RE: Can I say boom yet?5 Aug 2020 15:40
Tulu Kapi Project Economics
From a gold price-risk viewpoint, the development and finance plans withstand a flat gold price for the next ten years of c. US$1,100/oz - which approximates the lowest gold price experienced in over ten years. The average gold price for the past ten years was US$1,365/oz.
At the current gold price of circa US$1,700/oz, KEFI estimates:
· net cash flow of the open pit mine to be US$481 million; and
· the Definitive Feasibility Study ("DFS") based NPV of the open pit (US$300 million) added to that of the PEA-based NPV of the underground mine (US$110 million), totals to the aggregate Project NPV at 8% of US$411 million. NPV's are on after-tax cash net cash flows as at today.
On this basis and after taking into account that KEFI has already invested nearly all of its contribution to the Project equity, KEFI's 45% beneficial interest in Tulu Kapi only is US$185 million (approximately £153 million), about nine times the current market capitalisation of the Company.
Boomtime is still 6+ weeks away, this is leading up to it. Saudi news will help take us up through the 2s and into the 3s, closer to a 50milmcap 1/5 of what kefi will be producing annually once the deals completed. Long way to go and short clear defined timeframes