Member Info for Ivaylo

yes i said it few days ago, the party started on 15-th of march, thats why i bought in again (although a bit late), had more faith in other stocks which does not appear too much of runners at that time :) Was fully loaded the last time now only one tranche, nevertheless things could change fast, but party remains a favourite stock of mine. ATB

just read this article and it will answer many questions for lloy (generally UK economy in future). http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-23/osborne-reduces-u-k-s-2011-gdp-growth-forecast-affirms-austerity-plans.html Tomorrow lloy should rebounce and i want to see how hard it wil bounce if i like it i leave the tranches i have, if not i am selling it all and investing elsewhere, there are so many nice places to invest and i wait for some potentially 18% which may come or may not come any time soon considering the current situation. TNI - nice finish today although i would of love it 47.75 or higher finish, nonetheless nice finish. There is finally momentum for this share and i like it. PRTY - doji formation but nice volumes, still bullish there, if i sell lloy tomorrow i am getting another tranche for sure in there. GLA

see thats why i was wondering yesterday shall i sell or not, obviously the resistance was heavy on lloy and should of sold while i hesitated!! Hate mistakes like these! In 3 months where this will be ... hmm definitely 70p will be hit in that 3 months period, problem is how long willthe world take to overcome the issues that came last few weeks, with Japan and Middle East, inflation is a huge issue in whole Europe with foods and petrol/energy prices contributing the most. We cant move ahead with high inflation, people spend less and less, which increases unemployment thus business contracts, banks wont lend money as they lack liquidity. Nonethelss for the last 3 months there is 3 fold increase of lending compared to first 3 months of 2010 in UK. We are still waiting for the banks stress tests and we dont know the outcome, Irish banks passed the tests back last year and several months later collapsed. New measures are taken and the recovery road gets bumpy now. Also stress tests are called for nuclear reactors across Europe, that would affect countries as well, it has been mentioned i believe in Hungary or Slovenia somewhere in central europe that if nuclear reactors get closed economy will collapse. Tough times ahead. But lloy is a local uk bank, retail bank, profits should increase and global impact would be far less than on rbs, hsbc or stan. Back to 3 months price? I do see 69-70p, and when the price reaches that range IF we have good world news this could fly to 80 or up to 100. 1 pound could happen this year but again on smooth positive world markets. ATB

TNI is moving nicely, closing above 47 will be excellent, of course higher the better :) Still sells outnumber buys, Panmure reduced the price to 1 pound but mentained the BUY status PRTY - hanging in undecided but bullish, buys outnumber sells by 30% for now, got upgraded by Numis to 3 pounds maybe 2% wont be up but at least 1% I should of sold lloy yesterday, now 2% down and tni and prty still moving in the right direction, got mad now i will try day trade and get those 2p difference between 59.5 and 61.5 for as long as it comes, if resistance does not get broken next time i sell and rebuy back on the downside. 59 actually appears to be a nice bottom there. GLA

welcome back mate U doing all right?

the resistance for the party was 178.12p, and it closed right above it, i am very bullish here, i do expect at least 2% up here tomorrow and hopefully for TNI as well. I know i said party will probably stay flat till merger is complete but charts are convincing now. GLA

CTH is in free fall, why would u burn your hands with it? Especially when fundamentally does not look very good to me (of course Netley would better evaluate this company but i dont like it). Anyway, it has broken all kind of supports with this free fall however there is one very,very useful formation called Measured Bearish Move which as i saw the charts came into my mind. According to it i see 120p being hit then nice, nice recovery. It finished however nicely today so if this finish does not provide support following sessions then look for 120, i would actually bet it would get there as this measure move has served me well before and it is VERY accurate :) I am very bullish now on TNI,nice hammer (although britishbulls marked it as black spinning top) it qualifes as a hammer as well, and on a downtrend that is a bullish sign. Nice finish and nice recovery of the price which NEVER happened on all previous candlesticks, it almost always finished on its low point for the day, of course we had some "blue" days but today looks very bullish to me, nice buys as well after the huge sell off in the morning. PRTY - on 15th march it had the same hammer and since then it had rised about 4%, so 15th marked the bottom and i am very bullish on the party as well. Hence i placed my first tranche today (yeah a bit late but not TOO late), still i wonder where to put my last tranche, really last one, no more shares to sell :) well unless LLOY betrays me then i am out there, was wondering today though shall i take them out and invest in TNI and/or PRTY. I am more bullish now on party and tni than lloy. Btw lloy finished today exactly below the darned support of 61.17and it could not break resistance of 61.71p did not even try it ... well low volumes and external market forces i agree but who would love to stay on a sinking ship? Or a one just drifting according to the wind? So i wondered a lot today shall i say when it touched again 61.58 and could not go further up but hesistated, gave it another chance, so tomorrow i am watching closely again ... Thats from me for tonight, time to sleep to be on time for the morning bell :)

