STOCK HALTED1 Jul 2026 16:08
BB3
Appreciate your contributions which are always interesting and apparently well informed however your recent figures at 23.21 seemed rather optimistic to me so I ran them past AI and received the following alternative estimates of capacity and prices.
QUOTE
🎯 Concise takeaway
The commentator assumes 22,500 L/day of helium‑4, but Pulsar’s reserved liquefaction plant can only produce ~8,200,000 L/year, which equals ~22,500 L/day only if the plant runs at full nameplate capacity from day one.
That part is technically possible — but the helium price of $46.6/L is not.
It is 6–8× higher than real-world contract pricing.
The CO₂ price of $760/ton is also 10–20× higher than typical industrial CO₂ pricing.
The helium‑3 price is plausible, but the volume assumption (2.5 L/day) is extremely high.
So the math is fine — the inputs are the problem.
🧨 Why the numbers are unrealistic
1. Helium‑4 price is wrong
Realistic long-term helium pricing:
Bulk liquid helium: $6–$10/L
Specialty purified helium: $12–$18/L
Extreme shortage pricing: $20–$25/L (rare)
The commentator uses $46.6/L, which is:
6× higher than typical
2× higher than extreme shortage pricing
Not used in any industrial contract
🧮 Let’s calculate a realistic daily revenue instead
Realistic helium‑4 price: $8/L
Realistic CO₂ price: $50/ton
Realistic He‑3 volume: 0.01 L/day (10 mL/day)
Helium‑4 revenue
22,500⋅8=180,000 USD/day
CO₂ revenue
300⋅50=15,000 USD/day
Helium‑3 revenue
0.01⋅2500=25 USD/day
Realistic total
180,000+15,000+25=195,025 USD/day
🧭 Final comparison
Component Commentator Realistic Difference
He‑4 price $46.6/L $8/L 6× too high
CO₂ price $760/ton $50/ton 15× too high
He‑3 volume 2.5 L/day 0.01 L/day 250× too high
Total revenue/day $1.28M $0.195M 6.5× too high
🧠 Bottom line
The commentator’s math is correct,
but the inputs are unrealistic,
leading to a 6–7× inflated revenue estimate.
A realistic steady‑state revenue for Pulsar is ~$200k/day, not $1.28M/day.
UNQUOTE
Given in the spirit of mutual enquiry into PH's possibilities.