going to be sold for .50, 1.00 or more, why aren't they buying? They have owned this longer than me and at some point a ten bagger isn't that big a deal after multiple decades. Also, does anyone know their actual cost basis? Do they get free shares like Bruner used to get? Maybe that would explain a complete lack of insider buying around here. Thanks in advance for any answers.
Oil, thanks for bringing up big shareholders. The guys that control the BoD with hundreds of millions of shares must be extremely disappointed, don't care for some reason or know something we don't. This is my first post here, but I, unfortunately, have been around since that crook Bruner was around giving himself shares like he was the fed printing money. I've taken some profits here and there, but honestly, this has been a schitshow of remarkable underachievement. I went thru Bruner, Hungary failures, which led into Beetaloo, which led into Karoo. Each stop along the way was going to be a game changer, until it wasn't. You could tell there were problems when the company and message boards started talking more about what was next versus what was currently going on. While I haven't sold recently, instead added, I am still under the impression Origin is failing or dragging their feet just to bleed us out of more of our acreage. And, don't get me started on POQ, one of the most over paid, underachieving management dirtbags I've witnessed. Happy to take his outrageous paycheck, sign over acreage to our overlords and dilute us. A slow witted chimp could do his job for a bag of bananas. The fact he never buys stock is a glaring red flag of what is to come from this overpaid underachiever. He apparently has no confidence in himself and for good reason. And, yet, I came here today to read what went on at the meeting and look for a reason to buy more down here. Talk about drinking the coolaid and asking for more. Sorry for rant but it has been decade in the making. Soly probably wouldn't let me do this on the old message board.