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Broker tips: Shell, Bovis Homes, housebuilders

Wed, 04th Jan 2017 15:52

(ShareCast News) - RBC Capital Markets upgraded Royal Dutch Shell to 'outperform' from 'sector perform', keeping the price target at 2,500p.The bank said the recent OPEC and non-OPEC supply deals have put the oil market on a much firmer footing, removing some of its tail-risk concerns for the oil giant."Looking ahead, we see the potential for strongly improving cash flow generation, while in the near term, we believe net debt should begin falling from its peak."RBC said its previous concerns about Shell were about a more prolonged period of lower oil and gas pricing, which could mean an extremely tough divestment market alongside weaker organic cash flows."The recent OPEC/non-OPEC supply deals have effectively provided an environment where we believe this is unlikely, while we are also seeing signs of improving macro conditions for European gas, where Shell has the second highest exposure in the peer group."In addition, RBC argued that Shell is past the point of peak net debt and its balance sheet will improve going forward, giving the potential for the dividend yield to contract."Shell recently noted the company is working on 16 different asset disposals, all of which have a value greater than $500m. On our numbers, we expect $2.7bn divestments to be cashed in next quarter, which should help Shell de-leverage and start to reduce its $77bn net debt figure."RBC reckons Shell can outperform its peers if it can continue to deliver on the divestment programme. Deutsche Bank has highlighted the "significant" value in the UK housebuilders sector, singling out Taylor Wimpey as its top pick and upgrading McCarthy & Stone onto its 'buy' list.Noting that investor appetite for UK focused stocks has subsided in light of risks around Brexit, Deutsche said the dividend yields on offer were "difficult to ignore" and said it believes forthcoming updates from the builders should continue to reassure on strong cash flow and return on capital.While macroeconomic events such as the timing and extent of EU exit, the UK's economic vicissitudes and government housing policy may create share price volatility, especially through the first quarter, the bank believes the sector offers "opportunity for 30% upside".As the UK economy and housing market seem to have largely shrugged off the impact of the Brexit vote, Deutsche analysts have made significant increases in their estimates back towards those held before the Brexit decision.On a ratio of price to net tangible asset value, the UK housebuilding sector now trades at 1.3 times for 2017 and 1.2 for 2018, "which with the sector achieving ROCE up to three times its cost of capital, we believe overplays the risk to future earnings".The reshuffling of ministers in charge of housing has increased the risks for the sector from governmental dabbling, though the much-anticipated Housing White Paper due later in January was felt more likely to impact sentiment more than earnings."However, we believe any weakness in share prices around this time should be used as a buying opportunity with the sector likely to demonstrate steady reassurance through the year with its continuous cycle of trading updates."'Buy' ratings were retained on TW, Barratt and Berkeley Group, with McCarthy & Stone added to that list due to the "strong value" seen there, while Bovis was downgraded to 'hold' reflecting the "continued operational stutters which have impacted confidence in forecasts".Reflecting the balance of higher earnings estimates to some extent offset by the increased risk in the sector, Barratt's target price was moved to 605p from 575p; Berkley to 3,559p from 3,876p; Bellway to 2,950p from 2,702p; Bovis cut to 1,066p from 1,190p; Crest Nicholson lifted to 564p from 525p; McCarthy trimmed to 211p from 219p; Persimmon was held and 2,069p; Redrow upped to 519p from 497p; and TW lifted to 239p from 218p.
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30 Dec 2021 05:33

UPDATE 5-Oil prices rise slightly ahead of OPEC+ meeting next week

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28 Dec 2021 09:41

S.African court halts Shell's offshore seismic survey

CAPE TOWN, Dec 28 (Reuters) - A South African high court on Tuesday blocked Shell from conducting seismic testing offshore from South Africa's pristine Wild Coast, in the latest ruling in a case seeking to prevent the oil major from exploring for...

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27 Dec 2021 14:01

Mexican president says Pemex to close Deer Park deal in January

MEXICO CITY, Dec 27 (Reuters) - Mexican state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) will complete its purchase of a controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery in January, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on Monday.Mexico's go...

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24 Dec 2021 10:03

UPDATE 1-Russia says Europe missing out on gas with Nord Stream 2 delay

(Recasts, adds quote, background)MOSCOW, Dec 24 (Reuters) - Europe, struggling with soaring gas prices, is missing out on additional Russian supplies amid delays to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, a top Russian official signalled on Friday.Deputy Prim...

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24 Dec 2021 08:26

Russia's Novak: Nord Stream 2 hindered by politics

MOSCOW, Dec 24 (Reuters) - The launch of the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline is being hindered by politics, but Russia still hopes its certification will be completed by mid-2022, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Friday.The...

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24 Dec 2021 08:19

Russia says Nord Stream 2 a bargaining chip for U.S., EU, Interfax reports

MOSCOW, Dec 24 (Reuters) - The Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project linking Russia with Europe has become a bargaining chip in a game played by the United States and the European Union, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said on Friday, ...

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23 Dec 2021 14:14

Third Point's Loeb slams activists after UK fund chairman quits

LONDON, Dec 23 (Reuters) - Hedge fund Third Point's boss Dan Loeb on Thursday blamed the departure of the chairman of the firm's London-listed fund on "inexperienced" and "juvenile antics" of activist investors.Third Point Investors Limited (TPIL)...

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22 Dec 2021 20:56

Shell declares force majeure on Nigerian Forcados crude

LAGOS, Dec 22 (Reuters) - Royal Dutch Shell's Nigerian subsidiary SPDC has declared force majeure on exports of Nigerian Forcados crude oil after the obstruction of a tanker path by a malfunctioning barge, the company said in a statement.The actio...

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22 Dec 2021 13:49

UPDATE 3-Mexico says U.S. approves Deer Park refinery deal, sees completion early 2022

(Adds details)MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery in a transaction that should conclude early next year,...

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22 Dec 2021 13:49

UPDATE 2-Mexico says U.S. government approves Deer Park refinery deal

(Adds context, comment from Pemex CEO)MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery, Mexican President Andres Manu...

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22 Dec 2021 13:49

UPDATE 1-Mexico says U.S. government approves Deer Park refinery deal

(Adds details)MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on...

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22 Dec 2021 13:15

Mexico says U.S. government approves Deer Park refinery deal

MEXICO CITY, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The U.S. government has authorized the purchase by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) of Royal Dutch Shell's controlling interest in a Texas oil refinery, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said on Wednesday.Lo...

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21 Dec 2021 19:06

UPDATE 1-Texas lawsuit by laundromat owners seeks to block Shell refinery sale to Pemex

(Adds U.S. Treasury, CFIUS decline to comment)By Stefanie Eschenbacher and Gary McWilliamsMEXICO CITY/HOUSTON, Dec 21 (Reuters) - A pair of New York businessmen filed a lawsuit in a U.S. court seeking to block Mexico's state oil company Petroleos M...

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21 Dec 2021 18:32

Texas lawsuit by laundromat owners seeks to block Shell refinery sale to Pemex

By Stefanie EschenbacherMEXICO CITY/HOUSTON, Dec 21 (Reuters) - A pair of New York businessmen filed a lawsuit in a U.S. court seeking to block Mexico's state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) from taking control of a Texas refinery, claimin...

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