KEFI gold and copper19 Aug 2020 08:23
KEFI remains focused on the preparations and subsequent completion of the outlined finance milestones to ensure the closing of full Project funding in October 2020 and for gold production to commence in 2022, in line with recent guidance. This month we focus on finalisation of the detailed terms sheets with the preferred provider of subordinated debt/offtake-linked finance, likewise for the Project equity.
The current price provides compelling economics for KEFI's projects and, in my view, gold prices could continue to increase as interest rates remain low as monetary expansion and government debt continues to rise globally.
The spot gold price is currently more than US$800/oz higher than our Ore Reserves assumption of US$1,098/oz and US$600/oz higher than our base case assumption of US$1,300/oz used for Tulu Kapi financing plans. Recent industry analysts' consensus forecasts seem to be for a new base case of US$1,500 with upside beyond US$2,000/oz.
As announced on 19 June 2020, the strong Project fundamentals are summarised below at different gold prices, based on the 2020 Tulu Kapi Plan for the open pit added to that of the PEA-based NPV of the underground project. NPV's are based on after-debt and after-tax cash flows discounted at 8% from the viewpoint of KEFI shareholders as at today.
The 2.5billion of copper is great. The PEA will add 200+mil to KEFIs over all NPV taking it to 600mil+ ( 18x our mcap )
No it's all about the giant gold deal to be concluded in October. With the term sheet of final piece being worked on now.
In October 5p will be cheap ( 100milmcap ) when to 210 mil full funding is concluded. Derisking and full funding us to production of 320-400mil a year which we now get 70%
Sleeping giant