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Prices edge up on increased cooling demand

Wed, 26th Jun 2024 10:19

LONDON, June 26 (Reuters) - Dutch and British wholesale gas prices inched up on Wednesday morning as hotter weather increased cooling demand but amid expectations of stronger wind power later this week which could weaken demand for gas from power plants.

The benchmark front-month contract at the Dutch TTF hub

was up by 0.60 euro at 35.10 euros per megawatt
hour (MWh) by 0912 GMT, while the August contract
was up 0.49 euro at 35.49 euros/MWh, LSEG data showed.
In the British market, the August contract rose
by 2.45 pence to 84.45 pence per therm.

Temperatures in north-west Europe are expected to peak tomorrow, with the daily average up to 22.5 degrees Celsius,
before decreasing to around a degree above the seasonal norm by
Friday, LSEG data showed.

UK gas demand is expected to fall sharply due to the forecast of stronger wind speeds, with wind power generation
expected to triple by Friday this week, while German wind power
production is expected to rise gradually above the seasonal
average by the end of this week, said LSEG gas analyst Tomasz
Marcin Kowalski.

On the supply side, Norwegian exports to the continent are expected to increase from tomorrow due to high Norwegian field
production and there will be a limit on export capacity through
the Langeled pipeline to Britain until July 7.

"TTF July 2024 prices closed yesterday slightly above their one-year average and almost at the coal switching average
level," said analysts at Engie EnergyScan, adding that they were
still trading around this level this morning.

"This is a major test of whether the market thinks additional destruction of gas demand from power plants is needed
to balance the European gas market," they added.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract edged up by 0.65 euro to 68.57 euros per metric ton.

(Reporting by Nina Chestney)

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