Looks very promising16 Jul 2024 06:50
I stumbled across GDR late last week through a random post on another board. Glad I looked in here.
The NICE draft recommendation of the Genedrive® CYP2C19-ID Kit is what got me to buy in on Friday.
Having read some more, I’m now convinced that this is going to be a game changer of a share.
The BDD news today has got my head in a spin…
I particularly like how the Genedrive system device is the key here. It’s already getting rolled out steadily with the MT-RNR1assay with staff getting trained. This, to me at least, will trigger those foundations already kitted out with the device to start using CYP2C19-ID, once NICE make it’s official (assuming they do), as it’s a tried and tested system for them.
The numbers in the RNS re the cost of lawsuits doesn’t really give us anything to go off for the US, and I couldn’t find any online to indicate how many lawsuits there were.
I did find an estimate from an NHS newsletter in 2015 stating the MT-RNR1 kit could save the NHS £5m per year through preventing cases of infant deafness. Of the £102m budget that year, this equates to a .0049% saving.
If we apply that percentage to the USA healthcare budget for 2023 of $4.8T, Then the MT-RNR1 kit rolled out in the US could save $235m through prevention. That’s not taking into account the lawsuits.
If GDR can catch the eye of an IDN or two across the pond with the BDD for MT-RNR1 then the Genedrive platform will look that much more appetizing with a second assay available, plus with the NICE recommendation too. Some of the integrated delivery networks (IDNs) in the US have upward of 100 hospitals. Keep in mind that MT-RNR1 has generated over £100K in revenue from just 5 UK hospitals.
I get that there’s quite a few assumptions here and my numbers are very much, finger in the air but I like what I’ve read so far and I’ll be adding a more sizable buy to my holding if I can.
ATB & GL