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Broker tips: Hays, Go-Ahead, H&T

Thu, 02nd Sep 2010 12:50

Recruitment firm Hays delivered full year results that were ahead of expectations but the outlook for the UK continues to look bleak in KBC Peel Hunt's view, though the broker notes this is largely reflected in the price."Current performance echoes what the peer group has been saying, with markets having been tough in the first half now returning to growth. International headcount is up c200 heads, but we note that there were reductions in UK and Europe - overall heads are down slightly to 4,508 from 4,558," said KBC analyst Henry Carver.The broker is sticking with its "hold" recommendation and 90p price target. It sees few catalysts for share performance in the near term, but the shares are worth holding for the 6.2% yield.Panmure Gordon is of similar mind to KBC. It also recommends holding the shares, though its price target is 92p. The broker thinks there are better opportunities elsewhere in the sector, such as SThree. Investors looking to invest in pawnbrokers, currently enjoying a rise in popularity on the back of the strength of gold, will find better value with H&T Group shares than those of its competitor Albemarle & Bond, research firm Equity Development believes."The [H&T] pledge book continues its steady growth, more from the gradual maturing of existing stores than from the initial impact of new store openings (it appears likely that gross profit from the core pawnbroking business will be 40%+ higher when the new stores opened since 2004 reach maturity) and so the PSC [pawn service charge] should continue to rise in line with that," Equity Development believes. The firm is expecting profits from purchasing gold will be lower in the second half of the year but the market is a volatile one and remains difficult to predict. "Profits for the year will be sensitive to the unpredictable level of gold purchasing as well as to the value of retail sales in the pre-Christmas period so we should prefer to quote a range of £23m to £26m: our central estimate is £24.6m on a Headline Earnings basis (£23.2m reported under IFRS), leading to earnings per share of 50.0p and dividends (including the special) of 9p."The earnings forecast puts the shares on a price/earnings ratio of just 4.8, which Equity Development notes is a 38% discount to the rating of its main rival, Albemarle & Bond and a 59% discount to the All-Share index.Even with an expected drop-off in profits from gold purchases, the research firm believes a discount of more than 34% is unreasonable.Panmure Gordon has cut its rating for bus and train group Go-Ahead Group despite Thursday's results from the group exceeding its expectations, as the broker has concerns over the potential lack of earnings growth in the coming years.The broker no longer thinks the shares are a "buy", but with a dividend yield of 7.4% - which Panmure Gordon thinks is sustainable - they are certainly worth holding. Earnings growth may be hard to come by, though, Panmure analyst Gert Zonneveld thinks."Margins in London are unlikely to recover to previous highs, particularly if new contracts continue to have more challenging quality incentive targets and lower revenue per mile. Furthermore, the fuel duty rebate may come down as the government looks to cut expenditure, which would drive up fares and most likely result in some volume reductions, which could have a negative impact on profits," Zonneveld speculates."Rail profitability may also struggle to improve, with London Midland possible heading for future losses and Southern requiring punchy revenue growth to maintain profit levels," Zonneveld adds.The broker's price target has been slashed from 1600p to 1200p.Elsewhere in the broking community, KBC Peel Hunt admits growth prospects for Go-Ahead's regulated passenger operations look uncertain, but thinks consolidation in the reregulated bus market will provide scope for future growth."With hardening London incentive targets and rail continuing to be affected by High Speed, it is the growth in deregulated services' passenger revenue, which we forecast at +4% this year, which should support profit," opines analyst Paul Hickman.With undrawn bank facilities of £177m, KBC thinks this firepower will be used on acquisition prospects in the deregulated market, where independent and municipal bus businesses are feeling the financial pressure.KBC is sticking with its "buy" recommendation and price target of 1300p.
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17 Mar 2022 08:16

LONDON BRIEFING: Deliveroo loss widens but pedalling toward breakeven

(Alliance News) - Food delivery firm Deliveroo on Thursday said 2021 was a year of strong growth and strategic progress, which it believes will lead to long-term profitability.

