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Berenberg says investors may question Shell's long-term target for cash returns

Thu, 31st Oct 2019 11:09

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Berenberg labelled the latest set of quarterly figures from Royal Dutch Shell as "strong", but added that management's warning that the oil giant's share buyback programme in 2020 might not be completed might also raise questions around the buybacks on longer time horizons.
In particular, they highlighted Shell's quarterly cash flow of $12.1bn, which came in 5% ahead of the analyst consensus, despite $0.5bn of pension payments and weaker associate dividends during the period, both of which would have boosted cash flow during a "normal" quarter.

However, the analysts added:"The company has flagged that the macro conditions mean that the buyback programme for 2020 may not be fully completed, as Shell may not be able to afford the buyback, while also reducing gearing to 25%.

"While the intention is clear, this announcement will create uncertainty around the deliverability of the cash return programme to 2025, which could weigh on investor sentiment."

There could be as much as $10.0bn of buy backs left to do in 2020 in order for Shell to hit its original target, they said.

Berenberg reaffirmed its 'hold' recommendation and 2,750.0p target price for the shares.
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19 Jul 2021 11:57

Morgan Stanley stays 'overweight' on Shell, expects dividend to grow again

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Morgan Stanley reiterated their 'overweight' stance on shares of Royal Dutch Shell in anticipation of share buyback announcements and higher dividend payouts from the oil major.

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19 Jul 2021 10:32

Crude oil futures under pressure after OPEC+ deal at the weekend

(Sharecast News) - Crude oil futures slid at the start of the week after the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries ad its main allies clinched a deal at the weekend to increase their combined output.

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6 Jul 2021 13:22

Saudi, UAE spat unlikely to result in breakdown of OPEC+ discipline, Morgan Stanley says

(Sharecast News) - OPEC+'s failure to reach an agreement on raising production two days before is unlikely to herald the start of a price war between its members, analysts at Morgan Stanley said - but there were medium-term risks.

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22 Jun 2021 15:36

JP Morgan names Shell 'top pick' in EU oil, expects 'stellar' cash flows

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at JP Morgan named Royal Dutch Shell their 'top pick' in the European Union Oil space, in anticipation of "standout" free cash flow generation on the back of stronger macro conditions and catch-up in lagged pricing for liquid natural gas.

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1 Jun 2021 10:30

Brent futures hit two-year high ahead of OPEC+ meeting

(Sharecast News) - Oil prices hit a roughly two-year high on expectations that the reopening of advanced economies would run down the inventories that had piled up during the pandemic.

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20 May 2021 14:25

Iran's Rouhani says US will lift sanctions

(Sharecast News) - Iran's president said on Thursday that the United States was ready to lift sanctions on his country's oil, banking and shipping sectors that were reimposed after the Trump administration withdrew from the nuclear deal signed in 2015.

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29 Apr 2021 06:54

London pre-open: Futures up after Fed stays 'on message', on US Tech earnings

(Sharecast News) - Trading in London shares is set to start on the front foot after the US central bank signaled overnight that it was simply not yet time to be talking about tapering bond purchases and much less about interest rate hikes.

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28 Apr 2021 12:37

Thursday preview: Apple, Royal Dutch Shell in focus

(Sharecast News) - The market focus on Thursday will shift back to the latest earnings updates from US technology giants with Apple and Facebook both due to report after the close of trading on Wednesday.

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10 Mar 2021 11:00

'Super cautious OPEC stance on output increases could backfire, Citi says

(Sharecast News) - The "super cautious" approach adopted by Saudi when it comes to adding to global crude oil supplies might backfire on the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, Citi argued.

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8 Mar 2021 07:31

Brent futures spring higher after attack on key Saudi oil facility

(Sharecast News) - Crude oil futures sprang higher at the start of the week following an attack on Saudi Arabia's largest crude terminal at Ras Tanura.

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4 Mar 2021 16:41

Sector movers: Oil and Gas leads gains as OPEC+ springs surprise on traders

(Sharecast News) - Oil and Gas shares jumped to the top of the leader board after many of the world's major crude producers surprised traders with a decision to hold their combined output unchanged following talks on Thursday.

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19 Feb 2021 11:58

S&P downgrades Shell's long-term debt on risks from energy transition

(Sharecast News) - One of the world's top credit rating agencies downgraded Royal Dutch Shell's long-term debt on the back of the expected challenges from the transition to sustainable technologies.

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15 Feb 2021 15:06

Sector movers: Oil and Mining stocks surge on US stimulus and vaccine hopes

(Sharecast News) - Oil and Mining stocks surged at the start of the week on hopes for further fiscal stimulus in the US and that the pandemic might start to be coming under control.

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15 Feb 2021 11:53

Brent at 13-month high on hopes for US stimulus and vaccine rollouts

(Sharecast News) - Investors continued to bid crude oil prices higher at the start of the week, on the back of continued hopes for an easing of Covid-19 lockdowns around the world and of fiscal stimulus in the US.

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11 Feb 2021 12:00

Citi revises 2021 oil price forecasts higher

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at Citi revised their projections for the price of oil, citing oil producers' success in running down global inventories and improved prospects for demand.

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