RE: Heading north....6 Jul 2020 21:14
Yes, some very good points - biomass is basically combustion and releases particulates but then again, so is gas (albeit a bit cleaner) and look how many gas plants run. You're right though, wind and solar certainly are pushing prices down (in some cases causing negative wholesale prices) but, in terms of 'prudent' generation mix, I personally think biomass with be around for some time yet. Some reports think biomass usage could triple globally. Even if the majority of GB demand was to be met solely by renewables such as wind and solar (Ireland are heading for 90% SNSP), I suspect units such as those at Drax may still have to support in some way - at min gen or something (I could be wrong?). Mustn't forget that wind farms also get ROCS - often a significant revenue component - so they have that risk too.
As for forex risk, I would have thought a company such as Drax would have some of this hedged going forward as part of their normal business activities?
Personally I think they're heading in the right direction. Still better than coal!
In terms of batteries , many traditional thermal power plants already use them to provide support services to the grid - do Drax have some too?
Anyway, interesting times. I'm happy to hold for the time being as I think the share price has more to go. Time will tell. Fingers-crossed!!