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9 Mar 2022 11:41

IN BRIEF: Go-Ahead hires Royal Mail UK interim CFO as finance chief

Go-Ahead Group PLC - Newcastle, England-based public transport operator - Hires Sarah Mussenden to be chief financial officer, starting May 9. Mussenden currently is interim CFO at Royal Mail UK, part of Royal Mail PLC. Previous roles were at British Gas, part of Centrica PLC, and British Airways, part of International Consolidated Airlines Group SA. She currently is a non-executive director of asset manager Premier Miton Group PLC. At Go-Ahead, Mussenden will replace Interim CFO Gordon Boyd.

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24 Feb 2022 16:35

Go-Ahead expects to pay GBP30 million penalty amid "challenging" year

(Alliance News) - Go-Ahead Group PLC said on Thursday that it had narrowed its pretax loss but noted issues with the UK Department for Transport regarding its London & South Eastern Railway operations.

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24 Feb 2022 10:11

Go-Ahead records 'strong' performance in long-delayed results

(Sharecast News) - Go-Ahead Group reported a "strong" financial performance in its bus and Govia Thameslink Railway (GTR) operations in its much-delayed full-year results on Thursday, offset by challenges in its international rail division and its former Southeastern rail franchise.

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24 Feb 2022 08:15

LONDON BRIEFING: Warren East to depart as CEO of improving Rolls-Royce

(Alliance News) - Rolls-Royce on Thursday said Chief Executive Officer Warren East has decided to step down at the end of 2022, after nine years on the board and almost eight years as CEO.

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23 Feb 2022 09:51

IN BRIEF: Go-Ahead to release delayed annual results on Thursday

Go-Ahead Group PLC - Newcastle-based bus and train operator - Plans on Thursday to release its delayed results for the financial year that ended July 3 last year. At that point, Go-Ahead will ask for the suspension of trading of its shares and corporate bonds to be lifted. The suspension was imposed because the company missed the deadline for filing its accounts. The delay was to allow auditors Deloitte to consider the implications of a review of the London & South Eastern Railway franchise, operated by Go-Ahead. The UK government found that "serious errors" were made by LSER in its dealings with the Department for Transport over several years. Go-Ahead apologised for "failing to notify the DfT of certain overpayments or monies due to the DfT", but the government is considering enforcement action, including a financial penalty.

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31 Jan 2022 15:28

Moody's withdraws British rail firm Go-Ahead's rating

LONDON, Jan 31 (Reuters) - Moody's has withdrawn its credit rating of UK rail and transport firm Go-Ahead after the company delayed the publication of its financial results for a fourth time, the ratings agency said on Monday. "Moody's has decide...

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24 Jan 2022 10:02

IN BRIEF: Go-Ahead expects annual results release end February

IN BRIEF: Go-Ahead expects annual results release end February

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24 Jan 2022 09:00

Go-Ahead results delayed again as auditors ask for more time

(Sharecast News) - Crisis-hit transport group Go-Ahead on Monday delayed publication of its financial results for a third time as investigations continue into its rail franchise scandal.

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19 Jan 2022 15:18

EXECUTIVE CHANGES: Mode Global and Omega Diagnostics lose CEOs

EXECUTIVE CHANGES: Mode Global and Omega Diagnostics lose CEOs

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4 Jan 2022 14:02

Go-Ahead shares suspended due to late-running results

(Sharecast News) - Go-Ahead Group made a request for its shares and bond to be temporarily suspended from trading on Tuesday, pending its results for the year ended 3 July.

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4 Jan 2022 10:34

IN BRIEF: Go-Ahead suspends listing on annual results delay

IN BRIEF: Go-Ahead suspends listing on annual results delay

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21 Dec 2021 21:40

TRADING UPDATES: Charles Stanley sale greenlit; ASA portfolio grows

TRADING UPDATES: Charles Stanley sale greenlit; ASA portfolio grows

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20 Dec 2021 16:21

EXECUTIVE CHANGES: New senior independent directors for Go-Ahead, Wizz

EXECUTIVE CHANGES: New senior independent directors for Go-Ahead, Wizz

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15 Dec 2021 16:03

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

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