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LIVE MARKETS-Steel sector: A tailwind in Q4

Mon, 06th Jul 2020 11:10

Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts Joice Alves (joice.alves@thomsonreuters.com) and
Julien Ponthus (julien.ponthus@thomsonreuters.com) in London and Stefano Rebaudo
(stefano.rebaudo@thomsonreuters.com) in Milan.

STEEL INDUSTRY: A TAILWIND IN Q4 (1009 GMT)

For the steel industry, it's all a matter of post-Covid 19 economic recovery, which is under
way, but probably not at the speed many analysts were expecting or hoping, although some argue
single shares have a big upside potential.

A Jefferies research note says Q4 could be a good time for the sector as European car demand
is on the mend and will probably suffer again from seasonality in Q3, which will be a tailwind
for the last quarter of 2020.

Automotive is 19% of EU steel demand and an important end-market for higher margin steel
products, it says.

Besides "prices are off their bottom and import parities are supportive of further gradual
improvements near-term," it adds.

Separately, Credit Suisse keeps some of its buy ratings, but it lowers European steel
production forecasts as hopes of a V-shaped recovery softened into a L-shaped one, it says.

CS likes ThyssenKrupp, target price at 11 euros, and in the medium-term
ArcelorMittal, Salzgitter and Kloeckner, are all rated outperform.

According to Jefferies, ThyssenKrupp has a 58% upside, Acerinox 54%.

(Stefano Rebaudo)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: BANKS AND UK HOMEBUILDERS FLY HIGH (0755 GMT)

Thanks to a wave of optimism from China, the easing of lockdowns in the UK and reports of
fresh support to Britain's homebuilders and hospitality sector, European shares jumped high.
The pan-European index is up 1.7% with cyclicals stocks leading the gains with banks
up more than 4%, autos more than 3%.

Britain's blue chips surged 2.2% getting a boost from homebuilders Persimmon, Taylor
Wimpey and Barratt Developments up about 5% after Finance Minister Rishi Sunak
said the UK plans to raise a property tax threshold allowing people to start paying stamp duty
from 125,000 sterling to 500,000 sterling.

(Joice Alves)

*****

ON THE RADAR: JOB CUTS, SHELL AND GEBERIT (0645 GMT)
European shares are seeing mirroring the optimism in Asia where shares touched a four-month
highs. But the resurgence of coronavirus cases in the U.S. could cap gains.

On the corporate front, companies continue to report their pandemic struggles, with Swiss
plumbing supplies company Geberit's quarterly saying sales drop 15.9% as pandemic hammers
construction sector.

And more job cuts are on the way: Sonova will close some stores and cut jobs; Air
France and HOP! airlines plans to cut 7,580 jobs

Meantime, Britain is close to a 500 million pound ($624 million) supply deal with Sanofi and
GlaxoSmithKline for 60 million doses of a potential COVID-19 vaccine, the Sunday Times reported;
while shares in Idorsia were up 6.3% in premarket trade after company announced
positive results in second phase 3 study of Daridorexant.

Britain's Tesco demands supplier price cuts by July 10.

Shell is not ruling out moving its headquarters from the Netherlands to Britain as
the company looks at ways to simplify its dual structure.

In the M&A world, Nordic banking group Nordea agreed to acquire the occupational
and individual pension portfolios from Frende Livsforsikring.

In Germany, Volkswagen is investing about 1 billion euros to retool its factory
in Emden for electric cars, newspaper Handelsblatt reported. Commerzbank was fined 650,000 euros
for deals with defunct Cypriot bank.

People moves: Swedish telecoms operator Tele2 AB CEO Anders Nilsson will step
down and be replaced by former VEON CEO Kjell Morten Johnsen.

(Joice Alves)

*****

MORNING CALL: OPTIMISM FROM ASIA (0535 GMT)
European bourses are seeing opening higher, mirroring the optimism in Asia where shares
touched the highest level since February as investors counted on super-cheap liquidity and
fiscal stimulus to sustain the economic recovery.

Meantime, the resurgence of coronavirus cases in the U.S. could cap gains.

Investors will also be watching PMI data for the euro zone and the UK that will be released
this morning.

Financial spreadbetters at IG expect London's FTSE to open 82 points higher at 6,239,
Frankfurt's DAX to 260 points higher at 12,788 and Paris' CAC to open 94 points higher at 5,102.

(Joice Alves)

*****

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