Member Info for aaand_its_gone

Gingy at the time of your post about £1k had changed hands at the open. You really do need to take a step back and take a broader view. On refection the RNS was net positive although the financal part was slightly worse than previous. So nothing game changing. I keep telling you nothing will realy change until milestones are reached.

I'm slightly surprised people seem annoyed that the calculated fair price given the latest RNS is 30% higher than the actual share price. Maybe they don't understand what I was saying.

I agree, it's just interesting getting the dispassionate view of AI on the price it would expect to be right now at this stage of development, reflecting commonly held market assumptions.

Grok's view on fair value given the update: Recommended Share Price: Based on the PEA, current prices, and conservative NAV (0.5x post-tax NPV with spot adjustment), the fair value is 10p. This reflects strong fundamentals but discounts development risks. At higher tin prices and successful exploration, it could reach 15–17p, supporting analyst targets. Investors should monitor financing updates, as capex funding is key. This is not financial advice; consult a professional.

Heading for a 6 handle again, this is when I buy. Interestingly Grok predicted the bottom.in October.

I much prefer seeing more regular minor updates than radio silence, it gives me comfort to see progression. Thank you Cornish Metals.

I think that is a reasonable prospect Gingy.

Markets are frequently wrong, thank god otherwise we'd never make any money.

Hi Gingy, positive news in the pipeline as we go forward:

Refurbishment of deep pumping station complete, allowing continuation of pumping to completion.

Final funding secured, allowing project to go into production.

Dewatering completed.

Shaft work completed.

First Tin ore mined.

Re-assessment of levels of Tin ore within the mine (expected to be higher as initial assessment conservative and based on dated technology capabilities).

That's off the top of my head. All of these will boost the share price to new minimum levels.

On the downside:

Delays.

Accidents.

Left field events (CEO leaving, etc)

I don't really think there have been significant milestones reached tbh, we've had mildly positive and mildly negative news. The share price had been on a downward trend for a long time as cash was being used up and investment was needed. Along came Vision Blue and the UK govt and that bolstered the price. Dewatering has been slow with pump service problems. The mine is still an underground lake in effect. Once the mine has been successfully dewatered then you will start to see a ratcheting effect on price as derisking continues and tin deposits are quantified.

A few months ago when I plugged in all of the data into AI about this company and asked what the share price evolution would be over time, it said static for months, even dipping around October. Only starting to rise as milestones are reached, when bigger investors becone interested as the project is derisked. Playing out exactly as predicted so far.

How do you earn anything before you actually mine the product?

Gingy I agree, it is a shame companies can't be totally transparent with their shareholders. Some may have adjusted their entry times into trades had they known the finer detail. The fundamentals haven't changed however, but many will make the decision that too much opportunity cost is lost and capital needs to be put to work somewhere else for a while.

Last time when it got under 7p 3.5m shares changed hands in one trade at 6.5p, then it started going up again. In my personal opinion anything under 7p is a steal.

Just bought some with a 6 handle, I regretted not doing that last time it was here. Thank you frustrated sellers.

I decided to filter in as it drops, just picked some more up at 7.195 for every seller there is a buyer...I totally get that some people want out to try and make more use of their money elsewhere and then come back in later, but that assumes you willbe able to pick up volume. Buying these dips is my strategy. Delays are inevitable, not deal breakers.

Anybody got any informed opinion on what these stock option exercises mean? Why would these be occuring?

If it goes below 7p I will fill my boots, a lot of volume buying down there.

About £17k traded in CM today whoo-hoo! Hands up who owns multiples of that ✋🏼

On an average day, how much money changes hands, £30k? On a big trading volume day £100k. It's nothing. If a big investor came in wanting to spend £10m the price would rocket.