for TNI i believe i had 42 as my next target entry price according to my fibo calculations. LLOY - is following the FTSE and the market in generally, which started good and now retreating but i am positive. PRTY - just had a tranche there after i sold all my VED so i got one tranche in, and 1 tranche waiting for either TNI at 42 or LLOY if drops further down. PRTY might be on a steady rise now, it is up against the market but i am not very confident there.

Check crime according to Eurostat (independent and trustworthy) and look for eastern and western europe and tell me again where it is more dangerous to live? Agree there are people dying been shot but why would i care for a drug dealer to die? Domestic violence is what is important, in the place where my parents live in bulgaria (5000 people) there has been 1 murder for the last 60 years and it happened 6-7 years ago! Seeing Eastern Europe is not different from the "Western Europe" nowadays, "foreign investments" keep coming and changing the countries. Is that for better? Not to me. While people cite how the GDP is growing so fast, people are getting higher and higher wages no one is mentioning the fact people now beg on the streets for food or look in dumpsters (UNSEEN before 1989),some people die because healthcare now is expensive, some people have no homes and sleep under bridges (still bulgaria and romania has the highest percentage of people owning homes in whole EU), or that no one i knew was using drugs in fact in 1994-5 while in hgh school out of about 10 schools in that part of the city all students knew of one guy who was acting funny (getting high) and people were making fun of him. Now people die because of drugs!!! Crime before 1989? You could leave your house or car open for days or weeks none will steal anything, people were afraid of prisons. When you go to prison YOU GO to PRISON. Not like now i hear people go to prison because they have nowhere else to sleep (talking about UK) and in prison there is good food, TV, cable, play pool all in all not too much different from a hotel (except you stay all the time there). Was surprised to find out that in scotland after you serve half of your sentence in prison you could autmatically get out, scotish law! Few nights ago while talking to a polish guy (in bad neighbourhood i agree) 10-15 kids age 10-15 walking by , someone from the crowd threw a bottle on the passing by bus and broke 2 windows, people were jumping all over inside the bus, glasses everywhere ... The driver stopped the bus, loooked at the kids, said nothing and left!!! Come on!! That sent shiver through my spine!! That polish guy then told me number of stories while he has been living in edinburgh. So it was then when i decided that was it living in scotland, now i have to see what will i do with my business and getting mad i started it not even imagining in my wildest dreams crime could make me leave a country in "Western Europe". Anyway ... felt i had to say all that. ATB P.S. I agree living in a quite town is safer, but voluntarily improisement is something i would not love to do ... besides whats the difference between living in a secluded town in the Highlands and a small town in Bulgaria? No benefits in regards to doing business in big cities for both but reduced cost for living in Bulgaria, that is guaranteed.

61.17 is the support today, 61.71p resistance. If we close above 61.71p today (which i doubt a little) then 63.67 is next resistance so those 2p will be given once the 20EMA gets taken. Healthy gains from markets all around the world after japan rallied. FTSE still in the green, banks are moving well, with rbs outperforming the sector. Radiation leaked into the sea thats a problem, asian restaurants are returning food from japan, rebuilding a country is fine, restoring the electricity is fine but dealing with radiation is a LONG term process. Chernobyl still is an issue with people living in Ukraine. I do hope there are no further issues there as if agriculture/manifacturing is halted the economy will be done in short-medium term. I mean who would drive a japanese cars now? When i believe about 80% of the parts for japanese cars are produced still in Japan. Big issue and i hope radiation issue gets solved. Then the world will move ahead. China is dependent on Japan, world is dependant on Japan.

you are right i am not happy thats why i will be moving out very soon, sorry if those posts are distrurbing to people, i wanted to answer to SirBob and say how i feel.

