RE: Cineplex12 Jun 2020 12:13
Posted by Londoner a couple of days ago.
As I recall, this was not an agressive move on Cineplex by Cineworld, rather Cineplex were inviting bidders. Therefore, in light of the new world WRT the virus it is likely that Cineplex would be open to an offer below the original $34. As I've posted before, with Cineplex @ c$16, the market does not expect Cineworld to pay the full price.
Using Cinemark as a benchmark, it's price has dropped 50% from the time of the bid for Cineplex, so if Cineworld wasn't sniffing around the relative price of Cineplex now would be c$12. This imples that the current $16 includes a $4 for the bid attention. This might represent the price the market expects Cineworld to offer or perhaps a couple of bucks higher.
Much higher and the market might mark down Cineworld's price. But I think that if Cineworld proceeds it would be a good sign for shareholders in the longer term. The boys know their business.
Incdentally, unlike Regal which was run down, and needed CapEx, Cineplex theatres are up to high standards so little or no CapEx required.
It should be an interesting run up to the 29th. Although I haven't heard from the Canadian regulators so that could still stall the bid.