thearmchairtrader23 Apr 2021 11:34
Lloyds Banking Group [LON:LLOY], First Quarter Interim Management Statement, Wednesday 28 April
Nicholas Hyett, Equity Analyst
“We see three big questions for Lloyds, and all UK banks, this year. Firstly, have bad loans remained modest? The banking sector set aside billions in provisions for bad loans when the pandemic hit – expecting a significant increase in defaults. But thanks to massive government support, bad loans have been lower than some expected. If that continues, not only will loan impairments be low this year, but some historic provisions could be released, boosting profits. Secondly what has happened to interest rate margins? Net interest margins essentially measure the profitability of lending. We know the Bank of England’s decision to cut rates early in the crisis affected the profitability of lending for Lloyds. However, a hot mortgage market suggests the group may have been able to increase profitability more recently. Finally, what does the bank plan to do with its formidable capital pile? Having been forced to suspend dividends last year, and restricted in what it could pay out at the full year, Lloyds is practically awash with capital. That gives it lots of options, including dividends, acquisitions and buybacks. The bank has so far said it intends to pay a “progressive dividend” but from what level is unclear – a conservative dividend payment would open the door to alternative uses of the spare capital currently sitting on the group’s balance sheet.”
*Author Nicholas Hyett owns shares in Lloyds Banking Group
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