TNI is still in the middle of nowhere, it has to be decided what will happen with the BSkyB deal, after that is settled then there will be a clear direction of the share price.

no mate, it has been run by mafia in the 90's when comunism collapsed, "democracy" came in thus the rapes, the steals the drugs and all that. Believe it or not but before 1989 i did not know there is such a thing as drugs, and now drug dealers are chasing young people in clubs and schools. Its a terrible thing! Mafia legalized their money back in the days, now they have businesses, hotels and etc. Non one is dealing with mafia, anyone can open and run their business, back in the 90's it was different thats what made me leave my country but things got better and i realized that actually the crime in bulgaria is less than any of the places i have been. In usa 3 times someone broke into my cars, drug dealers were dealing and police was making sure everything is all right. Here in Glasgow after a Celtic-Rangers game after the game i went to my car and a guy approached me with a knife asking for money. Never gave him any money though but in Bulgaria for 25 years those things never happened to me. In Edinburgh maybe 70% of the city is "council flats" which means mates on benefits and there are murders and robbing takes place every day. Back home except for where you have gypsy neighbourhoods (and thats one per city) nowhere else anything like this is happening. Honestly living in Edinburgh made me feel i am scared for my family, property and etc. even my life. Back home i am sure nothing could happen to me or my family. Dont know how it is down south but in Scotland things are not very nice. Well at least with the cities i have experience with. I hear further north (north of Aberdeen) all towns are nice. Honeslty why people would mess up with your car when its parked on the road?? I have second thoughts now about keeping doing business here. Just today spoke to a good friend of mine back home and at the end of this year and starting next year we will open 2 different types of business back home and this will be it with living abroad.

lol , i am a communist btw even though in 1989 when it all ended i was only 13 i do remember the days before and can compare it to the days now. Financially i am sure i am better now than my parents ever were but i have found out that money is a tool rather than target and if someone has 100 000 or 100 million its all the same to me. There are basic needs that every family needs and when all that is met anything above is welcome but not a lifelong desire to chase gold and money. While i lived in usa i realized many many things, used to chase luxury and liked high lifestyle for some time but not anymore. In fact i am trying to teach my kids to live humble lifestyle and soon when they start school i am sending them to my parents' village in the local school so no private school, no fancy clothes (boy it was all brand names clothes in usa when we lived there), no fried food, no candies, only frutis and vegetables allowed as many as possible. I realized i am what i am because i was brought up as a humble chap than having limousines in the childhood (like my sons had when we lived in usa). I do realize this message could put me onto filter by some people lol , but i am taking my chances :)

true, dangerous is to stay close to those levels but while i was bearish few days ago now i am bullish, libya will be put in place, Qadaffi will come down, petrol price will come down as well as high petrol prices puts world progress in danger, food prices are direclty correlated with petrol which increase the inflation, just look at UK as an example petrol and food prices is causing over 4% inflation. Japan will start its recovery, banks will pass the stress test that are coming, it has been announced that banks in UK have lent almost 3 times more money in the first months of 2011 compared to 2010, banks have more liquidity now, things are different than 1-2 years ago. The world needs to move ahead and it will move. ATB

got married at 26 and now with 2 wonderful sons who keep me busy so i am a good man now :) arkk: you dont think lloy will rise? as saying "bull run"?

on a good move but i doubt it will pass 61.17, any close above 60.02 would be perfect as that played as sucessfull resistance on friday and its generally strong support.

good base for lloy at 59-60p, party - 173-175, TNI 47-49 - all forming nice bottom. TNI has exceptional upside potential, lloy first exit 69-70 which is some 20% guaranteeed profits, officially i am out of funds and all money i had left are invested in lloy another tranche at sub 60p, and TNI 2 tranches at 47. Now i wait for VED to get me some % more profit and re-invest the money again in TNI or lloy or both, will be left only with sar, lloy and tni. And i think its a very, very good choice. TNI has a p/e of 1.05%, just incredible value!! Party is a bit shaky which i think will continue for the next 3-4 weeks until the new formed company settles with the news and anticipation then a steady slow rise will come into play. Definitely now is a good value to buy, i would invest more money in the party if i had available :) but if good profit comes from my trades i could re-invest 5-6k for a start. GLA

true, true, current situation reminds me if my motto years ago (age 16 to 26) "so many women so little time" so many shares now on buy limited funds :)

it was a buy already and now because of the war in Libya shares will be carried further up, exit 350-355? Just look at the volume last few days.