RE: Great future9 Jun 2020 15:55
Eurasia Mining
EXTRACTING VALUE FROM PALLADIUM JUNE 2020
Palladium
- Atomic Number 46
- Used in Catalytic Converters (>50% of usage) - Also used in electronics, fuel cells and jewelry
Mined in South Africa, Russia and North America
In structural deficit – prices rising sharply since 12.2018
Background Information
GMF78 RESEARCH
EXTRACTING VALUE FROM PALLADIUM - JUNE 2020
Palladium Production 2019
3080 Koz – Norilsk Nickel, Russia
1386 Koz – Anglo American, South Africa
1030 Koz – Implats (& NAP), South Africa & North America
949 Koz – Sibanye, South Africa & North America
250 Koz – Vale, North America
250 Koz – Northam, South Africa
250 Koz – Africa Rainbow Minerals (ARM), South Africa
Recycling – approx 3400 Koz
2019 Demand – 11500 Koz Deficit approx 1100 Koz
Potential longterm for Eurasia, Russia >850 Koz – Monchetundra
65 Koz – West Kytlim
Norilsk
Anglo American
Sibanye
Implats
Northam
Africa Vale
Main players in Palladium
Changing dynamic with COVID-19
EXTRACTING VALUE FROM PALLADIUM - JUNE 2020
Company
Norilsk Nickel
Anglo American Platinum (Amplats)
Sibanye-Stillwater
Impala Platinum (Implats)
Vale
Northam
ARM (African Rainbow Minerals)
Total Production
Recycling and Other Sources
Total Demand
Structural Deficit
2019 2020
3.08Moz
1.39Moz 949Koz
849Koz + 224Koz (NAP) 250Koz
150Koz
110Koz
7.0Moz ~6.3Moz 3.41Moz ~3.0Moz
10.4Moz ~9.3Moz
11.5Moz 10.9Moz
1.1Moz ~1.6Moz
Reduction
222Koz
285Koz
~79Koz
~107Koz
25Koz
~15Koz
~9Koz
-742Koz
-370Koz ~ -1.1Moz
Official Updates
Q1 – down 222Koz
Apr20 guidance given 1.1-1.2Moz
Est based on 50% during shutdown 30-40% reduction May & June ~10% reduction in Q1 report Estimate based on 10% reduction Estimate based on shutdown
Estimate 10-15% reduction
Over 1Moz reduction as of 1.5.20
TBC – demand forecasts need updating
Palladium Mining
Structural Deficit 1Moz in 2020 and beyond
EXTRACTING VALUE FROM PALLADIUM - JUNE 2020
Eurasia – Senior Management Team
CHRISTIAN SCHAFFALITZKY Executive Chairman and Managing Director
EurGeol, FIMMM, Pgeo, CEng. 40 years experience in mineral exploration. Founder of CSA international. Numerous discovery credits including Lisheen zinc deposit in Ireland. Also chairman at Kibo Mining Plc.
GARY FITZGERALD Non-Executive Director
30 years experience in investment management, prior director of Framlington Investment Management.
JAMES NIEUWENHUYS Non-executive Director
James has held senior positions including Chief Operating Officer at Polyus Gold, Russias largest gold miner, and is currently Chief Executive Officer at South African Lesego Platinum Mining Limited. James has an engineering background and has also held senior positions at a number of EPC organisations.
DMITRY SUSCHOV Non-Executive Director
Commodities trading veteran (primarily various grades of metallurgical and thermal coals) who has successfully built a major Pulverized Coal Injection (PCI) franchise throughout