Seeking Alpha report mentioning Entain4 Aug 2021 15:34
MGM Resorts International Inc. (MGM)
Market cap: $20b
Cash position: $6.17b
LTD: $35.2b
Revenue (ttm) $4.5b
Our premise: MGM is the cheapest stock in the single wallet sub sector. It is cheap in our view, not so much on the numbers. We deign to compare data points like EPS, EBITDA, etc. while the industry is still in the throes of the pandemic-albeit the endgame. It is cheap because it has the rapid ramp capacity to meet growing recovery both Las Vegas ,its regional properties and Macau. It is cheap because its partnership with the UK based Entain online sports betting platform, has thus far raced ahead of many competitors in the space backed by a willingness to spend half of up to $450 million in building a dominant market share in sports betting.
Above: MGM Grand ramp will speed up by Q4 as convention and meeting bookings begin to show again. Meanwhile, occupancy on weekends is 90% or better. Source: MGM Archives.
Its first move to acquire the UK's Entain was spurned, but we expect that story is not ended. Its future in online gaming is written in stone when we consider that online giant, IAC/Interactive (IAC) has plunked down a $100m investment in the company clearly tied to its online future prospects. Next to CZR it has the second largest database (MLife) in the business with 35m customers feeding into both its Vegas and regional hotels. Overall it is poised to grow all its verticals just ahead.
Casinos
(Above: MGM Grand will accelerate rapidly as conventions and meeting business begin to ramp by early 1Q21. Meanwhile right now weekends are running over 90% occupancy, weekdays ~44%. Source: MGM Archives).
The company, shares much competitive power with its single wallet peers, if not somewhat more in terms of its footprint size in the three prime gaming markets: Las Vegas with 13 prime properties, US regional with 8, and two in Macau. It also operates four non-casino hotels in China.
While still elusive as to a possible launch, MGM is one of the few remaining bidders for a Japan integrated resort through its partnership with the huge Japanese consumer finance company, Orix Corporation (IX). Realistically, due to the political and regulatory Japanese turtle pace of progress toward accelerating integrated casino resort development, our best guess is that MGM will prevail, possibly as the successful bidder in Osaka. But any Japan property isn't likely to see the light of day before 2028. Yet, going against the grain of peers who have pulled out worried about ROI, its decision to stay is telling: It's a company with a global view.
It has slashed $450m from operating expenses going forward both as the result of its 2020 cost cutting initiative begun two years ago as well as "make do" lessons learned during the pandemic. We expect management to continue attacking costs and at the same time, make other moves to begin carving down the debt load which is clearly too high. (Below: casino on line doing strong business